Forum Posts

Commissioner Jensen
Nov 29, 2022
In Main Forum
I think these notepads are getting longer and longer, but the ratings are up so open wide and get ready for content! Ryan ran out of Monday night magic and came up just short against Jacob to fall to 6-6. Ryan could’ve put Kyler Murray in over Geno Smith to capture the win, or slotted Garrett Wilson in over Courtland Sutton (duh!) and won comfortably. It was also frustrating to see Jonathan Taylor start to walk in for a 2nd TD before Matt Ryan fumbled the exchange. So many what ifs for us teams that don’t make it. This was a classic Jensen season though. Big opening week followed by getting blown out twice. Then I win two really exciting games to make it to 3-2, but one of my top draft picks then blows his knee out. Fast forward through terrible performances in October to a super low scoring win that saves the hopes of the season. Then the team gets super hot and starts dropping 100 points every week, only to fall 1 point short and miss the playoffs. From here on out, if anyone else ever does this, it shall be called “pulling a Jensen”. Let’s dive into this juicy meat on the playoff bones. What we already knew was that Jacob has clinched his division, and Sean has clinched a playoff spot. Sean still has the advantage on the #1 seed thanks to a strength of victory (SoV) tiebreaker. Sean currently has an SoV of 58 while Jacob has a 46, which is a large enough margin for Sean to clinch the tiebreaker against Jacob. Sean has not yet clinched his division though. Here are the division leaders’ playoff scenarios. Sean wins #1 seed with 2 wins. Sean wins #1 seed with 1 win AND 1 loss from Jacob. Sean wins #1 seed with 2 losses from Jacob AND 1 loss from Erik. Jacob wins #1 seed with 2 wins AND 1 loss from Sean. Jacob wins #1 seed with 1 win AND 2 losses from Sean Jacob wins #1 seed with 2 losses from Sean AND 1 loss from Erik. The only way that Sean loses the division is if he loses his last two games and Erik wins his last two games, otherwise he will be the #1 or #2 seed. Jacob is guaranteed to be the #1 or #2 seed. Erik benefits from the elimination or the commissioner by being the 3rd team to clinch a playoff spot. His 9-3 record extends his record of “best start by a defending champion”, and it is good enough to guarantee he finishes ahead of Ryan and Aaron. Erik joins Terrance as the only defending champions to make the playoffs the following year (Terrance has done it twice). Here are the playoff scenarios for Erik: Erik wins #1 seed with 2 wins AND 2 losses from Sean AND 2 losses from Jacob. Erik wins #2 seed with 2 wins AND 2 losses from Sean AND at least 1 win from Jacob. Erik can clinch finishing no lower than the #3 seed with a win over Schweg this weekend. If Erik loses to Schweg this weekend, it will guarantee that the Schwegler brothers will be the wildcard teams. They will have split the season series and will both have a 4-3 divisional record. One team could win and the other could lose in Week 14 to decide the #3 and #4 seeds, or if the end up tied, it would mean their divisional records would be tied. Erik has an SoV of 38 while Schweg has an SoV of 36 (with an implied 37 if we are assuming Schweg wins in Week 13). Wins by Aaron, Jake or Terrance will improve Erik’s SoV score, while wins by Jacob will improve Schweg’s SoV score. Schweg has already been eliminated from the division title race, so he is trying to lock down a wildcard seed with a win in either week 13 or 14. The top 4 we have had for the last month continue to win and the playoffs look mostly secure for those top 4. But wait…there is another… Aaron is not dead yet at 6-6 and there is one scenario where he can remove Schweg from the playoff picture. Aaron has to win his last 2 games against Jacob and Chase, and Schweg has to lose his last 2 games against Erik and Sean. That’s 4 games that have to go a certain way for Aaron to sneak into the playoff picture. Now back into the usual Notepad stuff— Sean is still our points leader on the season, but his pace has fallen down to 1,511 points, good enough for 5th most in league history. After one week of having the fewest points scored against, Jacob passes the baton right back to Sean who is having 83.9ppg scored against him. That pace is 1,174, which would be the 5th fewest. Averaging 75.9ppg, Chase is on pace to have the 3rd lowest scoring season in league history. Schweg is getting hit with healthy 98.6ºppg, which isn’t too bad because the pace does not crack the top 10. Jacob becomes the 13th team to record a 6-game winning streak. Four other teams won 6 in a row, and four teams have won 7 in a row. Chase and Erik both won 8 games in a row (across different seasons), while Aaron recorded a 14-game and a 9-game winning streak in 2012 and 2013. If you are wondering how Aaron is our league leader in wins and winning percentage, remember that he went 24-4 during a 28-game stretch back in the day. Aaron becomes the first owner to win 100 games! He has a regular season record of 92-73-1, a playoff record of 6-4, and a consolation record of 2-2. The Schwegtopia division leads interdivisional play with a 21-8 record. For the first time all season, Jarrett is our lowest scorer of the week. Only the big 3 (Sean, Jacob, Erik) have avoided being the lowest weekly scorer. Prior to last week, we had never seen consecutive weeks where there was a 1-point margin of victory in any game in the league. Then for the first time, we had back to back weeks with a 1-point margin, and Jarrett just happened to be on the losing end of both of them. We now have 3 straight weeks of a 1-point victory, and now it’s Jacob who gets back-to-back 1-point victories. Jacob now leads the league with 5 career 1-point victories. Jacob’s win over Ryan was the 5th 1-point victory where both teams scored over 100 points, and Ryan has been on the losing end of 2 of those games. Ryan is now tied with Aaron for the 2nd most 100+ point losses. Ryan has a record of 40-13 when scoring at least 100 points. That 75.4% win percentage is the 2nd lowest in the league behind Jarrett’s 70.0% win pct. For the first time since the 2012 and 2013 seasons, we have at least 3 teams with at least 9 wins. 2013 was the only season that had 3 teams with 10 wins. This season has the potential to yield 3 teams with 11 wins. For the 2nd time this season, Jacob leads the league in scoring. For those who saw Derrick Henry catch a pass and run 69 yards before fumbling, you would know that he was so close to scoring a TD but instead fumbled it and it was recovered by Treylon Burks for a TD. If Henry had scored that TD, Chase would’ve beaten Schweg and the playoff picture would be much different. Justin Tucker’s 67-yard FG attempt would’ve given Chase the win as well had he converted. Terrance now has a record of 2-3 when he has a player score at least 40 points. Josh Jacobs 41 point game marks the 25th 40+ game in league history. Teams are 21-4 when a player scores at least 40 points, with Terrance making up for 3 of those losses. The other was when Aaron had the Seattle D/ST score 41 points in 2012 but he still lost, 151-135. All of the teams with the better record in each matchup won this week. Jarrett becomes the 7th team in league history to lose at least 11 games in one season. Only one team has lost 12 games and that was Erik in 2018, whose team name was “Hail Mary Jane,” finished just 1-12-1. One more win would keep FreiermuthKnuckleth out of being the worst team in league history. Aaron has now won 6 of the last 7 games against Jake and leads the series 15-9-1. The 15 wins are tied for 3rd most for any owner vs another. After the series was tied up at 6-6 in 2019, Schweg has now won 5 straight games against Chase to lead the series 11-6. Erik has defeated Terrance in 5 consecutive games, and is averaging 124.4ppg in those games. Erik used to have a record of 1-8-1 against Terrance which was the most lopsided rivalry at the time. Now Erik is 6-8-1 in a much more balanced rivalry. The bass is louder than the drums! Sean snaps a 5-game losing streak against Jarrett and beats him for the first time since Week 9, 2018. It was in that game that Jarrett failed to score 100 points which ended his record streak of 7 consecutive games of scoring 100 points or more. Sean would win that game and score over 100 points and would go on to break Jarrett’s record the following week with an 8th straight 100+ point game. Neither team ended up making the playoffs that year despite Sean scoring the 2nd most points in league history and Jarrett finishing with the 6th most. Through the first 7 weeks, teams were 19-2 when scoring at least 100 points (90.5% win pct). Since then, teams are 14-5 (73.7% win pct). After a week of falling behind, Ryan re-passes Jarrett to move back into 5th place for average points per game from the RB position. Jacob passes Aaron to move into 5th place for average points per game from the K position. A fun nugget to remember is Jake’s record against Ryan, Schweg & Sean in comparison to Jake’s record vs the rest of the league. Jake is 44-15 against those 3 owners and 50-67-2 against the rest of the league. Ever since winning his 3rd Robbie Bowl, Terrance is now 10-26-1 over the last 3 seasons. Jarrett has not clinched last place yet, and he gets to play the two 3-9 teams to close out the season: Chase & Terrance. If he wins both of those games and Chase loses to Aaron in Week 14, Jarrett could snake his way out of last place. Jake has now failed to score 100 points in 11 consecutive games. That is the 5th longest streak in league history. Schweg goes 3-1 in the month of November and remains the king of November with a 61.8% win pct. That drops down to 48.5% for Schweg in the month of December. Jacob has won his 3rd division title, which is tied with Ryan and Sean for 2nd most. Aaron has won 4 division titles, but Sean could also end up winning is division and moving up to 4 as well. Jacob will be in the playoffs for the 8th time in his 11 year career. The 8 playoff appearances are the most by any team in league history, breaking the tie he held with Terrance. Sean will be making his 5th playoff appearance while Erik will be making his 4th playoff appearance (all of which have come in the past 6 years). Both of these teams have now made the playoffs in 3 consecutive seasons, which is tied for 2nd most. Chase has now missed the playoffs in 6 consecutive seasons which is tied for the 2nd longest playoff drought in league history. Schweg will be looking for his 3rd playoff appearance, and will try to prevent Aaron from making his 6th trip to the playoffs. Week 13 Preview Erik (9-3) vs Schweg (8-4) The Schwegler Bowl is always one of the best games of our season, regardless of team records and implications. Schweg has a chance to punch his ticket to the playoffs with a win, while his younger brother has an opportunity to keep him from qualifying while staying in the division race. The most famous Schwegler matchup took place in Week 14 of our inaugural 2011 season. Schweg just needed to win to make the playoffs but lost to Erik 157-143. The 300 combined points still stands today as the most combined points in a single game. Erik leads the series 13-9, and won their lone playoff matchup in Robbie Bowl VII. Game Rating: 17 Jacob (10-2) vs Aaron (6-6) This classic, brotherly rivalry has been one of the best rivalries in the league for year. They have met twice in the semifinals, and Jacob won both of those matchups to advance to Robbie Bowl II and Robbie Bowl V. Aaron won the 3rd place game against Jacob in 2018. Aaron leads the all-time series 11-10-1. Game Rating: 16 Sean (10-2) vs Jake (4-8) Jake has won 4 straight games against Sean and leads the aforementioned series 12-4. The 75% win pct is tied for the 2nd most lopsided rivalry in the league. These teams have met 3 times in the playoffs and Jake has won all 3 games. That includes a victory in Robbie Bowl I, and semifinal victories in each of the last 2 seasons. Game Rating: 14 Ryan (6-6) vs Terrance (3-9) Ryan may have been eliminated from playoff contention, but he is still trying to get his 7th win to avoid a losing season. Ryan has never had a losing season in the history of the league, as he has finished 7-7 or 8-6 in all 11 seasons. Terrance leads the series 10-8 and has won all 3 of their playoff matchups which propelled Terrance to each of his 3 championships. That included a semifinal win in 2014, and back to back wins in Robbie Bowl VIII and Robbie Bowl IX. Game Rating: 9 Chase (3-9) vs Jarrett (1-11) One of these two teams will finish in last place. Terrance already beat both of these teams so he would win any tiebreaker and will not be the first person to finish in last place in back to back seasons. If Chase wins, Jarrett will clinch last place. Chase leads the series 10-9. Game Rating: 4
0
0
11
Commissioner Jensen
Nov 23, 2022
In Main Forum
I may be a little biased, but the headline from Week 11 has to be the incredible and improbable victory that I pulled out on the Sunday and Monday night games and the implications that game had on the playoff picture. First of all, Travis Kelce is a monster, and for the 2nd time this season, he has pulled out a win for me in a primetime game. Kelce’s 29 points in Week 11 were the 4th most ever from the TE position. Secondly, Sean still maintains the #1 seed but it’s by way of a strength of victory tiebreaker. Jacob and Sean split their interdivisional series, so strength of victory could be the deciding factor for the top seed. It is looking highly likely that Sean will maintain that tiebreaker in the event these two teams end up tied. Thirdly, Jacob and Sean become the 3rd and 4th teams to start the season 9-2. We have never seen a 10-1 or better team. The two previous teams to start the season 9-2 were Sean’s 2012 team, “Cruz Control,” and Aaron’s 2013 team, “Two Dollar Pistols.” Both teams went on to win the championship. Sean had already clinched a playoff spot last week thanks to his division record of 6-1. Even if he were to lose out, the schedule makes it so the other teams in his division will not all be able to pass him. Two of the teams could, but Sean would win any tiebreaker against Erik, Schweg or Ryan by either his head-to-head record, or his division record, or if a team still is tied with Sean, his strength of victory will be high enough to break any tie. Now we have a second playoff team with Jacob officially clinching the Vaidenville Division. His 9-2 record means he can finish 9-5 at worst, while Aaron could be 8-6 at best. Erik’s 8-3 start is the best start by any defending champion. Through Week 11, here are the results of each defending champion. You’ll see how only 2 defending champions have ever made the playoffs and they were both Terrance. 2012: Jake (4-6-1) - finished 9th 2013: Sean (1-10) - finished 9th 2014: Aaron (5-6) - finished 7th 2015: Terrance (5-6) - finished 3rd 2016: Jacob (3-8) - finished 10th 2017: Jake (6-5) - finished 5th 2018: Erik (1-10) - finished 10th 2019: Terrance (5-6) - finished 1st 2020: Terrance (5-6) - finished 8th 2021: Aaron (6-5) - finished 6th 2022: Erik (8-3) Erik is currently the #3 seed, but he was swept by Sean meaning he would have to win 2 more games than Sean in the final two weeks to overtake him for the division. The elder Schwegler holds on to the #4 seed despite a loss to put him at 7-4. Ryan sits right behind him at 6-5, but thanks to a season sweep, he essentially has a 2-game lead over both Ryan and Aaron going into the final 3 weeks. There have been 30 teams to start their season 7-4 or better, and every single one of them has made the playoffs. It would be pretty embarrassing to be the first 7-4 team to miss the playoffs. With a win over the league’s top team, Ryan’s season might have been saved, but he still has an uphill battle to crack the top 4. The schedule of the last 3 weeks is also very interesting with many of these teams having to play each other. We will take a look at the upcoming schedule a little later. Aaron gets 45 points in Mexico City to snap his 4 game losing streak and remain in the playoff picture. He can’t win his division. He can’t pass Sean, and he lost against Erik so he would lose a tiebreaker, which means he must overtake both Schweg and Ryan in the final 3 weeks. He lost the season series to Ryan, so he would need to pass him outright, but he would win a tiebreaker over Schweg. If Aaron wins out, he could even afford to let Schweg win one more game and still make the playoffs as long as Ryan lost two of his last three. Jake has now scored fewer than 80 points in 4 consecutive games, which is the longest streak of his career. That is tied for the 3rd longest streak for scoring less than 80 points in a game. There are four teams tied with a 5-game streak of sub-80 scoring, and Jarrett’s record setting lowest scoring team from 2017 went 9 consecutive weeks without hitting 80 points. Something interest that came out of this data was out of the 15 different streaks of at four games scoring below 80 points, 5 of those teams ended up making the playoffs. The last 4 wins for Ryan have been very close, with the margins of victory being 4, 1, 3 and 4. Sean is still our season points leader averaging 109.9 points per game which is on pace for 1,539 points which is only good enough for 4th most all time. He will need to finish with 1,547 points to have the 1st, 2nd and 3rd highest scoring seasons in league history. At the other end of the spectrum, Chase is averaging just 74.8 points per game which puts him on pace for 1,047 points which would be the 2nd fewest ever. For the first time this season, Schweg is now the team who has the most points scored against him, with an average of 99.5 points against every week. It seems like a lot but that pace wouldn’t even crack the top 10. Also a newcomer to the points list, Jacob is now on top for fewest points scored against. Maybe he’s 9-2 partly because he’s only having 83.4 points scored against him per game. That pace of 1,168 points against would be the 5th fewest in league history. The 135 points that Aaron scored were the 3rd most in any game this season, and it was tied for the 2nd most points that Aaron has ever scored in a game. Jarrett has now lost back-to-back games by 1 point. This was the first time in league history that we had back-to-back weeks where the even was a 1-point margin of victory, unless you count Jake’s 1-point in Robbie Bowl VI and the “following” week 1 of the 2017 season. The fact that the first time this happened also included Jarrett being the loser of both games seems highly improbable and unfortunate. Jarrett has been so close in most of his games too, losing 8 games by 17 or fewer points. This was Jarrett’s 4th career loss by 1-point, tying Chase for the most such losses. Tyler Bass records the 7th 20+ point game from a kicker in league history. Brett Maher also scored 20 points, but was dropped by Schweg before gametime. Aaron records his 99th win, and will be looking to become the first owner with 100 wins by defeating Jake in Week 12. Ryan has now tied Jake for the 2nd-most wins in league history with 94. No team has ever finished undefeated within their division, but there have been three teams that finished 7-1. Aaron in 2013 (finished 1st), Schweg in 2017 (finished 2nd), and Erik in 2021 (finished 1st) all went 7-1 in their division. Sean got his first division loss, but will play Schweg in Week 14 to try to get to 7-1. Jacob remains undefeated with two more division games left. He plays Aaron in Week 13 and Jake in Week 14. In a repeat of Robbie Bowl XI from last season, Erik defeats Jake once again to complete the season sweep. Erik has been dominant over Jake lately. Amidst Erik’s 1-12-1 disaster season of 2018, Erik managed to tie Jake in Week 13, ending Jake’s chances of making the playoffs. Erik is 8-1 against Jake since then. Schweg overtakes Jarrett and how has had the most career points scored against him with an average of 94.70 points scored against him each game. Ryan passes Chase to move into 2nd place for highest average points per game from the QB position. Jarrett passes Terrance to move into 4th place for highest average points per game from the WR position. Ryan passes Sean to move into 3rd place for highest average points per game from the TE position. Jake has started a league-high 32 different players across all positions, while Erik has started a league-low 21 different players. Jake has failed to score 100 points in 10 consecutive games, which is tied for the 5th longest streak in league history. Final 3 Weeks Hardly a week ago, our playoff picture looked clear and simple. Things got a little bit more interesting in Week 11. As mentioned earlier, Sean is our top seed and in control of his destiny. His final games are against Jarrett, Jake and Schweg. Jacob is our #2 seed and finishes the season against Ryan, Aaron and Jake. Erik is our #3 and he plays Terrance, Schweg and Ryan. Schweg is #4 and plays Chase, Erik and Sean. Ryan is #5 and plays Jacob, Terrance and Erik. Aaron is #6 and plays Jake, Jacob and Chase. Jake has officially been eliminated from playoff contention sitting in 7th place with a 4-7 record, and the other teams below him (Terrance, Chase & Jarrett) are also eliminated. We don’t need to pick apart the division leaders’ schedules the rest of the year, but seeds 3-6 can get very interesting. Erik plays two teams chasing him which gives him the ability to solidify his playoff status by defeating them, but also opens the door to a possibility where Erik falls out of playoff contention if he loses those games. Schweg is in control of his playoff destiny and has a favorable matchup against Chase in Week 12. After that, his games are against Erik and Sean, and the two teams chasing him (Ryan and Aaron) will be hoping to see Schweg drop some Ls. Ryan is hoping to get wins against Jacob and Terrance to get to 8-5, which would likely give him a win-and-get-in scenario in Week 14 against Erik. This season has been very odd, and it is within the realm of possibility that a team could finish 9-5 and still miss the playoffs which would be a first in league history. 83% of 6-loss teams end up making the playoffs. Aaron’s opponents are irrelevant to his specific playoff picture, which means he will be screen watching several games hoping for some luck to go his way. It would start with Erik losing to Terrance, Schweg losing to Chase and Ryan losing to Jacob in Week 14. Week 12 Preview Jacob (9-2) vs Ryan (6-5) Ryan leads the all-time series 9-8. Game Rating: 15 Erik (8-3) vs Terrance (3-8) Terrance leads the all-time series 8-5-1, but Erik has won 4 consecutive games by scoring 131, 110, 104 and 163 points in those games. Game Rating: 11 Sean (9-2) vs Jarrett (1-10) Jarrett leads the all-time series 12-8 in the Battle of the Rhythm Section game. Jarrett has won 5 straight against Sean and 11 of the last 12. Game Rating: 11 Schweg (7-4) vs Chase (3-8) Schweg leads the all-time series 10-6 and has won 4 consecutive games against Chase. Game Rating: 10 Aaron (5-6) vs Jake (4-7) Aaron leads the all-time series 14-9-1 and has won 5 of the last 6 matchups, including a win over Jake in Robbie Bowl X. Game Rating: 9
0
0
15
Commissioner Jensen
Nov 16, 2022
In Main Forum
Week 10 was the 3rd lowest scoring week of 2022, with an average score of 84.6 points. Teams scoring 100 points or more are 28-5 this season. That 84.8% win percentage is only good enough for 7th best in league history. The average score for all games in 2022 is 91.85 points, which puts the league on pace for a total of 12,859 points. That would be the 4th-fewest points ever scored in a season, and the fewest scored since 2017. The four teams that have never won a Robbie Bowl are Chase, Jarrett, Schweg and Ryan. Their total losses in league history are between -$778 and -$862. Right now we are on pace to have 269 adds/drops throughout the regular season. That would be the fewest since 2017, and tied for 2nd fewest ever. Sean remains our points leader and is on pace for 1,551 points, which would be good for 2nd most all-time. For the 2nd time in league history and the 2nd time for Sean, he has started a season 9-1. The championship team Cruz Control from 2012 started 9-1 before losing their 2nd game. If Sean can win this week, it will be the best start for any team in league history. Four weeks ago, the Vaiden brothers were tied at 4-2. Since then, Jacob has won 4 straight games and Aaron has lost 4 straight games. The 75 points scored by Erik were the fewest he’s had in any game this season, and the fewest he’s had since Week 10 of 2020. In each of the last two weeks, Terrance has gotten more points from Justin Fields (41 and 38) than he got from his QB in Weeks 1-5 combined (34). Aaron falls to 11-13 in his series against Ryan, and has lost 11 of their last 14 matchups. Jacob becomes the 4th owner in the league to reach 90 wins. With Terrance losing this week, Jacob now has the fewest losses of any owner (75). Jacob also surpasses Jake to move into 2nd place for career winning percentage (54.5%). In their last 4 games against each other, Jacob has narrowly escaped victory over Chase in 3 very low scoring battles. Jacob won their 2021 games 71-69 and 73-69, and has now won this season 111-74 and 76-44. The average score for those games is 83-64. Jacob now leads the series 10-6. After a disappointing game in which he scored just 44 points, Chase has the fewest points scored this season and is on pace to score 1,047 points which would be the 2nd fewest in league history. For the 8th time in league history, a team had 3 players score 0 or fewer points. Chase got 3 zeros from Chase Claypool, Taysom Hill & Jerry Jeudy. Over the last 4 weeks, the average score for Aaron is 92-113. He is averaging 99.3 points in the last 3 weeks but has not found good luck with his opponents. The 120 combined points scored in the Chase-Jacob game was the fewest of the season, and tied for the 7th fewest in league history. Ryan got 21 points from Jonathan Taylor and 19 points from D’Onta Foreman which were the 2nd and 3rd most RB point totals of his entire season. Taylor scored 23 points in Week 1, and Ryan only had one other RB (Deon Jackson) score over 15 points all season. Jake’s 1-point victory over Jarrett was the 2nd 1-point victory this season, and the 23rd game decided by a single point in league history. This was Jake’s 4th career game in which he won by 1 point, which is tied with Terrance for the most. Schweg is now tied with his brother for 2nd most career games with 100 points or more (71). Terrance leads the league with 74. There were 3 games in Week 10 that were decided by 5 points or less. Jake has now scored less than 100 points in 9 consecutive weeks. Sean passes Schweg to move into 3rd place for highest average points per game from the D/ST. Ryan passes Chase to move out of last place for average points per game from WRs. Schweg has now won 3 consecutive games. He is the only owner this season to have two separate 3-game winning streaks. Schweg was the highest scorer of the week in Week 10. He has been the leading score in two of the last three weeks. Playoff Picture Sean currently holds the #1 seed with a 9-1 record, and a 6-0 divisional record. He has already swept Erik and has one win against Schweg, which essentially gives him a 3-game lead with just 4 games to play. Sean has now officially clinched the first playoff spot of 2022, and can clinch the division with a win and losses from Schweg and Erik. Jacob currently holds the #2 seed with an 8-2 record, and a 5-0 divisional record. Jacob already has wins over his closest division mates Aaron and Jake. One more win from Jacob or one loss each from Aaron and Jake would seal the division for Jacob. Jacob can clinch a playoff spot this week with a win and a loss from Ryan. The wildcard spots are being held down by the Schwegler brothers. Erik won the week 1 matchup and holds the tiebreaker for now, giving him the edge as the #3 seed. They play again in Week 13. Out of the 23 teams to start the season with 3 or fewer losses through Week 10, every single one has made the playoffs. Schweg and Erik are the 24th and 25th teams. There are no clinching scenarios for the Schweglers in Week 10. Entrenched in the middle of the league harder than ever, Ryan sits at 5-5 with a 1-4 divisional record. He is two games behind each of the Schweglers, and has already been swept by Schweg, and has lost once to Erik and will face him in Week 14, so he is basically three games out of the playoff picture with four weeks to go. His win over Aaron gives him the season sweep of his interdivisional opponent. His tiebreakers over the 4-6 teams Aaron and Jake essentially give him a 2-game lead on 5th place. Ryan is trying to win at least two more games to continue his record streak of never finishing the regular season with a losing record. In the 11-year history, Ryan has six 7-7 finishes and five 8-6 finishes. Aaron sits in 6th place thanks to a tiebreaker win over Jake. They cannot afford to lose a single game and need a lot to go their way, but there is still a chance. Jake is currently in 7th place and the Snake Chalice has not yet been claimed. Erik will have a chance to win the Chalice for the 4th time in the 6 years we’ve had it by defeating Jake in Week 11. There have been two 4-6 teams that ended up making the playoffs. Chase sits in 8th place at 3-7, and has already been eliminated from contention within the division. He also cannot pass Sean or Erik for a wildcard spot, but he does play Schweg again next week in Week 12. If Chase wins out and Schweg loses out and they end up tied at 7-7, and we assume that Aaron, Jake and Ryan all get no more than 6 wins, there is a chance that Chase could win a strength of victory tiebreaker to make the playoffs. Amazing, but it is still possible for Chase. Terrance (2-8) and Jarrett (1-9 have officially been eliminated from playoff contention. Both teams have missed the playoffs in 3 consecutive seasons. Terrance is looking to avoid being last place in back-to-back seasons, and Jarrett will try to avoid getting his 3rd last place season. Week 11 Preview Sean (9-1) vs Ryan (5-5) Sean leads the all-time series 8-7 and has won 2 games in a row. Sean already defeated Ryan in Week 2 this season. Game Rating: 14 Erik (7-3) vs Jake (4-6) Erik leads the all-time series 13-9-1 which includes last year’s victory over Jake in Robbie Bowl XI. Erik already defeated Jake in Week 5 this season. Game Rating: 11 Schweg (7-3) vs Aaron (4-6) Schweg leads the all-time series 12-7 and has won 5 of the last 6 matchups. Game Rating: 11 Jacob (8-2) vs Jarrett (1-9) Jacob leads the all-time series 10-9, and the teams have alternated wins for 7 consecutive games. These two teams met in the 2014 semifinals when Jacob defeated Jarrett 67-42 in the lowest scoring game in league history, and again in the 2019 3rd Place game which Jarrett won. Jacob already defeated Jarrett in Week 1, so if the streak continues, it would be Jarrett’s turn to win. Game Rating: 9 Chase (3-7) vs Terrance (2-8) Chase leads the all-time series 10-8. Their last game was in Week 9 of 2021 which Chase won, but prior to that, Terrance had won 5 straight games against Chase. These two teams met in the 2016 3rd Place game and Chase rolled to a 125-74 victory. Game Rating: 5
0
0
12
Commissioner Jensen
Nov 09, 2022
In Main Forum
The streak is finally broken! Jarrett wins for the first time since November 21 of last year, almost a full calendar year. The 11-game losing streak will fester as the worst skid in league history. Jarrett gets a massive game from Joe Mixon, who scored the 3rd most points by an individual in league history with 50! Alvin Kamara scored 52 points in Robbie Bowl X (2020). Doug Martin (2012) and Jamaal Charles (2013) both scored 51 points, and now Mixon joins the 50-point club. Jarrett also snapped a 4-game losing streak against Aaron. Sean showed some savvy manager skills by snagging Isaiah Likely to handcuff Mark Andrews, who was not ruled out of Monday’s game until Sunday. Once down to just a 4% chance of victory, Sean pulled out a miracle thanks to Likely’s lone catch which was a 24-yard TD. Sean becomes the 5th team in league history to start the season with just 1 loss through 9 weeks. Sean started 8-1 in 2012 and finished 1st. Chase started 8-1 in 2013 and finished in 2nd. Erik started 7-1-1 in 2017 and 8-1 in 2021 and finished 1st both times. That’s a 100% rate of making it to the Robbie Bowl. Sean leads the league in scoring in 1,006 points. That’s on pace for 1,565 points, which would be the 2nd most in league history. Chase is now the lowest scoring team after being passed by both Jarrett and Terrance this past week. He is on pace to score 1,095 points which would be the 3rd fewest in league history. Chase also has had the most points scored against him, and is on pace to have 1,405 points scored against him this season which is not particularly close to any records, but the point differential for Chase so far this year is 199 points, or -22 points per game. I can’t imagine there’s ever been a scenario this late in the season where we have one owner (Chase) with the fewest points scored + most points scored against while we have another owner with the most points scored + fewest points scored against (Sean). Jacob and Terrance have both scored 100 points or more in three consecutive weeks, tying the 2nd longest streak of the season. Jake has now failed to hit the 100 point mark for the last 8 weeks. He scored 118 in Week 1 and now has a nasty dry spell going on. Jake has also been the lowest scorer of the week in back-to-back weeks. Justin Fields’ 41 points ties the most from the QB position this year. Lamar Jackson scored 41 points in Week 2. Both QBs were facing the Dolphins. Fields registers the 10th 40 point game for a QB in league history. The 134 total points scored in the Chase-Jake matchup ties the fewest total this season. That was another victory for Chase in Week 7 when he defeated Ryan 79-55. I won’t give away the position leaders because I like for that to be somewhat of a surprise at the banquet, but I will give an update on who is in last place of each positional category. Quarterback - Jarrett 14.89 points per start — 4.62 points below league average Running Back - Ryan 7.32 points per start — 3.65 points below league average Wide Receiver - Chase 6.40 points per start — 2.68 points below league average Tight End - Terrance 2.44 points per start — 3.22 points below league average Kicker - Erik 4.56 points per start — 2.63 points below league average Defense/Special Teams - Jarrett 6.89 points per start — 2.84 points below league average Jarrett has passed Ryan to move into 5th place for career average from the RB position. Playoff Odds As stated above, Sean becomes the 5th team to start the season with 1 loss through the first 9 weeks. The other four not only made the playoffs, but also went to the Robbie Bowl, winning 75% of the time. Teams with two losses such as Jacob (7-2) and Erik (7-2) make the playoffs 100% of the time. The two youngest members of the league become the 8th and 9th teams to start 7-2 in league history. Schweg improved to 6-3, and teams with just 3 losses through Week 9 make the playoffs 74% of the time. This is not a season for parity, as we have to jump down 2 games (plus many tiebreakers so essentially 3 games down) before we get to Ryan and Aaron at 4-5. Only 25% of 5 loss teams make the playoffs. Jake and Chase are both sitting at 3-6, and only have an 8% chance of making the playoffs. Only two 3-6 teams have ever made the playoffs. Terrance’s team in 2015 started 3-6 and finished the regular season 8-6 and would end up in 3rd place, and Aaron’s 2018 team started 3-6 and finished 8-6, also placing 3rd. For Terrance (2-7) and Jarrett (1-8), no team in their situation has ever made the playoffs. Even if Terrance won the rest of his games and finished 7-7, only one 7-7 team has ever made the playoffs (Dobber in 2011), and this year is shaping up to have at least four teams finish above .500. Schweg has surpassed Aaron to become the winningest team in the month of November. His 61.5% win pct in November is 3rd behind Jacob in September (63.2%) and Terrance in December (63.6%). Trade Tracker 1. September 13 Jake sends Tyreek Hill (WR1) to Schweg for James Robinson (RB24) & Diontae Johnson (WR52) Schweg - 117 active points (117 total points) Jake - 35 active points (82 total points) 2. September 25 Chase sends Jeff Wilson (RB23) to Jacob for Adam Thielen (WR36) Chase - 44 active points (44 total points) Jacob - 19 active points (61 total points) 3. October 12 Chase sends Kyle Pitts (TE17) to Jacob for Darren Waller (TE31) Chase - 0 active points (0 total points) Jacob - 9 active points (23 total points) 4. October 14 Ryan sends Darrell Henderson (RB43) & Allen Lazard (WR20) to Jarrett for Miles Sanders (RB12) Ryan - 41 active points (41 total points) Jarrett - 25 active points (58 total points) 5. October 27 Jarrett sends DeVonta Smith (WR35) to Schweg for Dak Prescott (QB38) Jarrett - 25 active points (25 total points) Schweg - 0 active points (4 total points) 6. November 2 Jake sends Justin Jefferson (WR5), Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR29) & Michael Carter (RB28) to Schweg for CeeDee Lamb (WR14), D.J. Moore (WR27), DeVonta Smith (WR35) & Cordarrelle Patterson (RB26) Jake - 20 active points (20 total points) Schweg - 23 active points (37 total points) Week 10 Preview Sean (8-1) vs Erik (7-2) A rematch of the Week 7 game which Sean ran away with 127-91, this game has crucial playoff implications. Sean has a chance to sweep the head-to-head series and move to 9-1 while knocking Erik down to 7-3, giving him what would essentially be a 3-game lead on the division. From the other perspective, Erik has a chance to even the series and tie Sean at 8-2, with both teams having just one divisional loss (from each other). Sean leads the series 8-7. Game Rating: 15 Jacob (7-2) vs Chase (3-6) Jacob can’t clinch the division this week, but he would practically do it if he wins and Aaron loses. Jacob could improve to 8-2 with his closest division mate sitting at 4-6 (Aaron or Jake). Jacob has already beaten both teams, but has one more matchup against both still to come. Chase will be trying to run the table like any of the other 3-6 or 4-5 teams, but faces an uphill battle according to projections. Jacob leads the series 9-6. Game Rating: 10 Ryan (4-5) vs Aaron (4-5) Whoever wins this game will likely be the only contender not currently in the playoff picture that could still have a shot. It will be tougher for Ryan seeing as he’s already been swept by Schweg and would need to pass him in the standings outright, or win against Erik and Sean and hope to end up tied with one of them. Aaron and Schweg have not played yet, so if he can improve to 5-5 and see Schweg lose to fall to 6-4, Aaron could pass him by defeating Schweg in Week 11, putting both teams at 6-5. Ryan leads the series 12-11. Game Rating: 8 Schweg (6-3) vs Terrance (2-7) Schweg has joined the playoff party as one of the four teams that are clearly separated from the rest. A win over Terrance would further cement that idea that our 4 playoff teams are virtually decided earlier than ever. He lost his games to Erik and Sean, but he plays them both once more and it is possible Schweg passes one or both of them to take the division. Terrance has scored over 100 points in 3 straight weeks and is starting to get hot. Probably too little too late, but he will be trying to avoid collecting consecutive toilet trophies. Terrance leads the series 9-8-1. Game Rating: 8 Jake (3-6) vs Jarrett (1-8) The Snake Chalice has come into play already. In Week 10, there is a scenario that would eliminate Jake the Snake from playoff contention. If Jake loses to Jarrett, he would fall to 3-7 on the year. Sean already has 8 wins and therefore can’t finish with more than 6 losses, so that is one team guaranteed to finish ahead of Jake. At worst, Erik could end up tied with Jake at 7-7, but Erik already won the lone regular season matchup and holds the tiebreaker, so there is the 2nd team guaranteed to finish ahead of Jake. If Schweg wins to improve to 7-3, it’s the same situation as Erik as Schweg already defeated Jake this season, which would make him the 3rd team guaranteed to finish ahead of Jake in the standings. Jacob already has 7 wins and has defeated Jake, however they play again in Week 14 so it’s possible that both teams end up tied at 7-7, and Jake would win that tiebreaker with a better divisional record (this is assuming Jake wins out and Jacob loses out). So if Jacob wins and gets to 8 wins, there is no need for a tiebreak and he would be the 4th team guaranteed to finish ahead of Jake in the standings. In that scenario, the fatal blow to the snake would be credited to the team who gave him that critical loss, none other than Jarrett Kimberly. Of course if this scenario doesn’t play out, we will be back on Snake Chalice watch next week. Jarrett leads the series 9-5. Game Rating: 4
0
0
15
Commissioner Jensen
Nov 02, 2022
In Main Forum
Week 8 was the highest scoring week of the season, and the highest since Week 6 of last season, with 1,002 total points scored. There were 6 teams that scored over 100 points, which was the most since Week 5 of 2021. Erik and Sean become the 7th and 8th teams to start a season with just one loss through the first 8 weeks. The previous 6 teams all made the playoffs. Three of those teams won the Robbie Bowl, while one of those teams lost the Robbie Bowl. The other two lost the 3rd place game and finished in 4th place. Jacob has started 6-2 or better in 3 of the last 4 years. He is the 13th team to start a season 6-2, and historically has a 75% chance of making the playoffs. Schweg is currently alone in 4th place at 5-3 which gives him a 62% chance of making the playoffs. Ryan and Aaron are in the middle at 4-4 in 5th and 6th place, and they have a 40% chance of making the playoffs. Jake is alone at 3-5 and in 7th place, and has just a 12% chance of making the playoffs. Only 3 of the 25 teams that have started 3-5 have ended up making the playoffs. Terrance and Chase are sitting at 2-6, and would probably need to win out plus some help to have a shot at making the playoffs. Only Terrance’s team from 2015 was 2-6 and found its way into the playoffs. Sean’s winning streak is finally broken. After an incredible 7-0 start, Sean looked to become the first team in TPDFFL history to start 8-0, but his efforts were thwarted by fellow division leader, Jacob. The longest active winning streak is now shared between Jacob and Terrance with 2 consecutive wins. Sean still holds onto the #1 seed for now thanks to a tiebreaker over Erik, but the loss to Jacob after winning their matchup in Week 6 has evened the series. The record-setting 13-game win streak that Jake had against Ryan is finally over. Ryan wins 72-71 to end the streak and defeat Jake for the first time in 2,879 days, which was Week 14 of the 2014 season, almost 8 years ago. The one point victory was the closest margin of victory all-season, with somewhat of an asterisk because of Ryan’s decision to sit Tyler Boyd and preserve the victory. This was the 3rd lowest scoring game out of the 23 matchups between Ryan and Jake. The last one point victory took place in Week 13 of last season when Erik defeated Schweg 120-119. This game was the 22nd game in league history to be decided by a single point, and it was Ryan’s 3rd career 1-point victory. The new longest active winning streak of any owner vs owner rivalry is Terrance’s 8-game winning streak he has on Jarrett which dates back to 2018, and one that he just extended this week. Terrance is now 16-4 against Jarrett, and the 80% winning pct makes it the most lopsided rivalry in the TPDFFL. The 2nd, 3rd and 4th most lopsided rivalries all belong to Jake. Jake has a combined record of 44-15 against Sean, Schweg and Ryan. Sean remains the points leader, but his pace has dropped to 1,569 points, which would be enough for 2nd most all-time. Sean has also had the fewest points scored against him and is on pace to have 1,139 points scored against, which would be the 3rd fewest all-time. Jarrett becomes the first team to start a season 0-8, and his losing streak goes back 3 games into 2021, meaning he is now on a league-record 11-game losing streak, breaking the tie he held with Erik’s 10-game losing streak from 2018, when Erik finished 1-12-1. Jarrett has the fewest points scored this season and is on pace to score 1,095 points which would be the 3rd fewest. Coming into Week 8, we had seen just two 30+ point performance from RBs this season, Josh Jacobs in Week 7 and Austin Ekeler in Week 5. We had four RBs go for 30+ in Week 8: Kamara, Henry, Pollard & CMC. We could’ve had five had Ryan started D’Onta Foreman. Chase has had the most points scored against him this season and is on pace to have 1,468 points scored against which would be the 2nd most all-time. For just the 23rd time in league history, a lineup included at least 2 players who scored over 30 points. That was Schweg’s team with 32 from Tony Pollard and 31 from CMC. Jarrett had two players combine for -1 point. This was the 11th time in Jarrett’s career that he has gotten 0 points (or less) from at least two players. That is tied for the most in the league with Aaron. Week 8 was a complete interdivisional showdown. All 5 games featured a team from Schwegtopia and one from Vaidenville. Jacob won his game against Sean, but Schwegtopia went 4-1 on the week, and they improve to 16-5 on the season. Jake was the lowest scorer of the week with 71 points, and will be contributing to the 3rd place bottom bitch fund. Schweg becomes the 3rd owner with 70 career games scoring at least 100 points. Terrance is the leader with 73 and Erik is at 71. The 247 combined points scored between Schweg and Chase were the 2nd most this season. The 234 combined points scored between Erik and Aaron were the 3rd most this season. Chase scores over 100 points for the first time this season, but unfortunately still lost. Coming into Week 8, there had only been two 100 point losses all season. Both Chase and Aaron lost this week while scoring over 100 points. The 100+ scoring win pct drops to 85.2% on the season, which is still above the all-time average. Aaron’s loss was his 13th career loss while scoring at least 100 points, which is the 2nd most in league history. For Chase, this was his 10th career 100 point loss. After getting passed last week, Schweg jumps back in front of Sean to move into 2nd place for total career points scored. Jake remains the leader in winning pct for the month of October with 58.5%. After several awful years early on in league history, Erik is still in last place for October but has worked his way back to the pack with a 42.5% win pct. Looking ahead to November, the monthly leader is Aaron with a career winning pct of 61.7%, which is the 3rd best of any owner in any month. We’ve highlighted Chase’s November struggles in years past as he sits with a 30.8% winning pct. Only Jarrett in September is worse. Chase’s November record is 12-27 and Jarrett’s September record is 12-29. Chase’s struggles have been consistent for the past 5 seasons, as he has a November record of 4-17 since 2017. Week 9 Preview 2) Jacob (6-2) vs 3) Erik (7-1) Jacob leads the series 10-7, but it was Erik who won their last meeting in the 2021 Semifinal. Game Rating: 13 4) Schweg (5-3) vs 5) Ryan (4-4) Ryan leads the series 10-9, but Schweg has won the last 2 games including a win in Week 6 earlier this season. The winner of this game will have the inside track on the final wildcard seed. Game Rating: 9 1) Sean (7-1) vs 8) Terrance (2-6) This is one of the underrated rivalries of the league. Sean and Terrance have been in each other’s division every year so they’ve played twice every single year and three times in 2012 when Sean defeated Terrance in the semifinal. This series is all tied up at 11-11 with Sean winning 4 of the last 5, including a win in Week 3 earlier this season. Game Rating: 9 7) Jake (3-5) vs 9) Chase (2-6) Jake leads this series 9-7. We aren’t pulling out the snake chalice yet, but one more loss could mean the chalice will be up for grabs earlier than any other season. Game Rating: 5 6) Aaron (4-4) vs 10) Jarrett (0-8) Poor, poor Jarrett. Aaron leads this series 10-5 and has won 4 straight games. Jarrett will be trying to snap his league-record 11-game losing streak. Aaron will try to win to keep up in the wildcard race. Aaron plays fellow wildcard challengers Ryan in Week 10 and Schweg in Week 11. Game Rating: 4
0
0
18
Commissioner Jensen
Oct 27, 2022
In Main Forum
Sean becomes the 2nd team in league history to start the season 7-0. The only other person to do it was Chase in his inaugural season of 2013. Chase’s team would go on to finish 10-4 in the regular season and would lose Robbie Bowl III. Through the first 7 weeks, Chase scored 788 total points, or 112.5 ppg. Sean has scored 813 points, or 116.1 ppg which puts him on pace for 1,626 total points which would be the all-time record. If Sean ends up with 1,547 points this season or more, the three highest scoring seasons in league history will all be from Sean’s teams, with the other two seasons being 2018 and 2020. When Chase did finally lose his first game, it was in Week 8 and it just happened to be against Sean who was 0-7 at the time. Sean squeaked out the victory 104-103. On top of being the leading scorer, Sean also has the fewest points scored against him with just 534 points, or 76.3 ppg. That is a per game point differential of about 40 points! His current pace would put him at 1,068 points scored against, which would be 50 points below the current record. Sean has been the leading scorer in four out of seven weeks so far, and has led the league in scoring for 3 consecutive weeks. Sean becomes the first owner in league history to lead the league in scoring for 3 straight weeks! Sean has now passed Schweg to move into 2nd place all-time for most career points scored (regular season only). He also passes Schweg to move into 3rd place all-time for average points per game. Erik’s winning streak of 8 games has finally been broken, and it will remain tied for the 3rd longest winning streak in league history. The streak started in last year’s playoffs (Weeks 15-16) and continued through Week 6 this year. It’s been a long time for the Ryans since the last led the league in scoring for a week. For Commish, the last time was in Week 4 of 2020 when he scored 123 points. And for Schweg, you have to go all the way back to Week 9 of 2019 when he scored 120 points. Josh Jacobs now has the best and the 3rd best RB performances of the season. Jarrett has now lost a league-high 100 career games. Erik has the 2nd most losses with 90. Jake is the new king of October. His 59.6% winning pct is the best with a record of 31-21. Seven weeks into the season, and we still have yet to hit 1000 total points for a single week. In Week 7, there were just 900 total points scored. Teams scoring 100 points or more this season are 19-2. The 90.5% win pct is higher than any single season percentage. The season record was 88% set in 2013, and the all-time winning percentage for teams scoring 100 or more points is 83.5%. Terrance is no longer in last place for total points scored after passing up Chase this past weekend. Chase is now sitting with 529 total points, or 75.6 ppg. That puts Chase on pace to score 1,058 points, which would be tied with Chase’s 2015 squad for 2nd fewest ever. Jake still has the most points scored against with a total of 702 points, or 100.3 ppg. That puts him on pace to have 1,404 points scored against him, which is no longer that close to breaking any records. Jake and Chase both win this week despite getting 0 points from 2 players each, which is only the 2nd and 3rd time that has happened this season. In all 3 occurrences this season where an owner has had two players score 0 points, that owner has ended up winning their game anyway. The 55 points scored by Commish earns him Week 7 Bottom Bitch and it’s the 2nd fewest points scored in a game this season. It is the 2nd fewest points that Commish has ever scored in his career, with the fewest being 54 points (also against Chase) in Week 4, 2015. The victory for Chase over Commish ended up being 79-55, and the 134 combined points scored were the fewest in any game this season. Chase is now the only manager without a game over 100 points this season. Playoff Picture: 1. Sean (7-0) — The only other 7-0 team in league history obviously made the playoffs. 2. Jacob (5-2) — Teams with this record after week 7 make the playoffs 80% of the time. 3. Erik (6-1) — Erik is just the 8th owner to start a season 6-1, and teams with that record make the playoffs 86% of the time. Only Chase’s 2018 squad started 6-0 before missing the playoffs at 8-6. 4. Schweg (4-3) — Schweg currently holds a strength-of-victory tiebreaker over Aaron. Teams at 4-3 have a 50% chance of making the playoffs. 5. Aaron (4-3) — Stated above 6. Commish (3-4) — Currently holds a strength-of-victory tiebreaker over Jake. Teams at 3-4 have a 23% chance of making the playoffs. 7. Jake (3-4) — Stated above 8. Chase (2-5) — Chase becomes the 19th team to start a season 2-5, and only one time did a 2-5 team end up making the playoffs. Terrance actually started 2-6 in 2015 before winning his final 6 games. He almost won the semifinal game if it weren’t for David Johnson’s epic comeback for Jake. Terrance would’ve won Robbie Bowl V that season if he could’ve scored 5 more points in that semifinal, so there is still hope for Chase. 9. Terrance (1-6) — Terrance finally gets his first win of the season. He becomes the 7th team to start 1-6, and unfortunately for him, no 1-6 team has ever made the playoffs. 10. Jarrett (0-7) — Jarrett becomes just the 2nd team in league history to start the season 0-7. The aforementioned Sean team of 2013 started 0-7 before knocking off 7-0 Chase. A loss for Jarrett this week would give him the record for longest losing streak (11 games) and would make him the first team to ever start the season 0-8. Week 8 Preview Ryan (3-4) vs Jake (3-4) Jake has won a league-record 13 consecutive games against Ryan. Ryan's last victory was in Week 14, 2014, almost 8 calendar years ago. He has a total record of 17-5 against Ryan. The 17 wins are the most that any owner has against another, and the 77.3% win percentage is the 2nd highest in any rivalry in the league. Sean (7-0) vs Jacob (5-2) Jacob leads the series 12-8. Sean has a chance to become the first 8-0 team in league history. This is the first time in league history where the two division leaders will be playing each other, both with a division record of 4-0. Erik (6-1) vs Aaron (4-3) Aaron leads the series 16-6. The 72.7% winning percentage against Erik is the 5th highest pct of any rivalry in the league. Aaron has won 4 straight games against Erik. This game is between the 2nd place teams in each division, so this will be almost as important as the Sean vs Jacob matchup. Schweg (4-3) vs Chase (2-5) Schweg leads the series 9-6 and has won 3 consecutive games. Schweg will try to hold onto his wildcard seed for another week, and will be happy to see two other teams with winning records lose this weekend. Terrance (1-6) vs Jarrett (0-7) Terrance leads the all-time series 15-4. The 78.9% winning percentage makes this rivalry THE most lopsided in league history. Terrance has won 7 consecutive games against Jarrett, which is the 2nd longest active streak, and it is currently tied for the 4th longest winning streak of any owner vs owner series. Jarrett will try to avoid becoming the first team in league history to start the season 0-8.
0
0
11
Commissioner Jensen
Oct 20, 2022
In Main Forum
Week 6 was the 2nd lowest scoring week of the season so far, with just 844 total points scored across the league. That is the 20th lowest scoring week in league history out of 160 weeks. Erik & Sean both continue their remarkable seasons by extending to 6-0. As I pointed out last week, we have never had two 5-0 teams let alone two 6-0 teams. Erik has now tied Chase for the 3rd-longest winning streak in league history with 8 straight wins. Chase won in weeks 13-14 of 2017, and started 6-0 in 2018. One more win from Erik would tie Aaron’s record for the 2nd-longest winning streak of 9 games, which Aaron did in weeks 5-13 of 2012. The seemingly untouchable record of longest winning streak remains at 14 games when Aaron’s “Two Dollar Pistols” won 14 straight games from weeks 3-16 (including winning Robbie Bowl III) after starting the 2013 season 0-2. Either Erik or Sean have been the highest scorer of the week in 5 of the 6 weeks this season. Prior to this season, there had only been 3 teams to start 6-0. Sean started 6-0 in 2012 and won Robbie Bowl II. Chase started 6-0 in 2013 and lost Robbie Bowl III, and Chase started 6-0 in 2018 before November came around and he found himself at 6-6 and would miss the playoffs. Erik & Sean are the 4th and 5th teams in league history to start 6-0. On the flip side, Terrance & Jarrett become the 4th and 5th teams to start a season 0-6. Don’t get to bring up this team very often, but the Nathan Carlson / Steve Ott squad, “Lockout With My Cock Out,” started 0-6 in 2011 and would finish 3-11 and in last place. Sean started 0-6 in 2013 and finished 3-11 and in 9th place. Terrance started 0-6 in 2021 and finished 4-9-1 and in last place. If the season ended today, this is what the playoff picture would look like. Sean (6-0) — Sean and Erik are both undefeated, and both hold a 3-0 divisional record, and both have the same strength of victory as of now, so Sean gets the top seed after 6 weeks because of a points tiebreaker. Jacob (4-2) — Jacob and Aaron are both tied on top of the Vaidenville division, and both have a 3-0 divisional record, and both have the same strength of victory as of now, so Jacob gets the nod at the #2 seed because of a points tiebreaker. Erik (6-0) — The top wildcard spot obviously goes to our undefeated defending champion. Schweg (4-2) — The dream of a Schwegler Bowl is possible this season with both Schwegler teams performing well. Schweg is tied with Aaron for this wildcard spot, but his strength of victory is currently higher than Aaron’s. Aaron (4-2) — Still right there in the hunt for the division title or a wildcard seed. Ryan (3-3) — Steady as she goes, keep us as close to .500 as you can, forever and always. Jake (2-4) — Is Jake’s snakelike prediction coming true? Will he slither out of the cellar to become a late season challenger? Chase (1-5) — Frustrating start to the season derailed by key injuries and underperforming mid-round picks. Jarrett (0-6) — Thanks to a points tiebreaker, Jarrett is currently not the league’s bottom bitch. Terrance (0-6) — Our league legend and defending bottom bitch is making a run at back-to-back toilet trophies. Aaron has had trouble deciding between Kareem Hunt & Amari Cooper all season, but in Week 6 he got it right with Cooper who finished with 10 points while Hunt scored just 1. That 9-point difference would’ve given Aaron the loss had he started Hunt. Aaron’s 90-83 win over Terrance was just the 3rd game this season that was decided by less than 10 points. Sean is currently our league leader in points, and is on pace to score 1,600 points which would be 8 points behind his record set in 2020. He has also had the fewest points scored against him. The average score of Sean’s games this season has been 114-73. He is on pace to have 1,033 points scored against him which would be 84 points below the current record. Terrance has his best game of the year and puts up 83 points in the loss against Aaron. He is now averaging 70 points per game through 6 weeks, which is a pace of 980 points on the year which would be 32 points less than the current record. Chase has has the most points scored against him and is on pace to have 1,498 points scored against him, which is 107 points per game. That pace would break the current record. Sean was the only owner to score over 100 points this week, thanks to getting at least 13 points from all non-kicker, non-D/ST positions. The Cincinnati Bengals have given up a season-high 14 points from the kicker position in two straight weeks (Will Lutz & Justin Tucker). Schweg has passed Terrance to move into 6th place for most career wins. Despite playing one season less, Terrance made it as high as 4th place in the career wins list, but all this losing lately has dropped him to 7th place, with Erik just 4 games behind him. Jarrett loses his 9th consecutive game, which stands alone as the 2nd longest losing streak in league history. One more loss for Jarrett would tie Erik’s record of 10 straight losses, and it would also be Jarrett’s 100th loss as he is sitting with a league-high 99 losses after Week 6. Aaron wins career game 98, which is the most in league history. He wins his 6th consecutive game against Terrance, and leads the series 12-5. The last time Aaron lost to Terrance was in Week 1, 2017. Aaron has a 70.6% win percentage against Terrance, which puts him into the exclusive “70% Club”. Aaron joins Jake as the only owner who has at least a 70% win pct against 3 different owners. In a rematch of last year’s 3rd place game, Sean defeats Jacob by 51 points, which is the 3rd largest margin of victory this season, and it is the largest margin of victory in the Jacob-Sean series, which Jacob still leads 12-8. Jake finally gives Breece Hall his first career start in the TPDFFL and defeats Chase to take a 9-7 series lead. Erik has now won four straight games against Jarrett and leads the series 11-7. Schweg gets an important divisional win against Ryan, but Ryan still leads the series 10-9. That is the 6th straight game in this series that was decided by less than 15 points. Teams scoring 100 points or more are now 16-2 this season. That 88.9% win pct would be good enough to be the highest in league history, and is far above the career win pct of 83.4%. We are currently on pace to have just 42 games of 100 points or more, which would be the fewest since 2017. Erik has now scored over 1,000 more points than Jarrett in his career. Erik now has 15,373 career points (regular season only) which is 96.08 points per game while Jarrett has 14,310 career points which is 89.44 points per game. It might be time for Jarrett to prioritize the TE position. He is averaging 5.99 points per game from his TEs in his career, which is the lowest average not just among TEs, but for anyone at any position. Jarrett is averaging 3.5 points per game from his TEs this season which surprisingly is not last place, as Terrance is averaging just 1.83 points per game from his TEs. Terrance’s TEs have scored 11 points across six weeks this season. Aaron is the new king of October. His record of 30-20-1 is good enough for a 59.8% win pct which is the best for October in the league, and it is the 6th best record in any month by all owners. Week 7 Preview Sean (6-0) vs Erik (6-0) This is perhaps the most outrageous regular season matchup this league has ever seen, and it is the first of two matchups that will take place between these two in the next month, as they will play again in Week 10. This is a divisional game with massive division title and playoff tiebreaker implications at stake. The early projections are in favor of Sean, probably because Josh Allen is on a bye for Erik (which means Gabe Davis is on a bye for Sean). The all-time series between these two teams is tied 7-7, with Erik winning 4 of the last 5 games. Jacob (4-2) vs Aaron (4-2) The other division leaders will be facing off this week as well, which is good news for those of us sitting in the middle or below, because we are guaranteed to see at least two teams with winning records lose this weekend. Aaron leads this brotherly series 11-9-1. Just like the Sean vs Erik matchup, the winner of this game takes early control of their respective division and will improve to a 4-0 division record. Schweg (4-2) vs Terrance (0-6) The only other team with a winning record that the rest of us are hoping will be caught with the hot potato when Terrance’s team finally wins is Schweg. These two teams finished in 9th and 10th place last year, but it was Schweg who won the tiebreaker by winning the series against Terrance 1-0-1 last year. Their last game against each other ended up in a 74-74 tie. The all-time series is tied at 8-8-1. Ryan (3-3) vs Chase (1-5) Both cockstrong owners are frustrated with their teams lack of performance and will be looking for a blue pill to get things going this weekend. It’s looking like both teams will be throwing darts with Wan’Dale Robinson & Taysom Hill currently slated to start in the flex. Chase leads the series 7-5 thanks to a 6-game winning streak from 2015-2019. Ryan has won the last two games in the series. Jake (2-4) vs Jarrett (0-6) C’mon Jerry! We need you this week and your team looks pretty solid despite the 0-6 record. Jake is still projected to get the win and could revive what looked like a lost season. If anyone can slither back from the dead, it’s Jake the Snake. Jarrett has an impressive record of 9-4 against Jake.
0
0
13
Commissioner Jensen
Oct 12, 2022
In Main Forum
We now have two 5-0 teams for the first time in league history. We also have two 0-5 teams for the first time in league history. There have only been 4 other teams in league history that started 5-0. Sean started 5-0 in 2012 and went on to win Robbie Bowl II. Chase started 7-0 in 2013 and went on to lose Robbie Bowl III. Jake started 5-0 in 2017 and missed the playoffs at 7-7. Chase started 6-0 in 2018 and missed the playoffs at 8-6. Because of those missed opportunities, teams that start 5-0 technically have a historic rate of 50% to make the playoffs. Jacob improves to 4-1, and has a 92% chance of making the playoffs. Only 1 team has ever started 4-1 and missed the playoffs, and that was Ryan in 2020. We have three teams sitting at 3-2 (Ryan, Schweg & Aaron). These teams have a 56% chance of making the playoffs. No teams are currently 2-3, so we look down at the 1-4 teams (Jake & Chase) and the 0-5 teams (Terrance & Jarrett). We have had 14 teams start 1-4, and 3 more teams start 0-5. None of those 17 teams made the playoffs, so if Jake, Chase, Terrance or Jarrett can pull it off, they’d be the first. Five weeks into the season and still we have not hit the 1,000 total points mark. This is the fewest amount of points scored since the 2017 season. Erik is on pace to score 1,616 points which would break the current record of 1,608 (Sean - 2020). Sean is on pace to score 1,593 points. Teams scoring 100 points are currently 15-2 this season. That 88.2% win pct would be the highest for any season. Only Jarrett and Schweg have been unlucky enough to score 100 points and lose this year. Erik is currently on a 7-game winning streak going back to last year. One more win would be tied for 3rd place for longest winning streak with Chase (Week 13-14, 2017; Week 1-6, 2018). Sean’s 145 points are the highest of any game this season. The 249 combined points in the Sean-Schweg game were the most of any game this season as well. Erik has now scored 100 points or more in 4 straight games. Terrance and Chase have yet to hit 100 points this season. Erik becomes the 2nd owner with 70 career 100 point games, and is just one game behind Terrance at 71. Erik scored 128 points despite having two players score 0 (Tee Higgins & Younghoe Koa). That’s the first game this season where an owner had two players score 0. The last time it happened was on Sean’s team in last year’s 3rd place game. Terrance is averaging 67 points per game and continues the worst start to a season in TPDFFL history. Not only is he 0-5, but he is on pace to score just 943 points, which is an erotic 69 points below the record of 1,012 (Jarrett - 2017). It’s not all his fault…Jake has had the most points scored against him this season, which is a big reason why he has lost 4 straight games, and is on pace to have 1,573 points scored against him. That is 102 points above the previous record of 1,471 (Jarrett - 2018). Sean’s team has been elite so far this season, but he has also faced some rather meek opposition. He is currently on pace to have 1,055 points scored against him, which would be 63 points below the current record of 1,118 (Aaron - 2013). Ryan has now tied Jake for 2nd place all time in career wins (91). Sean has broken the tie and surpassed both Schweg and Terrance to move into 4th place in career wins (84). Jacob has surpassed Terrance to move into 3rd place in career winning percentage (53.7%). Chase and Aaron are tied for number of career losses with 75, despite Aaron playing two more full seasons than Chase. Jarrett is now on an 8-game losing streak, which stands alone as the 2nd longest losing streak in league history. Erik holds the record of 10 from when he lost Weeks 3-12, 2018. For the 2nd straight year, Terrance has started the season 0-5. Over the last 26 games, Terrance has a record of 6-19-1. With all of his records and accolades, this is by far the worst stretch of fantasy that Terrance has ever gone through. While the rest of the league is averaging somewhere between 91.64 and 94.80 points scored against per game, Ryan continues his luck by having only 89.69 points scored against per game. Schweg loses his 12th career game while scoring 100 points. He’s tied with 3 others for 2nd most. Sean started his career with a league-best 24-8 record through the first two seasons in 2011-2012. He would remain above .500 until Week 5 of 2019 when his career win pct dipped below .500 for the first time. Sean has finally worked his way back to .500. Jake has lost 4 games in a row for the first time since the last 4 weeks of 2019. Ryan improves to 7-2 against Terrance in the regular season since 2018, but Terrance still leads the series 10-8. Sean started three RBs for just the 6th time in his last 5 seasons, and it worked out as he rallied up 56 points from the 3 RBs. Aaron wins his 4th straight game against Jarrett and improves his series lead to 10-5. In the rematch of last year’s championship, Robbie Bowl XI, Erik defeats Jake once again and improves his series record to 13-9-1. Jacob has now won 3 straight against Chase to take control of the series 9-6. Sean wins his 5th straight game against Schweg and improves his series record to 12-8. Week 6 Preview: Game of the Week Sean (5-0) vs Jacob (4-1) Rematch of Robbie Bowl II Jacob leads the series 12-7 and has won 6 of the last 7 games. Ryan (3-2) vs Schweg (3-2) Ryan leads the series 10-8, having won 5 of the last 6 games. Divisional game where the winner improves to 4-2 and will be a frontrunner for the wildcard spot. Aaron (3-2) vs Terrance (0-5) Aaron leads the series 11-5, and has won 5 straight games. Jake (1-4) vs Chase (1-4) Jake leads the series 8-7. Winner of this game still has a shred of hope by getting to 2-4. Loser falls hard to 1-5. Erik (5-0) vs Jarrett (0-5) Erik leads the series 10-7 and has won 3 straight games. We’ve seen matchups like this go in favor of the losing team fairly often.
0
0
19
Commissioner Jensen
Oct 05, 2022
In Main Forum
Only 979 points scored in Week 4, meaning we have yet to hit the 1000 point weekly threshold as a league. There have been at least three 1000 point weeks in each of the last 4 seasons. However, in 2017, there were no 1000 point weeks. For the 2nd time in league history, we have two 4-0 teams and two 0-4 teams after Week 4. Erik & Sean are sitting on top at 4-0, while Jarrett & Terrance are in last at 0-4. This happened back in 2017 when Erik & Jake started 4-0. Erik went on to win Robbie Bowl VII and Jake missed the playoffs at 7-7. Aaron & Jarrett started 0-4 that year and would finish 9th and 10th place, respectively. Teams sitting at 4-0 (Erik & Sean) have a 63% chance of making the playoffs. Teams sitting at 3-1 (Schweg & Jacob) have a 78% chance of making the playoffs. (Note how much higher this percentage is compared to starting 4-0) Teams sitting at 2-2 (Commish & Aaron) have a 36% chance of making the playoffs. Teams sitting at 1-3 (Jake & Chase) have an 11% chance of making the playoffs. No 0-4 team has ever made the playoffs. We have our first 100 point loss of the season. Jarrett came up just short in a frantic comeback attempt on Monday Night Football. Teams scoring 100 points or more are now 12-1 on the year. Jarrett has now lost 7 consecutive games dating back to 2021. That streak is tied for the 2nd longest. Ryan has defeated Jarrett 6 consecutive times which is tied for the 5th longest streak. Jarrett now has 15 career 100 point losses (next closest has 12), bringing his record to 34-15 when scoring over 100 points. The 69% win pct. is by far the worst in the league. This is the first time since 2019 that Jake the Snake has lost 3 consecutive games. Coming in to Week 4, the closest game was Schweg’s 14-point victory over Jacob last week. We finally saw some close games with Commish defeating Jarrett by 3 points, 103-100, and Jacob defeating Terrance by 6 points, 87-81. Our points leader is Erik with 449 points. He is on pace to score 1,571 points this season which would be good enough for 2nd most ever. Terrance has the fewest points in the league this year with 277, and the fewest points ever scored through the first 4 weeks (how the mighty have fallen!). Terrance is currently on pace to score 969 points, which is 43 points below the current record. Chase has had the most points scored against him and is on pace to have 1,547 points scored against, which would be the most ever. Sean has had the fewest points scored against him and is on pace to have 955 points scored against, which would be a new record by 163 points. The two highest scorers on the season have also had the two fewest amount of points scored against. Erik has a point differential of 143 points (35.75 per game) and Sean has a point differential of 151 points (37.75 per game). Aaron was the lowest scorer of Week 4, so we now have 4 different bottom bitches currently contributing $5 to the 3rd place award. Erik is the highest scorer for the 2nd straight week. Commish becomes the 3rd owner to reach 90 wins. Schweg and Sean have tied Terrance with 83 total wins. Terrance starts 0-4 in back to back seasons. Sean wins his 4th straight game against Aaron to tie the series at 7-7. Erik passes Chase to move into 8th place for career winning percentage. Commish passes Schweg to move into 2nd place for average points per D/ST start. With Schweg’s win over Jake, Jake is now 15-5 against Schweg which is a 75% win pct. This rivalry is no longer the most lopsided in league history. Terrance is 15-4 against Jarrett which is 78.4%, and that includes Terrance winning 7 consecutive games against Jarrett. Those two 0-4 teams will play in Week 8. Week 5 Preview Ryan (2-2) vs Terrance (0-4) Rematch of Robbie Bowls VIII and IX Terrance leads the all-time series 10-7, which includes 3 playoff wins. Sean (4-0) vs Schweg (3-1) Sean leads the series 11-8 and has won the last 4 matchups. Jacob (3-1) vs Chase (1-3) Jacob leads the series 8-6, winning the last two games 73-69 and 71-69. Erik (4-0) vs Jake (1-3) Rematch of last year’s championship, Robbie Bowl XI Erik leads the series 12-9-1 and has won 6 of the last 7 matchups. Jarrett (0-4) vs Aaron (2-2) Aaron leads the series 9-5 and has won the last 3 matchups.
0
0
9
Commissioner Jensen
Sep 30, 2022
In Main Forum
Finally getting caught up on fantasy data after the week off. Didn't get to watch as much football as I'd like (which is all of the football) these last two weeks, but that's ok because my team lost back to back games in frustrating matchups against Sean & Erik where I trailed from Thursday to Monday. But the commish is back and locked back in. Two trades already this year! People starting to loosen up a bit after the pendulum swung too far? Or is it that you don't have to pay $1.50 for trades anymore that people are more willing to push the envelope? Anyways, here's some fantasy McNuggets to digest while your concluded your digestion with poop. With just 828 points scored across the league, Week 3 was the 14th-lowest scoring week in league history. Terrance has scored 196 points through 3 weeks, which is 65 points per game. That is the fewest amount of points scored through the first 3 weeks all time. Defending champion off to a hot start at 3-0, with all 3 wins coming in division games. Terrance joins Chase and Schweg as the bottom bitches, and each will contribute $5 for the 3rd place award so far. Erik passes Schweg to move into 2nd place all time for most career 100 point games with 68. Terrance is the leader at 71. Aaron now has 96 career wins and Jarrett has 96 career losses. Which one will reach 100 first? Jarrett has now lost 6 consecutive games going back to last year. That is tied for the 3rd longest losing streak in history with 8 other owners. There were two owners that lost 7 games in a row, and Erik holds the record with a 10 game losing streak in 2018. Aaron improves to 14-9 against Jake, winning 5 of the last 6 matchups. After starting the rivalry with a 4-16 record against Ryan, Erik has now won 4 consecutive matchups against the commissioner. Erik also has the longest active winning streak with 5 straight wins, going back to last year’s playoffs. Jarrett’s league-worst record, in any month, in the month of September falls to 12-29, where it will stay at 29.3% until next year. Jacob is the new leader for September win % with a 63.2% win pct. That is 2nd only to Terrance in December which is 63.6%. Ryan starts 1-2 for the first time since 2015. He had been 2-1 or 3-0 in 6 consecutive seasons. The last time Sean started 3-0 was 2015. He finished the year going 2-9 and finishing in 9th place. Sean has now tied the rivalry series against Terrance 11-11 by winning 6 of the last 8 games. Teams scoring 100 points or more are off to a 9-0 start this season. Erik becomes the first owner to eclipse 15,000 total points in his career. Jarrett finally reached 14,000 points and Jacob reached 13,000 points in Week 3 also. Jake passes Erik to move into 3rd place for most career points scored against. Aaron passes Jake to move into 6th place for average points per QB start. After years and years of being the career points margin leader (defined as the difference between points scored and points scored against), Terrance has fallen to 3rd place. Erik is now the new career points margin leader with a difference of 476 points. Jarrett is last with a -819 point differential, which is outrageously unlucky. Total players started so far: Chase - 16 Schweg - 14 Aaron - 13 Jacob - 13 Jarrett - 13 Terrance - 13 Jake - 12 Erik - 11 Sean - 11 Ryan - 10 Week 4 Preview: Ryan (1-2) vs Jarrett (0-3) Ryan leads series 12-5 Jake (1-2) vs Schweg (2-1) Jake leads series 15-4 (most lopsided rivalry in league history) These two teams played in Robbie Bowl VI when Jake won 94-93 Sean (3-0) vs Aaron (2-1) Aaron leads series 7-6 Erik (3-0) vs Chase (1-2) Series tied 5-5 Terrance (0-3) vs Jacob (2-1) Terrance leads series 11-7 These two teams played in Robbie Bowl IV when Terrance won 88-59
0
0
9
Commissioner Jensen
Sep 23, 2022
In Main Forum
Short and sweet notepad this week, since I've been little preoccupied. But I've always got time to crunch at least a few numbers, so here's that rundown you asked for. Commissioner Jensen will be in attendance at the Packers @ Buccaneers game this Sunday. This will be the 9th stadium visited by the commish: Green Bay - 2003, 2007, 2013, 2018 Chicago - 2010 Minnesota - 2011 St. Louis - 2012 Cleveland - 2013 Detroit - 2017 Kansas City - 2019 Cincinnati - 2021 Tampa Bay - 2022 (Had tickets to go to Indianapolis in 2020 but my kid spiked a fever the night before, otherwise this would be 10). Erik narrowly missed becoming the 4th owner to have three players score at least 30 points. It’s only been done 3 times before. Erik got 29 points from Josh Allen & Jaylen Waddle, and 28 points from Nick Chubb. Last year’s playoff teams are off to a 7-1 start this year. Erik & Jacob off to an especially hot start by starting 2-0 in their divisions. The closest game was 22 points meaning the average margin of victory is far and away the highest its ever been across the league through the first 2 weeks. In just 2 weeks, we have already seen 5 wide receivers post at least 29 points which is the most ever in the first 2 weeks of a season. Jacob has finally caught and passed Terrance for most career wins. Jacob has 84 and Terrance has 83. Both owners entered the league in 2012. Aaron has two players score at least 30 points (Lamar Jackson, Stefan Diggs) for the 2nd time in his career and 19th time in league history. Chase narrowly avoids the bad side of history. He almost had his entire team score in the single digits, which has only occurred once. Russell Wilson led his team in scoring with 10 points. Jacob snaps a 4-game losing streak vs Jake and improves his record to 12-7 vs the snake. Going back to 2021, Jarrett has now lost 5 consecutive games and failed to score over 100 points in them. Teams that score 100 points or more are off to an 8-0 start in 2022. Jacob passes Jake & Chase to move into 7th place for most points per game (91.19). Aaron passes Chase to move into 5th place for most points per D/ST start (9.45). Schweg has now won 70% of his games against Jarrett (14-6). There are only 8 rivalries in league history that are more lopsided.
0
0
11
Commissioner Jensen
Sep 15, 2022
In Main Forum
We have over 1,000 views at our forums page! We're pretty nerdy, huh? Erik (1-0) def Schweg (0-1) 79-57 In the 22nd Schwegler Bowl, Erik wins to extend his series lead to 13-9. This game marks the lowest combined score in Week 1 history with a total of 136 points, breaking the previous record of 137 points which occurred in Week 1, 2014 when Chase defeated Jake 69-68. Schweg’s 57 points are tied for the fewest in Week 1 history with Terrance from 2020. It was the 2nd lowest scoring game in the Schwegler showdowns (133 points — Schweg def Erik 74-59 in Week 8, 2015). The 26 point QB disparity was ultimately the difference in this 22 point victory (Josh Allen - 30; Dak Prescott - 4) Jacob (1-0) def Jarrett (0-1) 95-78 In the 19th career matchup between these two Jabronies, Jacob wins to break the tie and take the series lead 10-9. Similar to the Schwegler game, the QB point disparity of 21 points turned out to be the difference in this game (Jalen Hurts - 24; Aaron Rodgers - 3). Early season woes continue for Jarrett as he falls to 12-27 in the month of September, posting a winning percentage of 30.8% which is tied with Chase in November for lowest monthly winning percentage. Ryan (1-0) def Aaron (0-1) 114-74 This rivalry has been tight throughout history, but Ryan breaks the tie with a Week 1 victory to take a 12-11 series lead. This was Ryan’s 3rd consecutive 100 point game going back into last season. Ryan’s league best September record improves to 25-14 (64.1% win pct). Sean (1-0) def Chase (0-1) 131-72 Sean has historically had Chase’s number, as the first matchup between these two took place in 2013 when Chase started 7-0 and Sean started 0-7, but it was Sean who won that game by 1 point before going on to win 6 straight games against Chase. He leads the series with a 13-6-1 record. The 59-point victory was the largest margin of victory of the week, and the largest in the Sean-Chase series. Jake (1-0) def Terrance (0-1) 118-77 Jake wins his 3rd straight game against his fraternity brother, and goes over 100 points for the 3rd straight game as well. Terrance had a rough start with just 1 point on Thursday from Allen Robinson & Dawson Knox, and then Justin Jefferson blew this game open with his 30 point performance. The all-time series is now tied 7-7. With this win, Jake has now surpassed Terrance for 2nd in league history in career win percentage with 55.1% (Terrance falls to 54.5%). League History Jake scores his 60th career game with at least 100 points, being the 5th owner to do so. Ryan gets his 50th career game with at least 100 points, and is barely ahead of Jarrett and Chase (who has two fewer seasons). Week 1 was the 3rd lowest scoring Week 1 in league history. The smallest margin of victory was 22 points, which was the most for a Week 1 in league history, meaning none of our fantasy games werevery competitive to start the season. Sean passes Schweg to move into 6th place for career win percentage with 48.8%. Sean passes Aaron to move into 3rd place for career points scored. Chase passes Schweg and Aaron to move into 7th place for average points from the WR position. Week 2 Preview Ryan (1-0) vs Sean (1-0) Series is tied 7-7 Jake (1-0) vs Jacob (1-0) Jacob leads series 11-7 Erik (1-0) vs Terrance (0-1) Terrance leads series 8-4-1 Aaron (0-1) vs Chase (0-1) Aaron leads series 7-6 Jarrett (0-1) vs Schweg (0-1) Schweg leads series 13-6
0
0
13
Commissioner Jensen
Sep 06, 2022
In Main Forum
Distinguished gentlemen — We have arrived to our twelfth season of TPDFFL, and our tenth consecutive year of the same 10 guys. I wanted to refresh your memory on a few things. First of all, re-congratulations to Erik Schwegler for being our defending champion! We now have four owners in our league with multiple Robbie Bowl Championships: Terrance (3), Jake (2), Aaron (2), and Erik (2). We still have four owners that have never won a Robbie Bowl (Chase, Schweg, Jarrett & myself). Sean and Jacob are the other two, both with 1 Robbie Bowl Championship. FINANCIALS As you recall, we revamped our financial system for 2022. Every owner pays $150 to buy-in and there are no more transaction fees. This gives us a total pot $1,500. Once we take out our league expenses, which are approximately— Wix.com Website Editor Subscription: $45 RobbieGouldLockItUp.com Domain Registration: $13 Trophy Engraving: $15 Last Place & Best Coach Award: $40 Approximate Total Expenses: $113 — then we are left with $1,387. 85% of that will go to 1st place, which comes out to be about $1,175. 2nd place will take the other 15% which is about $208. We also put a policy in place where the lowest scorer of the week has to pay a $5 fine. After the 14-week regular season, the league will have accumulated $70 in lowest-scorer fines, and that money will be awarded to the winner of the 3rd place game. There are no fines for lowest scorer in the playoffs. SCORING We included a new provision about special teams scoring: If a team scores a TD in a special teams formation, which is defined by having a kicker lined up in field goal formation or a punter lined up in punt formation to qualify, then 6 points for a touchdown shall be credited to that team's D/ST. No points will be credited to individual players for yards or touchdowns. Similar to the special teams fumbles, this will be a manual scoring adjustment. They can be applied instantly, or the commissioner can wait until Monday night (or possibly later, contingent on any late scoring adjustments from the NFL or Yahoo) to review the special teams box scores to apply scoring changes. BYLAW REVISION: Following the first inactive start of the season by an owner, he shall be fined $5. Following the second inactive start of the season by an owner, he shall be fined $10. Following the third inactive start of the season by an owner, he shall be fined $15, and he will be disqualified from playoff contention. Don't forget to set your team names and get a profile pic! And if you haven't gotten your $150 buy-in yet, please do so in the next week. Sincerely, Commish
Welcome to Season XII content media
1
0
20
Commissioner Jensen
Dec 08, 2021
In Main Forum
Jake wins his 5th consecutive game and clinches the Vaidenville division. He plays Erik in Week 14, and the winner will have the #1 seed in the playoffs. Jacob has clinched a playoff spot thanks to a loss from Aaron. For Erik, this is his 2nd career division championship and 3rd career playoff appearance. For Jake, this is his 2nd career division championship and moves into 2nd place all-time with his sixth playoff appearance. For Jacob, he is now tied with Terrance for the most playoff appearances with 7. This is only Jacob’s 10th season in the league, so a 70% playoff rate is quite absurd. Chase has now missed the playoffs in 5 consecutive seasons, a streak that’s tied for 3rd worst in league history. After losing back-to-back championships in 2016 and 2017, Schweg has now missed the playoffs in 4 straight seasons. The final wildcard spot is between two teams: Sean & Ryan. Sean can win and get in, while Ryan needs to win and have Sean lose to get in. If both teams lose, Sean will get in. Whichever team does not make the playoffs will finish in 5th place and have the first choice of where to draft next season. Ryan has never been eliminated from playoff contention prior to the final week of the season. He has had two seasons where he clinched a playoff spot in Week 13, but the other 8 seasons (and now 9 seasons), he is competing for a playoff spot in Week 14. He has made the playoffs in just 3 of those 8 scenarios. Erik has tied the record for most 100 point games in a single season with 10. This record includes playoffs, which means Erik will get 3 more chances to break the record. Erik ties the record for best division record in a single season. He becomes the 3rd team to go 7-1 in their division. Aaron’s 2013 champion team did it, and Schweg’s 2017 runner-up squad did it. Erik’s only division loss was to Sean in Week 10. Jake ties Terrance for 2nd place for career winning percentage with 54.6%. Aaron, Jarrett & Chase join Schweg & Terrance and have been eliminated from playoff contention. Ryan had double digit scores from all 9 positions this week, which has only happened one other time in league history when Erik did it in Week 7 earlier this year. Erik is now 11th all-time for most points in a season and will certainly finish in the top 10. If he can score 85 points, he will be in the top 4. Ryan breaks a streak of 10 consecutive games scoring less than 100 points. It’s just his 2nd game over 100 points this season. He was the leading scorer of the week for the first time since Week 4, 2020. If Terrance has 105 points scored against him in Week 14, it will be the most points against in a single season all-time. Ryan needs to score 69 points in Week 14 to avoid finishing in the top 10 for fewest points in a season. Schweg currently sits at 3-9-1, but is just 10 points away from being 7-6 and contending for a playoff spot in Week 14. He loses his 11th career game while scoring over 100 points, which is tied for the 3rd most. It’s the 3rd loss this season for Schweg while scoring over 100 points, and he had 3 last season as well which gives him the most 100 point losses in a 2-year span. Erik is just 21 points away from being 7-6. Teams scoring over 100 points this season are 36-14-2 for a win % of 70.6%. That is 4% lower than the current record low from 2018. Ryan extends his league record of 11 consecutive seasons without having a losing record. He has finished 8-6 six times and 7-7 four times, not yet having a losing record in a regular season. George Kittle becomes the 5th TE in league history to score 30 points in a game. Terrance has been in last place every week this season, meaning he has had the #1 waiver priority all season long. Despite that, he has a chance to win and have Schweg lose to capture 9th place and avoid the toilet trophy. Jarrett with loser’s letter duty this week. Trade Tracker: Ryan (118) vs Schweg (76) Christian McCaffrey - 45 DeVonta Smith - 73 David Montgomery - 60 Calvin Ridley - 16 Ryan (39) vs Terrance (61) Chuba Hubbard - 39 Melvin Gordon - 61 Ryan (47) vs Sean (17) Diontae Johnson - 47 Rhamondre Stevenson - 17 Jacob (61) vs Aaron (26) Joe Mixon - 61 Mark Andrews - 24 Kareem Hunt - 2 Week 14 Preview Erik (10-3) vs Jake (9-4) Erik can clinch the #1 seed with a win and will sweep the cross division series this year. Jake can clinch the #1 seed with a win by splitting the season series and winning the strength of victory tiebreaker. Erik leads the all-time series 11-8-1. Sean (7-5-1) vs Terrance (3-9-1) Sean can win and get in the playoffs. If he loses and Ryan loses, he will still get in the playoffs. He would be a wildcard team meaning he would face Erik or Jake in the first round. Terrance needs to win and have Schweg lose in order to avoid finishing in last place. This series is tied 10-10. Ryan (7-6) vs Schweg (3-9-1) Ryan needs to win and have Sean lose in order to make the playoffs. Schweg can avoid being last place with a win, or if Terrance loses. So this weekend it's team Ryan/Terrance vs Sean/Schweg. Ryan leads the all-time series 10-7 and has won 5 consecutive games against Schweg. Jacob (8-5) vs Aaron (6-7) When the schedule was released, many hoped that this would be a crucial game to finish the season, perhaps even for the Vaidenville championship. Now that Jake has been elected mayor of Vaidenville, this game is mostly meaningless. Jacob can clinch the #3 seed with a win or with a loss from Sean. Aaron leads the all-time series 10-9-1. Chase (5-7-1) vs Jarrett (5-8) The loser of this game will finish in 8th place. Jarrett could win this game to finish in 7th place, and Chase could win this game and potentially pass Aaron as well to finish in 6th place. Jarrett leads the all-time series 9-8.
0
0
16
Commissioner Jensen
Nov 30, 2021
In Main Forum
It’s time for me to write the “loser’s letter” to avoid being charged $5.00 for not writing it, since I have invested enough in this league already with 52 adds and 3 trades. It does seem that the LL has run its course, but I do like the idea of just implementing a mandatory $5 fine for being the lowest scorer of the week. We’ve added $50 to the league pot this season from the LL, but a mandatory fee would add $70 to the pot each year. I will say that I’d be open to discussing the finances at the banquet this year. We can decide if we like the system as it is or if we want to switch to a flat rate of the league average which would be about $90. I’m willing to raise the stakes if you are! If you listened to the Vaiden Brothers Podcast and heard the segment about how much money we’d all have if we invested it all in Bitcoin, you’ll want to tune in to a follow up segment on the next Doug & Willy Podcast about everyone’s career winnings and losings. Without further ado, let’s jump into the notepad and we’ll close it out with the all important PLAYOFF SCENARIOS for the final two weeks. For the 5th time in league history, we only have 1 playoff team clinched after Week 12. In 2011 and 2014, there was only 1 team clinched, and in 2018 and 2020, there were zero teams clinched after Week 12. Erik is still our points leader and is on pace to score 1,517 points which would be the 4th most all-time. He also has the fewest points scored against him and is on pace to have 1,188 points scored against him which would be the 10th fewest ever. He already clinched the division and is guaranteed to be the #1 or #2 seed in the playoffs. His 3rd loss of the season allows the Two Dollar Pistols from 2013 to celebrate having the best regular season finish (and overall finish) in league history with a 12-2 record (14-2). Ryan is on pace to score 1,116 points which would be the 5th fewest points ever scored in a single season. He has failed to score 100 points in 10 consecutive weeks which is tied for the 8th worst streak in league history. Terrance is on pace to have 1,443 points scored against him which would be the 4th most all-time. Jake was the only person to score over 100 points this week, and he does it for the 5th time this season, but it’s the first time he’s done it since Week 5. Erik’s streak of six consecutive 100 point games comes to an end. Nick Folk drops a season high 18 points from a kicker for Chase this week, but Sean left Daniel Carlson’s 19 points on his bench this week. Schweg’s 25 points from the Miami D/ST is the 2nd most from a D/ST this season. Jacob has started 12 different running backs this season, which is the most in his career. The record is 14. Jarrett loses his 7th consecutive game to Terrance, falling to 4-15 against him which is tied for the most lopsided rivalry in the league with Jake vs Schweg. The 7 straight wins are tied for the 4th longest streak. Jake wins to tie Ryan for the 2nd most career wins in league history with 87. Jarrett ties Ryan for 5th place all-time for average points per RB start. Jake passes Terrance to move into 3rd place all-time for average points per WR start. Aaron passes Sean to move into 3rd place all-time for average points per TE start. Schweg passes Ryan to move into 2nd place all-time for average points per D/ST start. Schweg leads the all-time series against Aaron, 12-7. Jake leads the all-time series against Chase, 8-7. Jacob leads the all-time series against Erik, 10-6. Sean ties the all-time series against Ryan 7-7 and has won 4 of the last 5. Jake and Jacob are both 8-4, but neither has clinched the playoffs. One of them will be the winner of the Vaidenville division. Historically, all teams with 4 or fewer losses after Week 12 have made the playoffs. Sean is now 6-5-1, which historically has an 88% chance of making the playoffs. Ryan and Aaron are both 6-6, and historically have a 23% chance of making the playoffs. Jarrett & Chase both have 7 losses and are still in playoff contention, but no team with 7 losses through Week 12 has ever made the playoffs. Trade Tracker: Ryan (117) vs Schweg (56) Christian McCaffrey - 45 DeVonta Smith - 72 David Montgomery - 40 Calvin Ridley - 16 Ryan (39) vs Terrance (61) Chuba Hubbard - 39 Melvin Gordon - 61 Ryan (25) vs Sean (10) Diontae Johnson - 25 Rhamondre Stevenson - 10 Jacob (52) vs Aaron (21) Joe Mixon - 52 Mark Andrews - 19 Kareem Hunt - 2 Week 13 Preview Erik (9-3) vs Schweg (3-8-1) - Erik leads the series 11-9 Jake (8-4) vs Jarrett (5-7) - Jarrett leads the series 9-3 and has won 4 straight Jacob (8-4) vs Sean (6-5-1) - Jacob leads the series 11-6 and has won 5 straight Ryan (6-6) vs Terrance (3-8-1) - Terrance leads the series 10-6 Aaron (6-6) vs Chase (4-7-1) - Aaron leads the series 7-5 Without further ado, here are the playoff scenarios heading into the last two weeks. There are many avenues this playoff picture can go, and every game will matter especially when factoring in Strength of Victory tiebreakers. Erik has already clinched his division. He can clinch the #1 seed with a win and losses from Jake and Jacob, OR he can win his last two games. Jake can clinch a playoff spot with a win, OR he needs two out of these three to lose: Aaron, Sean and Ryan. He can clinch his division with a win and a loss from Jacob. Jake can clinch the #1 seed by winning his last two games. Jacob can clinch a playoff spot with a win, OR he needs Ryan and Aaron to lose. Jacob can clinch his division with two wins and one loss from Jake. Sean can clinch a playoff spot by winning his last two games, or he can win one of his last two games and have Ryan and Aaron each lose one game. Ryan can clinch a playoff spot with two wins and one loss from Sean, or with one win and two losses from Sean and one loss from Aaron. Aaron needs to win his last two games and have Ryan and Sean each lose one game, or he needs to end up tied with Jacob at 8-6 to win the strength of victory tiebreaker. Currently, Jacob’s SOV is 42, and Aaron’s is 34 but with an implied 46.5 at season’s end. If Aaron ends up tied with Jake at 8-6, it would be decided in strength of victory which is too close to call. Aaron cannot win the division. Jarrett can clinch a playoff spot by winning his last two games and having Sean, Aaron and Ryan all lose their last two games. Chase can clinch a playoff spot by winning his last two games and having Sean, Aaron and Ryan all lose their last two games. How’s that for a loser’s letter ya bitches?
0
0
16
Commissioner Jensen
Nov 23, 2021
In Main Forum
Congratulations to our first playoff team and first division winner, Erik Schwegler. The win this week was fueled by Jonathan Taylor’s 49 points, the 4th most points ever scored in our league. Erik scores over 100 points for the 6th consecutive week, which ties Jacob’s record for the most consecutive 100 point games this season, and is tied for 3rd most all-time. Erik has 9 games over 100 points this season already, which is tied for the 2nd most all time. He can tie the record with 10 games, and only 5 owners have ever done that and this is including playoffs as well. Erik is on pace for 1,559 total points, which would be the 2nd most all time. Jake and Jacob are sitting in the 2 and 3 seeds respectively with a 7-4 record. 100% of teams that are 7-4 or better after Week 11 make the playoffs. 26 out of 26 teams, which includes 11 teams that were 7-4. Jake has already swept Jacob this season and holds the tiebreaker. One of the most epic comebacks in league history, Jarrett gets 35 points from Austin Ekeler on Sunday Night Football and Ryan Succop and the Tampa Bay D/ST get 26 more points to capture a win. Keeping Jacob from getting his 8th win is a huge deal for the rest of the league. Jarrett also rallied to be the leading scorer of the week for the first time this season. Terrance earns loser’s letter duty for the 2nd time this season. Ryan gets a crucial victory over Aaron and has snuck into the 4 seed. Their series is now tied 11-11. Both teams have a 6-5 record. Historically, they have a 43% chance of making the playoffs. Sean is also included in that as a 5 loss team, except he is now 5-5-1. Had Ryan not traded for Diontae Johnson, he would've presumably started DeVonta Smith who scored 10 fewer points than Johnson, which would've resulted in an 83-82 victory for Aaron where he would've taken the lead in the 4th quarter of the MNF game. Teams with 6 losses after Week 11 have a 17% chance of making the playoffs which is where Jarrett and Chase are. Terrance and Schweg are officially eliminated from playoff contention. Both teams are 2-8-1, but Schweg has the tiebreaker. This will be a close race for these teams competing over the toilet trophy. Ryan has failed to score 100 points in 9 consecutive games. He only has one game over 100, and that was 102 points in Week 2. New England’s 28 fantasy points for Sean is the most by any defense this season. Terrance is on pace to have 1,459 points scored against him, which would be the 2nd most all time. Jarrett passes Ryan for most career games with over 100 points with 48. Ryan only has 1 more 100 point game than Chase who has played 2 fewer seasons. Ryan only has 17 games over 100 points in the last 5 seasons. Erik has 18 games over 100 points in his last 25 games. Jacob loses his 8th career game while scoring over 100 points, which is the 2nd fewest in league history, but it’s his 2nd game this season. Jake is now 15-4 against Schweg, which is good enough for a league high 78.9% winning percentage against him. Trade Tracker: Ryan (112) vs Schweg (50) Christian McCaffrey - 42 DeVonta Smith - 70 David Montgomery - 34 Calvin Ridley - 16 Ryan (39) vs Terrance (53) Chuba Hubbard - 39 Melvin Gordon - 53 Ryan (16) vs Sean (6) Diontae Johnson - 16 Rhamondre Stevenson - 6 Jacob (24) vs Aaron (7) Joe Mixon - 24 Mark Andrew - 7 Kareem Hunt - 0 Playoff Picture Schwegtopia 1. Erik 9-2 (6-1) - clinched division - can clinch #1 seed with a win over Jacob 4. Ryan 6-5 (2-3) 6. Sean 5-5-1 (4-2) 9. Schweg 2-8-1 (1-4-1) - eliminated 10. Terrance 2-8-1 (1-4-1) - eliminated Vaidenville 2. Jake 7-4 (3-3) 3. Jacob 7-4 (4-3) 5. Aaron 6-5 (3-3) 7. Jarrett 5-6 (3-3) 8. Chase 4-6-1 (2-3) No other clinching scenarios in Week 12. Week 12 Schedule Erik (9-2) vs Jacob (7-4) Jacob leads the all-time series 9-6. Jake (7-4) vs Chase (4-6-1) The all-time series is tied 7-7. Half of their games have been decided by 8 points or less. Ryan (6-5) vs Sean (5-5-1) Ryan leads the all-time series 7-6. Aaron (6-5) vs Schweg (2-8-1) Schweg leads the all-time series 11-7 and has won 4 out of the last 5. Jarrett (5-6) vs Terrance (2-8-1) Terrance leads the all-time series 14-4. This is the 2nd most lopsided rivalry in the league, and if Terrance wins, he will tie Jake’s record vs Schweg. Terrance has won 6 consecutive games against Jarrett going back to 2018.
0
0
13
Commissioner Jensen
Nov 16, 2021
In Main Forum
The last 3 weeks have been the 3 lowest scoring weeks of the season. Only 802 points were scored this past week. We had the league’s 6th tie in our 11 year history, and for the first time we have two ties in the same season. Sean becomes the 7th owner to have 50 career games over 100 points and led all scorers in Week 10 with 109 points. Erik goes over 100 points for the 5th straight week, and now has scored over 100 points in 8 games already this season. The record (which includes playoffs) is 10 games. Erik loses his 12th 100+ point game in his career, which is tied for 2nd most. Jacob becomes the 5th owner to win 80 career games. Jarrett becomes the first owner to lose 90 career games. Aaron gets 0 points from 2 different starters, which is the 3rd time this has happened this year. It is the 11th time that Aaron has done that which is the most all-time. Chase lost both games to Jacob this year by the score of 71-69 and 73-69. Both games he was projected to win going into the final primetime matchup but came up short. Had Chase won these close games, he would be 5-4-1 right now, ahead of Jacob at 5-5. Jake has a combined 111 points scored against him over the last two weeks. He has won those games 81-55 and 81-56 against the Vaiden brothers. Ryan and Jarrett are the only two teams who have never tied. Jalen Hurts, Jonathan Taylor, Aaron Jones, Cooper Kupp, Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, Harrison Butker and the New England D/ST are the only 8 players to have been started all 10 weeks so far. If the season ended today, the playoff picture would be 1. Erik vs 4. Aaron, and 2. Jacob vs 3. Jake. Jacob is averaging 63 points per game in his last 4 games, but he is 2-2 in those games. Playoff Odds through 10 weeks: Teams with 2 losses (Erik) make the playoffs 100% of the time. Teams with 3 losses (Jacob) make the playoffs 100% of the time. Teams with 4 losses (Aaron, Jake & Sean) make the playoffs 46% of the time. Teams with 5 losses (Ryan) make the playoffs 41% of the time. Teams with 6 losses (Jarrett & Chase) make the playoffs 9% of the time. Teams with 7 losses (Terrance & Schweg) make the playoffs 0% of the time. Trade Tracker: Ryan (89) vs Schweg (45) Christian McCaffrey - 25 DeVonta Smith - 64 David Montgomery - 29 Calvin Ridley - 16 Ryan (39) vs Terrance (53) Chuba Hubbard - 39 Melvin Gordon - 53 Week 11 Preview: Erik (8-2) vs Terrance (2-7-1) Terrance leads the all-time series 8-3-1, but has lost the last two games against Erik which includes a week 1 loss this season. Erik had a chance to win his division last week but failed, and playoff scenarios for this week are too complicated to figure out. Jacob (7-3) vs Jarrett (4-6) Jacob leads the all-time series 9-8, and these teams have traded wins the last 5 matchups, and it is now Jarrett’s turn to win. Jake (6-4) vs Schweg (2-7-1) Tied for the most lopsided rivalry in league history, Jake has a 14-4 record against Schweg. Aaron (6-4) vs Ryan (5-5) Aaron leads the all-time series 11-10. Aaron jumped out to an early 8-2 advantage, and Ryan has countered that by going 8-3 since. Sean (5-4-1) vs Chase (3-6-1) Sean leads the all-time series 12-5-1, with an earlier season tie occurring between these two teams. Sean got out to a 10-1 advantage against Chase, but Chase is 4-2-1 in the last 7 games. Aaron has loser's letter duty for the first time this season.
0
0
10
Commissioner Jensen
Nov 10, 2021
In Main Forum
Week 9 was the 4th lowest scoring week of all-time, with just 772 points scored. We saw 3 teams finish with less than 60 points. Teams scoring 100 points or more this season are 28-11-2 which is a 68.3% win percentage, which would be the lowest in history if stays under the current record of 74.6%. The average score this season has been 95.6 points which is on pace to be the 3rd highest scoring season in league history. Jake passes Jacob for 3rd best winning percentage in the league after yielding that lead to him last week. With a win over Schweg, Sean passes him for 6th all time in career winning percentage. Erik has been in last place in career winning percentage for the ENTIRETY of our league history, until this past week when he finally passed Jarrett. Jarrett’s 44.0% win percentage puts him in last place. Erik continues his dominance by winning his 7th consecutive game. He becomes the 6th team to post a 7-game winning streak or better. The last time was when Chase won in Weeks 13 & 14 of the 2017 season and started 6-0 in the 2018 season. The last time someone posted a 7-game winning streak within one season was Aaron in 2013 with his record setting 14-game winning streak. Erik improves to 5-0 in his division, and already has a division clinching scenario this week! If he can win against Sean to improve to 9-1, he will win the division. In that scenario, the worst Erik could do is 9-5, while the best that Sean and Ryan could do would be 8-5-1 and 9-5 respectively (Erik already swept Ryan). Only one other time has someone clinched a playoff spot by Week 10, and that was Sean in 2012. No one has won their division after Week 10. This was also the 4th consecutive game that Erik has scored over 100 points. Erik gets a regular season sweep over Ryan for the first time, and they’ve played each other twice every year. He has now won 3 straight against Ryan. Ryan is currently on pace to score the 3rd fewest points in league history, averaging just 77.7 points per game. He has scored under 100 points in 7 straight weeks. Ryan becomes the 5th owner to lose 80 career games. Ryan has posted 0 points from 2 different starters in 3 of his last 10 games. He has also started the most players in the league, with 31 different starters. He has scored 80 or more points just 3 times this year. We saw the lowest scoring game of the season so far with Sean defeating Schweg 67-53. That is tied for the 7th fewest combined points ever scored in a game. After a 2-3 start, Aaron has now won 4 straight games and is tied with Jacob on top of his division at 6-3. Jacob won the first matchup between the two so he has the early advantage but both teams are moving in opposite directions. Aaron improves his record high monthly winning percentage, as he now has a 29-15 record in the month of November (65.9% win). After going 0-5-1 over the last 6 weeks, Chase gets a much needed win and he does it in November, the month that he has struggled so much in lately. He also snapped a 5-game losing streak against Terrance that dated back to 2018. Jake now has 4 straight wins over division rival Jacob. Jacob has scored just 108 points in his last two games, the fewest amount scored in any 2-game stretch in his career. Schweg becomes the 6th owner in history to post single digit scores from all 9 starters, and the first person to do it twice. The other games where no starter reached 10 points were: Schweg - Week 3, 2014 - 39 points Aaron - Week 15, 2014 - 44 points Chase - Week 11, 2015 - 48 points Jarrett - Week 6, 2017 - 38 points Sean - Week 12, 2019 - 45 points Schweg - Week 9, 2021 - 53 points Trade Tracker: Ryan (56) vs Schweg (45) Christian McCaffrey - 10 DeVonta Smith - 46 David Montgomery - 29 Calvin Ridley - 16 Ryan (31) vs Terrance (45) Chuba Hubbard - 31 Melvin Gordon - 45 Playoff Odds: Erik becomes the 4th team to start the season with just 1 loss through the first 9 weeks. Sean started 8-1 in 2012 and won Robbie Bowl II. Chase started 8-1 in 2013 and lost Robbie Bowl III. Erik was the last team to do it with a 7-1-1 start in 2017 and he would go on to win Robbie Bowl VII. So not only did all those teams make the playoffs, but they all made it to the Robbie Bowl with a 2-1 record. 76% of 3 loss teams make the playoffs, which is where Aaron & Jacob are now. 39% of 4 loss teams make the playoffs, which is where Jake & Sean are now. 29% of 5 loss teams make the playoffs, which is where Ryan, Jarrett & Chase are now. No 2-7 team has ever made the playoffs, which is where Terrance & Schweg are. Even if they won the rest of their games and finished at 7-7, only 1 out of 16 total teams with 7 losses at the end of the season has ever made the playoffs. It would truly be a miracle if one of them did it, however it is still in the realm of possibility. Week 10 Preview: Erik (8-1) vs Sean (4-4-1) Erik leads the series 7-6 and has won 4 straight. Erik can clinch the division title with a win. A win for Sean would keep him right in the thick of the playoff race, and he would have a lot of points added to his strength of victory tiebreaker for beating Erik. Ryan (4-5) vs Jarrett (4-5) Ryan leads the series 11-5 and has won 4 straight. The difference between 5-5 and 4-6 is massive. 5-5 teams make the playoffs 41% of the time, while 4-6 teams make it just 9%. Aaron (6-3) vs Jake (5-4) Aaron leads the series 13-8 and has won 4 straight. Aaron already beat Jake this year, so a win could give him a sweep with a 2-game lead. Jake has a chance to even the series and their divisional records. In a 3-way tie with Jacob, Jake would win that tiebreaker as of now because he swept Jacob. Jacob (6-3) vs Chase (3-5-1) Jacob leads the series 7-6 and has won 4 of the last 5. Jacob needs the divisional win, or he is in danger of falling out of first place in the division. If Chase wins, he will improve to 4-5-1, and if Jake defeats Aaron, then Chase will be just a game and a half behind the leaders with the best divisional record in Vaidenville. Schweg (2-7) vs Terrance (2-7) The series is tied 8-8 with Schweg winning the last 2. The loser of this game will more than likely be eliminated from playoff contention.
0
0
13
Commissioner Jensen
Nov 02, 2021
In Main Forum
There were a total of 872 points scored this week, which was the lowest scoring week of the 2021 season. Erik wins his 6th consecutive game and leads the league in scoring with 906 points, which is a pace of 1,586 points, just 23 points behind the all-time record. This was also his 3rd consecutive game with over 100 points, tying him with Jacob for six 100+ point games on the season. Erik becomes the 9th team to win 6 consecutive games. Aaron, Chase, Sean and Terrance all have two streaks of 6 wins or more. Erik has done it by using the same 3 wide receivers in all 8 weeks: Cooper Kupp, Chris Godwin & Terry McLaurin, but will have to face bye weeks from Godwin & McLaurin in Week 9. Erik becomes the 6th team in history to have just 1 loss through the first 8 weeks. The previous 5 all made the playoffs. Two of those teams went on to the win the Robbie Bowl (Sean in 2012 and Erik in 2017). The other 3 finished in 2nd, 4th and 4th. Ryan has the fewest points scored in the league with 642, which is a pace of 1,123 points which would be the 6th fewest points ever scored in a season. Somehow, he is 4-4. Jake now has the most points scored against him after Terrance’s very unlucky start to the season had him as the frontrunner. Jake has had 893 points scored against him, which is a pace of 1,563 points. That would be almost 100 points more than the current record. We actually have 3 teams (Jake, Terrance & Schweg) that are on pace to finish top 5 all-time for most points scored against. Chase has had the fewest points scored against him with just 688 or 86 points per game. This is usually a very telling statistic, but unfortunately Chase has lost some close games and currently sits outside of the playoff picture. This was the 6th time in history that a team has gotten 0 points from 3 different starters on their roster. Chase has a 10-25 record in the month of November, which is the worst winning percentage of any owner in any month, and that includes being 2-15 in November over the last 4 years. There is still hope for him at 2-5-1, as he still has a 13% chance of making the playoffs if he can start putting some wins together. After gushing over his hot 6-1 start, Jacob puts up the fewest points in a game yet this season with just 53 and loses his security blanket in Derrick Henry. His leading scorer was the Pittsburgh D/ST with 12 points. His 6-2 record historically has a 73% chance of making the playoffs. The Ryan vs Chase game which finished with just 133 total points scored was the 2nd lowest scoring of the season. Chase has been the loser of the top 3 lowest scoring games already this season, losing games 73-59, 71-69 and 68-65. Terrance’s 79-53 win over Jacob is also tied for fewest points scored in a game. This was the 10th team in history that a team has won scoring 68 or fewer points, and its the fewest points Ryan has ever scored in a win. Chase has now been on the losing side of 4 out of those 10 games. Ryan snaps a 4-game losing streak and a 7-game losing streak in the month of October. (Technically it was November 1 when the magic happened, but the weeks are put into the months based on what day Sunday falls on). Jarrett ties Ryan with 47 career 100+ point games. Chase is the only one with fewer, and he has 45 games in 2 fewer seasons. Schweg and Terrance are now tied at the bottom of the league with 2-6 records. Thanks to an early season win, Schweg still has the advantage. Terrance’s team in 2015 also started 2-6 and then went on to win the rest of their regular season games and make the playoffs, so there is a 9% chance of making the playoffs. Sean becomes the 4th owner to lose 80 games. Aaron snaps a 4-game losing streak against Schweg and wins for the first time against him since Week 8 of 2016. Schweg still leads the series 11-7. Aaron is alone in 3rd place as the only team with a 5-3 record. He has a 65% chance of making the playoffs. Erik wins his 5th consecutive game against Jake to improve to 11-8-1 all-time against the snake. Jake is averaging 70 points per game in this series over the last 9 matchups. Jarrett wins his 5th straight game against Sean to improve to 13-8 over his fellow TPD band member rival. He is now 11-1 against Sean in the last 12 games. Chase overtakes Sean for highest average points scored from the kicker position all time with 8.23 points per game. We now have four teams with 4 losses: Ryan, Jake, Jarrett & Sean. Only 38% of four loss teams through week 8 make the playoffs. Jarrett’s win in the final week of October matched with Jake’s loss puts Jarrett alone in 1st place with a 62.5% winning percentage in the month of October. As we look ahead to November, no owner is better in any month than Aaron is in November with a 65.1% winning percentage. Coming up in Week 9… Erik (7-1) vs Ryan (4-4) Ryan leads this series 16-6 which is tied for the 5th most lopsided rivalry in league history. Erik already won the first matchup between the two this season. Terrance (2-6) vs Chase (2-5-1) Chase leads the series 9-8 all-time, but Terrance has won 5 games in a row against Chase. Whoever loses this game will have an extremely difficult time making the playoffs. Aaron (5-3) vs Jarrett (4-4) Aaron leads the series 8-5, winning the last two games which included a win in Week 6. This is Jarrett’s chance to equal the series and the record and further advance up the standings, while Aaron can separate himself along with his brother in the Vaidenville division. Sean (3-4-1) vs Schweg (2-6) Both teams in need of a win, especially a divisional win. Sean leads the series 10-8 and has won 3 games in a row against Schweg. Sean has averaged 129 points in those 3 games. Jacob (6-2) vs Jake (4-4) In the battle of namesakes, its Jacob that leads the all-time series 11-6, but Jake has won the last 3 games including a win earlier this season. A win for Jacob would put him at 7-2, and 100% of 7-2 teams or better make the playoffs. But a win for Jake could really shake up the division and the league. Jacob on loser’s letter duty.
0
0
12
Commissioner Jensen
Oct 26, 2021
In Main Forum
Prior to this week, we have only seen one team start 7-0 and five teams start 6-1. This is the first time in league history that we have two 6-1 teams in the same season as Erik & Jacob become the 7th and 8th teams to start 6-1 or better. Five out of those six teams made the playoffs (83%). Erik becomes the first owner in history to score at least 10 points from every single position. Erik also moves into first place for points scored on the season with 797 which is a pace of 1,594 total points, just a little bit behind the record pace. His 147 points in Week 7 are a season high through this point. Erik also passes Jake to move into 4th place for most career 100 point games. This was his 5th consecutive win. Erik has scored over 100 points 5 times this season, and has not scored less than 90. This was Erik’s 4th consecutive win over Sean, and the most points ever scored in their series. He is also off to a 4-0 start in his division. Terrance has now scored over 100 points in 4 straight weeks which is the 2nd longest streak of this season. He has now posted a league-high 70 career games with over 100 points. Terrance becomes the 4th owner to win 80 career games. The 66 point win over Ryan is the highest margin of victory we’ve seen in 2021. Jacob’s streak of 6 consecutive 100 points games comes to end. The streak is tied for 3rd most all-time, but it remains the record for most consecutive 100 point games to start a season. Jacob passes Schweg to move into 5th place on the most career wins list. This was his 4th consecutive win. Jacob also passes Jake to move into 3rd place for career winning percentage. Aaron gets his 4th consecutive win against Jake to lift his record to 13-8-1 against him. After a 2-0 start, Chase is 0-4-1 since. He earns loser’s letter duty for the 3rd time this season. Jake has now started 4 different quarterbacks this season while no one else has started more than 2. After starting 1-11 in his career against Schweg, Jarrett is now 5-2 in his last 7 games against him. After a 3-0 start, Ryan is 0-4 since. He has started a league-high 26 different starters so far. The 66 point loss was Ryan’s worst defeat in his career. Aaron & Jake now sit at 4-3, while Sean is at 3-3-1. Historically, teams with 3 losses through 7 weeks have a 48% chance of making the playoffs. Ryan, Jarrett & Chase all have 4 losses and historically have a 25% chance of making the playoffs. Only one 2-5 team has ever made the playoffs which was Terrance’s 2015 team which finished 3rd. That was thanks to the big DeAngelo Williams waiver add. So there is a 6% chance that Schweg makes the playoffs. Despite the win for Terrance, no 1-6 team has ever made the playoffs as he will most likely need to win every game from here on out. Ryan (28) & Schweg’s (38) trade update: Christian McCaffrey - 0 DeVonta Smith - 28 David Montgomery - 22 Calvin Ridley - 16 Ryan (16) & Terrance’s (15) trade update: Chuba Hubbard - 16 Melvin Gordon - 15 Looking ahead to Week 8 Erik (6-1) vs Jake (4-3) Erik leads the all-time series 10-8-1 and is 6-1-1 in the last 8 games between the two. Injuries for Erik: Saquon Barkley, George Kittle Injuries for Jake: Dawson Knox No bye weeks Jarrett (3-4) vs Sean (3-3-1) Jarrett leads the all-time series 12-8 and has won 10 of the last 11 games in this series. No injuries for Jarrett Injuries for Sean: Rob Gronkowski No bye weeks Jacob (6-1) vs Terrance (1-6) Terrance leads the all-time series 10-7 and has won 3 straight regular season matchups. Injuries for Jacob: Kareem Hunt, Chris Carson, Michael Thomas Injuries for Terrance: Clyde Edwards-Helaire Bye weeks: Mark Andrews & Justin Tucker for Jacob Aaron (4-3) vs Schweg (2-5) Schweg leads the all-time series 11-6 and has won 4 consecutive games against Aaron. Injuries for Schweg: Miles Sanders, David Montgomery Injuries for Aaron: Davante Adams (Covid) Bye weeks: Darren Waller for Schweg, Marquise Brown for Aaron Ryan (3-4) vs Chase (2-4-1) Chase leads the all-time series 7-4. Prior to losing to Ryan last season, Chase had won 6 straight games against him. Injuries for Ryan: Christian McCaffrey Injuries for Chase: Nick Chubb & Antonio Brown, both questionable and have potential to play Bye weeks: Josh Jacobs for Chase, Latavius Murray/Devonta Freeman for Ryan
0
0
12

Commissioner Jensen

Admin
More actions