The streak is finally broken! Jarrett wins for the first time since November 21 of last year, almost a full calendar year. The 11-game losing streak will fester as the worst skid in league history. Jarrett gets a massive game from Joe Mixon, who scored the 3rd most points by an individual in league history with 50! Alvin Kamara scored 52 points in Robbie Bowl X (2020). Doug Martin (2012) and Jamaal Charles (2013) both scored 51 points, and now Mixon joins the 50-point club. Jarrett also snapped a 4-game losing streak against Aaron.
Sean showed some savvy manager skills by snagging Isaiah Likely to handcuff Mark Andrews, who was not ruled out of Monday’s game until Sunday. Once down to just a 4% chance of victory, Sean pulled out a miracle thanks to Likely’s lone catch which was a 24-yard TD. Sean becomes the 5th team in league history to start the season with just 1 loss through 9 weeks. Sean started 8-1 in 2012 and finished 1st. Chase started 8-1 in 2013 and finished in 2nd. Erik started 7-1-1 in 2017 and 8-1 in 2021 and finished 1st both times. That’s a 100% rate of making it to the Robbie Bowl. Sean leads the league in scoring in 1,006 points. That’s on pace for 1,565 points, which would be the 2nd most in league history.
Chase is now the lowest scoring team after being passed by both Jarrett and Terrance this past week. He is on pace to score 1,095 points which would be the 3rd fewest in league history. Chase also has had the most points scored against him, and is on pace to have 1,405 points scored against him this season which is not particularly close to any records, but the point differential for Chase so far this year is 199 points, or -22 points per game.
I can’t imagine there’s ever been a scenario this late in the season where we have one owner (Chase) with the fewest points scored + most points scored against while we have another owner with the most points scored + fewest points scored against (Sean).
Jacob and Terrance have both scored 100 points or more in three consecutive weeks, tying the 2nd longest streak of the season.
Jake has now failed to hit the 100 point mark for the last 8 weeks. He scored 118 in Week 1 and now has a nasty dry spell going on. Jake has also been the lowest scorer of the week in back-to-back weeks.
Justin Fields’ 41 points ties the most from the QB position this year. Lamar Jackson scored 41 points in Week 2. Both QBs were facing the Dolphins. Fields registers the 10th 40 point game for a QB in league history.
The 134 total points scored in the Chase-Jake matchup ties the fewest total this season. That was another victory for Chase in Week 7 when he defeated Ryan 79-55.
I won’t give away the position leaders because I like for that to be somewhat of a surprise at the banquet, but I will give an update on who is in last place of each positional category.
Quarterback - Jarrett
14.89 points per start — 4.62 points below league average
Running Back - Ryan
7.32 points per start — 3.65 points below league average
Wide Receiver - Chase
6.40 points per start — 2.68 points below league average
Tight End - Terrance
2.44 points per start — 3.22 points below league average
Kicker - Erik
4.56 points per start — 2.63 points below league average
Defense/Special Teams - Jarrett
6.89 points per start — 2.84 points below league average
Jarrett has passed Ryan to move into 5th place for career average from the RB position.
As stated above, Sean becomes the 5th team to start the season with 1 loss through the first 9 weeks. The other four not only made the playoffs, but also went to the Robbie Bowl, winning 75% of the time.
Teams with two losses such as Jacob (7-2) and Erik (7-2) make the playoffs 100% of the time. The two youngest members of the league become the 8th and 9th teams to start 7-2 in league history.
Schweg improved to 6-3, and teams with just 3 losses through Week 9 make the playoffs 74% of the time.
This is not a season for parity, as we have to jump down 2 games (plus many tiebreakers so essentially 3 games down) before we get to Ryan and Aaron at 4-5. Only 25% of 5 loss teams make the playoffs.
Jake and Chase are both sitting at 3-6, and only have an 8% chance of making the playoffs. Only two 3-6 teams have ever made the playoffs. Terrance’s team in 2015 started 3-6 and finished the regular season 8-6 and would end up in 3rd place, and Aaron’s 2018 team started 3-6 and finished 8-6, also placing 3rd.
For Terrance (2-7) and Jarrett (1-8), no team in their situation has ever made the playoffs. Even if Terrance won the rest of his games and finished 7-7, only one 7-7 team has ever made the playoffs (Dobber in 2011), and this year is shaping up to have at least four teams finish above .500.
Schweg has surpassed Aaron to become the winningest team in the month of November. His 61.5% win pct in November is 3rd behind Jacob in September (63.2%) and Terrance in December (63.6%).
1. September 13
Jake sends Tyreek Hill (WR1) to Schweg for James Robinson (RB24) & Diontae Johnson (WR52)
Schweg - 117 active points (117 total points)
Jake - 35 active points (82 total points)
2. September 25
Chase sends Jeff Wilson (RB23) to Jacob for Adam Thielen (WR36)
Chase - 44 active points (44 total points)
Jacob - 19 active points (61 total points)
3. October 12
Chase sends Kyle Pitts (TE17) to Jacob for Darren Waller (TE31)
Chase - 0 active points (0 total points)
Jacob - 9 active points (23 total points)
4. October 14
Ryan sends Darrell Henderson (RB43) & Allen Lazard (WR20) to Jarrett for Miles Sanders (RB12)
Ryan - 41 active points (41 total points)
Jarrett - 25 active points (58 total points)
5. October 27
Jarrett sends DeVonta Smith (WR35) to Schweg for Dak Prescott (QB38)
Jarrett - 25 active points (25 total points)
Schweg - 0 active points (4 total points)
6. November 2
Jake sends Justin Jefferson (WR5), Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR29) & Michael Carter (RB28) to Schweg for CeeDee Lamb (WR14), D.J. Moore (WR27), DeVonta Smith (WR35) & Cordarrelle Patterson (RB26)
Jake - 20 active points (20 total points)
Schweg - 23 active points (37 total points)
Week 10 Preview
Sean (8-1) vs Erik (7-2)
A rematch of the Week 7 game which Sean ran away with 127-91, this game has crucial playoff implications. Sean has a chance to sweep the head-to-head series and move to 9-1 while knocking Erik down to 7-3, giving him what would essentially be a 3-game lead on the division. From the other perspective, Erik has a chance to even the series and tie Sean at 8-2, with both teams having just one divisional loss (from each other). Sean leads the series 8-7.
Game Rating: 15
Jacob (7-2) vs Chase (3-6)
Jacob can’t clinch the division this week, but he would practically do it if he wins and Aaron loses. Jacob could improve to 8-2 with his closest division mate sitting at 4-6 (Aaron or Jake). Jacob has already beaten both teams, but has one more matchup against both still to come. Chase will be trying to run the table like any of the other 3-6 or 4-5 teams, but faces an uphill battle according to projections. Jacob leads the series 9-6.
Game Rating: 10
Ryan (4-5) vs Aaron (4-5)
Whoever wins this game will likely be the only contender not currently in the playoff picture that could still have a shot. It will be tougher for Ryan seeing as he’s already been swept by Schweg and would need to pass him in the standings outright, or win against Erik and Sean and hope to end up tied with one of them. Aaron and Schweg have not played yet, so if he can improve to 5-5 and see Schweg lose to fall to 6-4, Aaron could pass him by defeating Schweg in Week 11, putting both teams at 6-5. Ryan leads the series 12-11.
Game Rating: 8
Schweg (6-3) vs Terrance (2-7)
Schweg has joined the playoff party as one of the four teams that are clearly separated from the rest. A win over Terrance would further cement that idea that our 4 playoff teams are virtually decided earlier than ever. He lost his games to Erik and Sean, but he plays them both once more and it is possible Schweg passes one or both of them to take the division. Terrance has scored over 100 points in 3 straight weeks and is starting to get hot. Probably too little too late, but he will be trying to avoid collecting consecutive toilet trophies. Terrance leads the series 9-8-1.
Game Rating: 8
Jake (3-6) vs Jarrett (1-8)
The Snake Chalice has come into play already. In Week 10, there is a scenario that would eliminate Jake the Snake from playoff contention. If Jake loses to Jarrett, he would fall to 3-7 on the year. Sean already has 8 wins and therefore can’t finish with more than 6 losses, so that is one team guaranteed to finish ahead of Jake. At worst, Erik could end up tied with Jake at 7-7, but Erik already won the lone regular season matchup and holds the tiebreaker, so there is the 2nd team guaranteed to finish ahead of Jake. If Schweg wins to improve to 7-3, it’s the same situation as Erik as Schweg already defeated Jake this season, which would make him the 3rd team guaranteed to finish ahead of Jake in the standings. Jacob already has 7 wins and has defeated Jake, however they play again in Week 14 so it’s possible that both teams end up tied at 7-7, and Jake would win that tiebreaker with a better divisional record (this is assuming Jake wins out and Jacob loses out). So if Jacob wins and gets to 8 wins, there is no need for a tiebreak and he would be the 4th team guaranteed to finish ahead of Jake in the standings. In that scenario, the fatal blow to the snake would be credited to the team who gave him that critical loss, none other than Jarrett Kimberly. Of course if this scenario doesn’t play out, we will be back on Snake Chalice watch next week. Jarrett leads the series 9-5.