Forum Posts

Commissioner Jensen
Dec 08, 2021
In Main Forum
Jake wins his 5th consecutive game and clinches the Vaidenville division. He plays Erik in Week 14, and the winner will have the #1 seed in the playoffs. Jacob has clinched a playoff spot thanks to a loss from Aaron. For Erik, this is his 2nd career division championship and 3rd career playoff appearance. For Jake, this is his 2nd career division championship and moves into 2nd place all-time with his sixth playoff appearance. For Jacob, he is now tied with Terrance for the most playoff appearances with 7. This is only Jacob’s 10th season in the league, so a 70% playoff rate is quite absurd. Chase has now missed the playoffs in 5 consecutive seasons, a streak that’s tied for 3rd worst in league history. After losing back-to-back championships in 2016 and 2017, Schweg has now missed the playoffs in 4 straight seasons. The final wildcard spot is between two teams: Sean & Ryan. Sean can win and get in, while Ryan needs to win and have Sean lose to get in. If both teams lose, Sean will get in. Whichever team does not make the playoffs will finish in 5th place and have the first choice of where to draft next season. Ryan has never been eliminated from playoff contention prior to the final week of the season. He has had two seasons where he clinched a playoff spot in Week 13, but the other 8 seasons (and now 9 seasons), he is competing for a playoff spot in Week 14. He has made the playoffs in just 3 of those 8 scenarios. Erik has tied the record for most 100 point games in a single season with 10. This record includes playoffs, which means Erik will get 3 more chances to break the record. Erik ties the record for best division record in a single season. He becomes the 3rd team to go 7-1 in their division. Aaron’s 2013 champion team did it, and Schweg’s 2017 runner-up squad did it. Erik’s only division loss was to Sean in Week 10. Jake ties Terrance for 2nd place for career winning percentage with 54.6%. Aaron, Jarrett & Chase join Schweg & Terrance and have been eliminated from playoff contention. Ryan had double digit scores from all 9 positions this week, which has only happened one other time in league history when Erik did it in Week 7 earlier this year. Erik is now 11th all-time for most points in a season and will certainly finish in the top 10. If he can score 85 points, he will be in the top 4. Ryan breaks a streak of 10 consecutive games scoring less than 100 points. It’s just his 2nd game over 100 points this season. He was the leading scorer of the week for the first time since Week 4, 2020. If Terrance has 105 points scored against him in Week 14, it will be the most points against in a single season all-time. Ryan needs to score 69 points in Week 14 to avoid finishing in the top 10 for fewest points in a season. Schweg currently sits at 3-9-1, but is just 10 points away from being 7-6 and contending for a playoff spot in Week 14. He loses his 11th career game while scoring over 100 points, which is tied for the 3rd most. It’s the 3rd loss this season for Schweg while scoring over 100 points, and he had 3 last season as well which gives him the most 100 point losses in a 2-year span. Erik is just 21 points away from being 7-6. Teams scoring over 100 points this season are 36-14-2 for a win % of 70.6%. That is 4% lower than the current record low from 2018. Ryan extends his league record of 11 consecutive seasons without having a losing record. He has finished 8-6 six times and 7-7 four times, not yet having a losing record in a regular season. George Kittle becomes the 5th TE in league history to score 30 points in a game. Terrance has been in last place every week this season, meaning he has had the #1 waiver priority all season long. Despite that, he has a chance to win and have Schweg lose to capture 9th place and avoid the toilet trophy. Jarrett with loser’s letter duty this week. Trade Tracker: Ryan (118) vs Schweg (76) Christian McCaffrey - 45 DeVonta Smith - 73 David Montgomery - 60 Calvin Ridley - 16 Ryan (39) vs Terrance (61) Chuba Hubbard - 39 Melvin Gordon - 61 Ryan (47) vs Sean (17) Diontae Johnson - 47 Rhamondre Stevenson - 17 Jacob (61) vs Aaron (26) Joe Mixon - 61 Mark Andrews - 24 Kareem Hunt - 2 Week 14 Preview Erik (10-3) vs Jake (9-4) Erik can clinch the #1 seed with a win and will sweep the cross division series this year. Jake can clinch the #1 seed with a win by splitting the season series and winning the strength of victory tiebreaker. Erik leads the all-time series 11-8-1. Sean (7-5-1) vs Terrance (3-9-1) Sean can win and get in the playoffs. If he loses and Ryan loses, he will still get in the playoffs. He would be a wildcard team meaning he would face Erik or Jake in the first round. Terrance needs to win and have Schweg lose in order to avoid finishing in last place. This series is tied 10-10. Ryan (7-6) vs Schweg (3-9-1) Ryan needs to win and have Sean lose in order to make the playoffs. Schweg can avoid being last place with a win, or if Terrance loses. So this weekend it's team Ryan/Terrance vs Sean/Schweg. Ryan leads the all-time series 10-7 and has won 5 consecutive games against Schweg. Jacob (8-5) vs Aaron (6-7) When the schedule was released, many hoped that this would be a crucial game to finish the season, perhaps even for the Vaidenville championship. Now that Jake has been elected mayor of Vaidenville, this game is mostly meaningless. Jacob can clinch the #3 seed with a win or with a loss from Sean. Aaron leads the all-time series 10-9-1. Chase (5-7-1) vs Jarrett (5-8) The loser of this game will finish in 8th place. Jarrett could win this game to finish in 7th place, and Chase could win this game and potentially pass Aaron as well to finish in 6th place. Jarrett leads the all-time series 9-8.
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Commissioner Jensen
Nov 30, 2021
In Main Forum
It’s time for me to write the “loser’s letter” to avoid being charged $5.00 for not writing it, since I have invested enough in this league already with 52 adds and 3 trades. It does seem that the LL has run its course, but I do like the idea of just implementing a mandatory $5 fine for being the lowest scorer of the week. We’ve added $50 to the league pot this season from the LL, but a mandatory fee would add $70 to the pot each year. I will say that I’d be open to discussing the finances at the banquet this year. We can decide if we like the system as it is or if we want to switch to a flat rate of the league average which would be about $90. I’m willing to raise the stakes if you are! If you listened to the Vaiden Brothers Podcast and heard the segment about how much money we’d all have if we invested it all in Bitcoin, you’ll want to tune in to a follow up segment on the next Doug & Willy Podcast about everyone’s career winnings and losings. Without further ado, let’s jump into the notepad and we’ll close it out with the all important PLAYOFF SCENARIOS for the final two weeks. For the 5th time in league history, we only have 1 playoff team clinched after Week 12. In 2011 and 2014, there was only 1 team clinched, and in 2018 and 2020, there were zero teams clinched after Week 12. Erik is still our points leader and is on pace to score 1,517 points which would be the 4th most all-time. He also has the fewest points scored against him and is on pace to have 1,188 points scored against him which would be the 10th fewest ever. He already clinched the division and is guaranteed to be the #1 or #2 seed in the playoffs. His 3rd loss of the season allows the Two Dollar Pistols from 2013 to celebrate having the best regular season finish (and overall finish) in league history with a 12-2 record (14-2). Ryan is on pace to score 1,116 points which would be the 5th fewest points ever scored in a single season. He has failed to score 100 points in 10 consecutive weeks which is tied for the 8th worst streak in league history. Terrance is on pace to have 1,443 points scored against him which would be the 4th most all-time. Jake was the only person to score over 100 points this week, and he does it for the 5th time this season, but it’s the first time he’s done it since Week 5. Erik’s streak of six consecutive 100 point games comes to an end. Nick Folk drops a season high 18 points from a kicker for Chase this week, but Sean left Daniel Carlson’s 19 points on his bench this week. Schweg’s 25 points from the Miami D/ST is the 2nd most from a D/ST this season. Jacob has started 12 different running backs this season, which is the most in his career. The record is 14. Jarrett loses his 7th consecutive game to Terrance, falling to 4-15 against him which is tied for the most lopsided rivalry in the league with Jake vs Schweg. The 7 straight wins are tied for the 4th longest streak. Jake wins to tie Ryan for the 2nd most career wins in league history with 87. Jarrett ties Ryan for 5th place all-time for average points per RB start. Jake passes Terrance to move into 3rd place all-time for average points per WR start. Aaron passes Sean to move into 3rd place all-time for average points per TE start. Schweg passes Ryan to move into 2nd place all-time for average points per D/ST start. Schweg leads the all-time series against Aaron, 12-7. Jake leads the all-time series against Chase, 8-7. Jacob leads the all-time series against Erik, 10-6. Sean ties the all-time series against Ryan 7-7 and has won 4 of the last 5. Jake and Jacob are both 8-4, but neither has clinched the playoffs. One of them will be the winner of the Vaidenville division. Historically, all teams with 4 or fewer losses after Week 12 have made the playoffs. Sean is now 6-5-1, which historically has an 88% chance of making the playoffs. Ryan and Aaron are both 6-6, and historically have a 23% chance of making the playoffs. Jarrett & Chase both have 7 losses and are still in playoff contention, but no team with 7 losses through Week 12 has ever made the playoffs. Trade Tracker: Ryan (117) vs Schweg (56) Christian McCaffrey - 45 DeVonta Smith - 72 David Montgomery - 40 Calvin Ridley - 16 Ryan (39) vs Terrance (61) Chuba Hubbard - 39 Melvin Gordon - 61 Ryan (25) vs Sean (10) Diontae Johnson - 25 Rhamondre Stevenson - 10 Jacob (52) vs Aaron (21) Joe Mixon - 52 Mark Andrews - 19 Kareem Hunt - 2 Week 13 Preview Erik (9-3) vs Schweg (3-8-1) - Erik leads the series 11-9 Jake (8-4) vs Jarrett (5-7) - Jarrett leads the series 9-3 and has won 4 straight Jacob (8-4) vs Sean (6-5-1) - Jacob leads the series 11-6 and has won 5 straight Ryan (6-6) vs Terrance (3-8-1) - Terrance leads the series 10-6 Aaron (6-6) vs Chase (4-7-1) - Aaron leads the series 7-5 Without further ado, here are the playoff scenarios heading into the last two weeks. There are many avenues this playoff picture can go, and every game will matter especially when factoring in Strength of Victory tiebreakers. Erik has already clinched his division. He can clinch the #1 seed with a win and losses from Jake and Jacob, OR he can win his last two games. Jake can clinch a playoff spot with a win, OR he needs two out of these three to lose: Aaron, Sean and Ryan. He can clinch his division with a win and a loss from Jacob. Jake can clinch the #1 seed by winning his last two games. Jacob can clinch a playoff spot with a win, OR he needs Ryan and Aaron to lose. Jacob can clinch his division with two wins and one loss from Jake. Sean can clinch a playoff spot by winning his last two games, or he can win one of his last two games and have Ryan and Aaron each lose one game. Ryan can clinch a playoff spot with two wins and one loss from Sean, or with one win and two losses from Sean and one loss from Aaron. Aaron needs to win his last two games and have Ryan and Sean each lose one game, or he needs to end up tied with Jacob at 8-6 to win the strength of victory tiebreaker. Currently, Jacob’s SOV is 42, and Aaron’s is 34 but with an implied 46.5 at season’s end. If Aaron ends up tied with Jake at 8-6, it would be decided in strength of victory which is too close to call. Aaron cannot win the division. Jarrett can clinch a playoff spot by winning his last two games and having Sean, Aaron and Ryan all lose their last two games. Chase can clinch a playoff spot by winning his last two games and having Sean, Aaron and Ryan all lose their last two games. How’s that for a loser’s letter ya bitches?
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Commissioner Jensen
Nov 23, 2021
In Main Forum
Congratulations to our first playoff team and first division winner, Erik Schwegler. The win this week was fueled by Jonathan Taylor’s 49 points, the 4th most points ever scored in our league. Erik scores over 100 points for the 6th consecutive week, which ties Jacob’s record for the most consecutive 100 point games this season, and is tied for 3rd most all-time. Erik has 9 games over 100 points this season already, which is tied for the 2nd most all time. He can tie the record with 10 games, and only 5 owners have ever done that and this is including playoffs as well. Erik is on pace for 1,559 total points, which would be the 2nd most all time. Jake and Jacob are sitting in the 2 and 3 seeds respectively with a 7-4 record. 100% of teams that are 7-4 or better after Week 11 make the playoffs. 26 out of 26 teams, which includes 11 teams that were 7-4. Jake has already swept Jacob this season and holds the tiebreaker. One of the most epic comebacks in league history, Jarrett gets 35 points from Austin Ekeler on Sunday Night Football and Ryan Succop and the Tampa Bay D/ST get 26 more points to capture a win. Keeping Jacob from getting his 8th win is a huge deal for the rest of the league. Jarrett also rallied to be the leading scorer of the week for the first time this season. Terrance earns loser’s letter duty for the 2nd time this season. Ryan gets a crucial victory over Aaron and has snuck into the 4 seed. Their series is now tied 11-11. Both teams have a 6-5 record. Historically, they have a 43% chance of making the playoffs. Sean is also included in that as a 5 loss team, except he is now 5-5-1. Had Ryan not traded for Diontae Johnson, he would've presumably started DeVonta Smith who scored 10 fewer points than Johnson, which would've resulted in an 83-82 victory for Aaron where he would've taken the lead in the 4th quarter of the MNF game. Teams with 6 losses after Week 11 have a 17% chance of making the playoffs which is where Jarrett and Chase are. Terrance and Schweg are officially eliminated from playoff contention. Both teams are 2-8-1, but Schweg has the tiebreaker. This will be a close race for these teams competing over the toilet trophy. Ryan has failed to score 100 points in 9 consecutive games. He only has one game over 100, and that was 102 points in Week 2. New England’s 28 fantasy points for Sean is the most by any defense this season. Terrance is on pace to have 1,459 points scored against him, which would be the 2nd most all time. Jarrett passes Ryan for most career games with over 100 points with 48. Ryan only has 1 more 100 point game than Chase who has played 2 fewer seasons. Ryan only has 17 games over 100 points in the last 5 seasons. Erik has 18 games over 100 points in his last 25 games. Jacob loses his 8th career game while scoring over 100 points, which is the 2nd fewest in league history, but it’s his 2nd game this season. Jake is now 15-4 against Schweg, which is good enough for a league high 78.9% winning percentage against him. Trade Tracker: Ryan (112) vs Schweg (50) Christian McCaffrey - 42 DeVonta Smith - 70 David Montgomery - 34 Calvin Ridley - 16 Ryan (39) vs Terrance (53) Chuba Hubbard - 39 Melvin Gordon - 53 Ryan (16) vs Sean (6) Diontae Johnson - 16 Rhamondre Stevenson - 6 Jacob (24) vs Aaron (7) Joe Mixon - 24 Mark Andrew - 7 Kareem Hunt - 0 Playoff Picture Schwegtopia 1. Erik 9-2 (6-1) - clinched division - can clinch #1 seed with a win over Jacob 4. Ryan 6-5 (2-3) 6. Sean 5-5-1 (4-2) 9. Schweg 2-8-1 (1-4-1) - eliminated 10. Terrance 2-8-1 (1-4-1) - eliminated Vaidenville 2. Jake 7-4 (3-3) 3. Jacob 7-4 (4-3) 5. Aaron 6-5 (3-3) 7. Jarrett 5-6 (3-3) 8. Chase 4-6-1 (2-3) No other clinching scenarios in Week 12. Week 12 Schedule Erik (9-2) vs Jacob (7-4) Jacob leads the all-time series 9-6. Jake (7-4) vs Chase (4-6-1) The all-time series is tied 7-7. Half of their games have been decided by 8 points or less. Ryan (6-5) vs Sean (5-5-1) Ryan leads the all-time series 7-6. Aaron (6-5) vs Schweg (2-8-1) Schweg leads the all-time series 11-7 and has won 4 out of the last 5. Jarrett (5-6) vs Terrance (2-8-1) Terrance leads the all-time series 14-4. This is the 2nd most lopsided rivalry in the league, and if Terrance wins, he will tie Jake’s record vs Schweg. Terrance has won 6 consecutive games against Jarrett going back to 2018.
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Commissioner Jensen
Nov 16, 2021
In Main Forum
The last 3 weeks have been the 3 lowest scoring weeks of the season. Only 802 points were scored this past week. We had the league’s 6th tie in our 11 year history, and for the first time we have two ties in the same season. Sean becomes the 7th owner to have 50 career games over 100 points and led all scorers in Week 10 with 109 points. Erik goes over 100 points for the 5th straight week, and now has scored over 100 points in 8 games already this season. The record (which includes playoffs) is 10 games. Erik loses his 12th 100+ point game in his career, which is tied for 2nd most. Jacob becomes the 5th owner to win 80 career games. Jarrett becomes the first owner to lose 90 career games. Aaron gets 0 points from 2 different starters, which is the 3rd time this has happened this year. It is the 11th time that Aaron has done that which is the most all-time. Chase lost both games to Jacob this year by the score of 71-69 and 73-69. Both games he was projected to win going into the final primetime matchup but came up short. Had Chase won these close games, he would be 5-4-1 right now, ahead of Jacob at 5-5. Jake has a combined 111 points scored against him over the last two weeks. He has won those games 81-55 and 81-56 against the Vaiden brothers. Ryan and Jarrett are the only two teams who have never tied. Jalen Hurts, Jonathan Taylor, Aaron Jones, Cooper Kupp, Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, Harrison Butker and the New England D/ST are the only 8 players to have been started all 10 weeks so far. If the season ended today, the playoff picture would be 1. Erik vs 4. Aaron, and 2. Jacob vs 3. Jake. Jacob is averaging 63 points per game in his last 4 games, but he is 2-2 in those games. Playoff Odds through 10 weeks: Teams with 2 losses (Erik) make the playoffs 100% of the time. Teams with 3 losses (Jacob) make the playoffs 100% of the time. Teams with 4 losses (Aaron, Jake & Sean) make the playoffs 46% of the time. Teams with 5 losses (Ryan) make the playoffs 41% of the time. Teams with 6 losses (Jarrett & Chase) make the playoffs 9% of the time. Teams with 7 losses (Terrance & Schweg) make the playoffs 0% of the time. Trade Tracker: Ryan (89) vs Schweg (45) Christian McCaffrey - 25 DeVonta Smith - 64 David Montgomery - 29 Calvin Ridley - 16 Ryan (39) vs Terrance (53) Chuba Hubbard - 39 Melvin Gordon - 53 Week 11 Preview: Erik (8-2) vs Terrance (2-7-1) Terrance leads the all-time series 8-3-1, but has lost the last two games against Erik which includes a week 1 loss this season. Erik had a chance to win his division last week but failed, and playoff scenarios for this week are too complicated to figure out. Jacob (7-3) vs Jarrett (4-6) Jacob leads the all-time series 9-8, and these teams have traded wins the last 5 matchups, and it is now Jarrett’s turn to win. Jake (6-4) vs Schweg (2-7-1) Tied for the most lopsided rivalry in league history, Jake has a 14-4 record against Schweg. Aaron (6-4) vs Ryan (5-5) Aaron leads the all-time series 11-10. Aaron jumped out to an early 8-2 advantage, and Ryan has countered that by going 8-3 since. Sean (5-4-1) vs Chase (3-6-1) Sean leads the all-time series 12-5-1, with an earlier season tie occurring between these two teams. Sean got out to a 10-1 advantage against Chase, but Chase is 4-2-1 in the last 7 games. Aaron has loser's letter duty for the first time this season.
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Commissioner Jensen
Nov 10, 2021
In Main Forum
Week 9 was the 4th lowest scoring week of all-time, with just 772 points scored. We saw 3 teams finish with less than 60 points. Teams scoring 100 points or more this season are 28-11-2 which is a 68.3% win percentage, which would be the lowest in history if stays under the current record of 74.6%. The average score this season has been 95.6 points which is on pace to be the 3rd highest scoring season in league history. Jake passes Jacob for 3rd best winning percentage in the league after yielding that lead to him last week. With a win over Schweg, Sean passes him for 6th all time in career winning percentage. Erik has been in last place in career winning percentage for the ENTIRETY of our league history, until this past week when he finally passed Jarrett. Jarrett’s 44.0% win percentage puts him in last place. Erik continues his dominance by winning his 7th consecutive game. He becomes the 6th team to post a 7-game winning streak or better. The last time was when Chase won in Weeks 13 & 14 of the 2017 season and started 6-0 in the 2018 season. The last time someone posted a 7-game winning streak within one season was Aaron in 2013 with his record setting 14-game winning streak. Erik improves to 5-0 in his division, and already has a division clinching scenario this week! If he can win against Sean to improve to 9-1, he will win the division. In that scenario, the worst Erik could do is 9-5, while the best that Sean and Ryan could do would be 8-5-1 and 9-5 respectively (Erik already swept Ryan). Only one other time has someone clinched a playoff spot by Week 10, and that was Sean in 2012. No one has won their division after Week 10. This was also the 4th consecutive game that Erik has scored over 100 points. Erik gets a regular season sweep over Ryan for the first time, and they’ve played each other twice every year. He has now won 3 straight against Ryan. Ryan is currently on pace to score the 3rd fewest points in league history, averaging just 77.7 points per game. He has scored under 100 points in 7 straight weeks. Ryan becomes the 5th owner to lose 80 career games. Ryan has posted 0 points from 2 different starters in 3 of his last 10 games. He has also started the most players in the league, with 31 different starters. He has scored 80 or more points just 3 times this year. We saw the lowest scoring game of the season so far with Sean defeating Schweg 67-53. That is tied for the 7th fewest combined points ever scored in a game. After a 2-3 start, Aaron has now won 4 straight games and is tied with Jacob on top of his division at 6-3. Jacob won the first matchup between the two so he has the early advantage but both teams are moving in opposite directions. Aaron improves his record high monthly winning percentage, as he now has a 29-15 record in the month of November (65.9% win). After going 0-5-1 over the last 6 weeks, Chase gets a much needed win and he does it in November, the month that he has struggled so much in lately. He also snapped a 5-game losing streak against Terrance that dated back to 2018. Jake now has 4 straight wins over division rival Jacob. Jacob has scored just 108 points in his last two games, the fewest amount scored in any 2-game stretch in his career. Schweg becomes the 6th owner in history to post single digit scores from all 9 starters, and the first person to do it twice. The other games where no starter reached 10 points were: Schweg - Week 3, 2014 - 39 points Aaron - Week 15, 2014 - 44 points Chase - Week 11, 2015 - 48 points Jarrett - Week 6, 2017 - 38 points Sean - Week 12, 2019 - 45 points Schweg - Week 9, 2021 - 53 points Trade Tracker: Ryan (56) vs Schweg (45) Christian McCaffrey - 10 DeVonta Smith - 46 David Montgomery - 29 Calvin Ridley - 16 Ryan (31) vs Terrance (45) Chuba Hubbard - 31 Melvin Gordon - 45 Playoff Odds: Erik becomes the 4th team to start the season with just 1 loss through the first 9 weeks. Sean started 8-1 in 2012 and won Robbie Bowl II. Chase started 8-1 in 2013 and lost Robbie Bowl III. Erik was the last team to do it with a 7-1-1 start in 2017 and he would go on to win Robbie Bowl VII. So not only did all those teams make the playoffs, but they all made it to the Robbie Bowl with a 2-1 record. 76% of 3 loss teams make the playoffs, which is where Aaron & Jacob are now. 39% of 4 loss teams make the playoffs, which is where Jake & Sean are now. 29% of 5 loss teams make the playoffs, which is where Ryan, Jarrett & Chase are now. No 2-7 team has ever made the playoffs, which is where Terrance & Schweg are. Even if they won the rest of their games and finished at 7-7, only 1 out of 16 total teams with 7 losses at the end of the season has ever made the playoffs. It would truly be a miracle if one of them did it, however it is still in the realm of possibility. Week 10 Preview: Erik (8-1) vs Sean (4-4-1) Erik leads the series 7-6 and has won 4 straight. Erik can clinch the division title with a win. A win for Sean would keep him right in the thick of the playoff race, and he would have a lot of points added to his strength of victory tiebreaker for beating Erik. Ryan (4-5) vs Jarrett (4-5) Ryan leads the series 11-5 and has won 4 straight. The difference between 5-5 and 4-6 is massive. 5-5 teams make the playoffs 41% of the time, while 4-6 teams make it just 9%. Aaron (6-3) vs Jake (5-4) Aaron leads the series 13-8 and has won 4 straight. Aaron already beat Jake this year, so a win could give him a sweep with a 2-game lead. Jake has a chance to even the series and their divisional records. In a 3-way tie with Jacob, Jake would win that tiebreaker as of now because he swept Jacob. Jacob (6-3) vs Chase (3-5-1) Jacob leads the series 7-6 and has won 4 of the last 5. Jacob needs the divisional win, or he is in danger of falling out of first place in the division. If Chase wins, he will improve to 4-5-1, and if Jake defeats Aaron, then Chase will be just a game and a half behind the leaders with the best divisional record in Vaidenville. Schweg (2-7) vs Terrance (2-7) The series is tied 8-8 with Schweg winning the last 2. The loser of this game will more than likely be eliminated from playoff contention.
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Commissioner Jensen
Nov 02, 2021
In Main Forum
There were a total of 872 points scored this week, which was the lowest scoring week of the 2021 season. Erik wins his 6th consecutive game and leads the league in scoring with 906 points, which is a pace of 1,586 points, just 23 points behind the all-time record. This was also his 3rd consecutive game with over 100 points, tying him with Jacob for six 100+ point games on the season. Erik becomes the 9th team to win 6 consecutive games. Aaron, Chase, Sean and Terrance all have two streaks of 6 wins or more. Erik has done it by using the same 3 wide receivers in all 8 weeks: Cooper Kupp, Chris Godwin & Terry McLaurin, but will have to face bye weeks from Godwin & McLaurin in Week 9. Erik becomes the 6th team in history to have just 1 loss through the first 8 weeks. The previous 5 all made the playoffs. Two of those teams went on to the win the Robbie Bowl (Sean in 2012 and Erik in 2017). The other 3 finished in 2nd, 4th and 4th. Ryan has the fewest points scored in the league with 642, which is a pace of 1,123 points which would be the 6th fewest points ever scored in a season. Somehow, he is 4-4. Jake now has the most points scored against him after Terrance’s very unlucky start to the season had him as the frontrunner. Jake has had 893 points scored against him, which is a pace of 1,563 points. That would be almost 100 points more than the current record. We actually have 3 teams (Jake, Terrance & Schweg) that are on pace to finish top 5 all-time for most points scored against. Chase has had the fewest points scored against him with just 688 or 86 points per game. This is usually a very telling statistic, but unfortunately Chase has lost some close games and currently sits outside of the playoff picture. This was the 6th time in history that a team has gotten 0 points from 3 different starters on their roster. Chase has a 10-25 record in the month of November, which is the worst winning percentage of any owner in any month, and that includes being 2-15 in November over the last 4 years. There is still hope for him at 2-5-1, as he still has a 13% chance of making the playoffs if he can start putting some wins together. After gushing over his hot 6-1 start, Jacob puts up the fewest points in a game yet this season with just 53 and loses his security blanket in Derrick Henry. His leading scorer was the Pittsburgh D/ST with 12 points. His 6-2 record historically has a 73% chance of making the playoffs. The Ryan vs Chase game which finished with just 133 total points scored was the 2nd lowest scoring of the season. Chase has been the loser of the top 3 lowest scoring games already this season, losing games 73-59, 71-69 and 68-65. Terrance’s 79-53 win over Jacob is also tied for fewest points scored in a game. This was the 10th team in history that a team has won scoring 68 or fewer points, and its the fewest points Ryan has ever scored in a win. Chase has now been on the losing side of 4 out of those 10 games. Ryan snaps a 4-game losing streak and a 7-game losing streak in the month of October. (Technically it was November 1 when the magic happened, but the weeks are put into the months based on what day Sunday falls on). Jarrett ties Ryan with 47 career 100+ point games. Chase is the only one with fewer, and he has 45 games in 2 fewer seasons. Schweg and Terrance are now tied at the bottom of the league with 2-6 records. Thanks to an early season win, Schweg still has the advantage. Terrance’s team in 2015 also started 2-6 and then went on to win the rest of their regular season games and make the playoffs, so there is a 9% chance of making the playoffs. Sean becomes the 4th owner to lose 80 games. Aaron snaps a 4-game losing streak against Schweg and wins for the first time against him since Week 8 of 2016. Schweg still leads the series 11-7. Aaron is alone in 3rd place as the only team with a 5-3 record. He has a 65% chance of making the playoffs. Erik wins his 5th consecutive game against Jake to improve to 11-8-1 all-time against the snake. Jake is averaging 70 points per game in this series over the last 9 matchups. Jarrett wins his 5th straight game against Sean to improve to 13-8 over his fellow TPD band member rival. He is now 11-1 against Sean in the last 12 games. Chase overtakes Sean for highest average points scored from the kicker position all time with 8.23 points per game. We now have four teams with 4 losses: Ryan, Jake, Jarrett & Sean. Only 38% of four loss teams through week 8 make the playoffs. Jarrett’s win in the final week of October matched with Jake’s loss puts Jarrett alone in 1st place with a 62.5% winning percentage in the month of October. As we look ahead to November, no owner is better in any month than Aaron is in November with a 65.1% winning percentage. Coming up in Week 9… Erik (7-1) vs Ryan (4-4) Ryan leads this series 16-6 which is tied for the 5th most lopsided rivalry in league history. Erik already won the first matchup between the two this season. Terrance (2-6) vs Chase (2-5-1) Chase leads the series 9-8 all-time, but Terrance has won 5 games in a row against Chase. Whoever loses this game will have an extremely difficult time making the playoffs. Aaron (5-3) vs Jarrett (4-4) Aaron leads the series 8-5, winning the last two games which included a win in Week 6. This is Jarrett’s chance to equal the series and the record and further advance up the standings, while Aaron can separate himself along with his brother in the Vaidenville division. Sean (3-4-1) vs Schweg (2-6) Both teams in need of a win, especially a divisional win. Sean leads the series 10-8 and has won 3 games in a row against Schweg. Sean has averaged 129 points in those 3 games. Jacob (6-2) vs Jake (4-4) In the battle of namesakes, its Jacob that leads the all-time series 11-6, but Jake has won the last 3 games including a win earlier this season. A win for Jacob would put him at 7-2, and 100% of 7-2 teams or better make the playoffs. But a win for Jake could really shake up the division and the league. Jacob on loser’s letter duty.
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Commissioner Jensen
Oct 26, 2021
In Main Forum
Prior to this week, we have only seen one team start 7-0 and five teams start 6-1. This is the first time in league history that we have two 6-1 teams in the same season as Erik & Jacob become the 7th and 8th teams to start 6-1 or better. Five out of those six teams made the playoffs (83%). Erik becomes the first owner in history to score at least 10 points from every single position. Erik also moves into first place for points scored on the season with 797 which is a pace of 1,594 total points, just a little bit behind the record pace. His 147 points in Week 7 are a season high through this point. Erik also passes Jake to move into 4th place for most career 100 point games. This was his 5th consecutive win. Erik has scored over 100 points 5 times this season, and has not scored less than 90. This was Erik’s 4th consecutive win over Sean, and the most points ever scored in their series. He is also off to a 4-0 start in his division. Terrance has now scored over 100 points in 4 straight weeks which is the 2nd longest streak of this season. He has now posted a league-high 70 career games with over 100 points. Terrance becomes the 4th owner to win 80 career games. The 66 point win over Ryan is the highest margin of victory we’ve seen in 2021. Jacob’s streak of 6 consecutive 100 points games comes to end. The streak is tied for 3rd most all-time, but it remains the record for most consecutive 100 point games to start a season. Jacob passes Schweg to move into 5th place on the most career wins list. This was his 4th consecutive win. Jacob also passes Jake to move into 3rd place for career winning percentage. Aaron gets his 4th consecutive win against Jake to lift his record to 13-8-1 against him. After a 2-0 start, Chase is 0-4-1 since. He earns loser’s letter duty for the 3rd time this season. Jake has now started 4 different quarterbacks this season while no one else has started more than 2. After starting 1-11 in his career against Schweg, Jarrett is now 5-2 in his last 7 games against him. After a 3-0 start, Ryan is 0-4 since. He has started a league-high 26 different starters so far. The 66 point loss was Ryan’s worst defeat in his career. Aaron & Jake now sit at 4-3, while Sean is at 3-3-1. Historically, teams with 3 losses through 7 weeks have a 48% chance of making the playoffs. Ryan, Jarrett & Chase all have 4 losses and historically have a 25% chance of making the playoffs. Only one 2-5 team has ever made the playoffs which was Terrance’s 2015 team which finished 3rd. That was thanks to the big DeAngelo Williams waiver add. So there is a 6% chance that Schweg makes the playoffs. Despite the win for Terrance, no 1-6 team has ever made the playoffs as he will most likely need to win every game from here on out. Ryan (28) & Schweg’s (38) trade update: Christian McCaffrey - 0 DeVonta Smith - 28 David Montgomery - 22 Calvin Ridley - 16 Ryan (16) & Terrance’s (15) trade update: Chuba Hubbard - 16 Melvin Gordon - 15 Looking ahead to Week 8 Erik (6-1) vs Jake (4-3) Erik leads the all-time series 10-8-1 and is 6-1-1 in the last 8 games between the two. Injuries for Erik: Saquon Barkley, George Kittle Injuries for Jake: Dawson Knox No bye weeks Jarrett (3-4) vs Sean (3-3-1) Jarrett leads the all-time series 12-8 and has won 10 of the last 11 games in this series. No injuries for Jarrett Injuries for Sean: Rob Gronkowski No bye weeks Jacob (6-1) vs Terrance (1-6) Terrance leads the all-time series 10-7 and has won 3 straight regular season matchups. Injuries for Jacob: Kareem Hunt, Chris Carson, Michael Thomas Injuries for Terrance: Clyde Edwards-Helaire Bye weeks: Mark Andrews & Justin Tucker for Jacob Aaron (4-3) vs Schweg (2-5) Schweg leads the all-time series 11-6 and has won 4 consecutive games against Aaron. Injuries for Schweg: Miles Sanders, David Montgomery Injuries for Aaron: Davante Adams (Covid) Bye weeks: Darren Waller for Schweg, Marquise Brown for Aaron Ryan (3-4) vs Chase (2-4-1) Chase leads the all-time series 7-4. Prior to losing to Ryan last season, Chase had won 6 straight games against him. Injuries for Ryan: Christian McCaffrey Injuries for Chase: Nick Chubb & Antonio Brown, both questionable and have potential to play Bye weeks: Josh Jacobs for Chase, Latavius Murray/Devonta Freeman for Ryan
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Commissioner Jensen
Oct 19, 2021
In Main Forum
Week 6 was the 2nd highest scoring week of the season, and it featured the highest low score of the season with Jarrett’s 79 points. So far this season, there has been at least one team each week to lose while scoring over 100 points. We have already seen ten 100 point losses this season, which is the 3rd most in league history for a single season. The record is 17. Not a single starter scored 0 points this week. Every single player scored at least something. Jacob is on pace to score 1,685 points, and the all-time record is Sean’s 1,608. Jacob is now tied for 3rd for most consecutive games scoring at least 100 points with 6, and it’s the most consecutive games to start a season. He is doing well in all categories as his position rankings are currently 3rd for QB, 1st for RB, 3rd for WR, 1st for TE and 2nd for K. Terrance is on pace to have 1,731 points scored against him, and the all-time record is Jarrett’s 1,471. Despite being just the 3rd team in league history to start the season 0-6, Terrance is averaging over 95 points per game, which is above the league average. He has scored over 100 points in 3 straight games. He is now tied for 3rd for most consecutive losses with 6, and he is just the 12th team to lose 6 straight games. The record for most losses despite scoring at least 100 points in a season is 4, and Terrance already has 3. The record-setting streak of consecutive wins against one owner increases as Jake defeats Ryan for the 13th consecutive time. Ryan’s last victory in the series was on December 7, 2014. Jake’s 17 wins against Ryan are the most that any owner has against another. Sean passes Ryan for career games scoring over 100 points. Aaron becomes the first owner in the league to win 90 games. Ryan (22) & Schweg’s (30) trade update: Christian McCaffrey - 0 DeVonta Smith - 22 David Montgomery - 22 Calvin Ridley - 8 Ryan (12) & Terrance’s (7) trade update: Chuba Hubbard - 12 Melvin Gordon - 7 Jarrett earns Loser's Letter honors this week!
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Commissioner Jensen
Oct 12, 2021
In Main Forum
It is time for us to revisit the lost art of the Loser's Letter. Once a cute little fad of our younger days when the time it took to write up a gimmick was less valuable than the $5 opt-out fee. Now we are esteemed gentlemen with jam-packed schedules from dawn to dusk, and no one has the time to write the letter anymore, which means the cash filling up our pockets is bursting out in $5 increments. But this week, it's the commissioner's turn and since I already put together the Notepad, this was a piece of cake! I'll get into plenty of stats and numbers, but first I would like to throw out some SHAME like we do on the Doug & Willy Show, but not at anyone else. Instead, I will be digging deep for a heaping pile of steamy shame to lather all over my clown face. No one else is deserving of the shame at this moment because I had the fewest points this past week and have the fewest points in the league this year. I am a very lucky boy to have already won 3 games. I have only scored over 100 points one time and barely (102) while every other team has already scored over 100 points 2 or more times. And we had such a huge week in Week 5 that we could've broken the record for most total points in a single week, but I let us all down by scoring 64 points when 67 would've set a new record. It is my fault and I am ashamed. Even if I had put together my ideal lineup with Chase Claypool, Michael Pittman & Rondale Moore, I still would've lost to Erik. It was a pathetic outing and I take full responsibility of my actions. But at least I'm not paying $5 to NOT write this so that maybe someone else will be the Mr. Moneybags Award winner this year. I've got a chance to right the ship this week in a game against Jake. He obviously has the 12-game winning streak against me that everyone talks about ALL the time, so it'd be great if we could just get that to stop. I can't feel too terribly about my team with Kyler Murray, Dalvin Cook & CMC all capable of scoring 30 points. I just need to pick the correct WRs, let my RBs get healthy, hope for some positive regression from Kyler after a few down weeks, and pick a new TE. Loser's letter complete. Obligation fulfilled. Now onto the notepad: Week 5 was the 2nd highest scoring week of all-time with a total of 1,117 points scored. There were 1,119 points scored in Week 10, 2018. This was the 3rd time in league history that 8 teams scored 100 points or more. Jacob’s 146-130 victory over Aaron was the 5th-highest scoring game in history with 276 combined points. Mark Andrews had 30 points, which was tied for the 3rd-most points from a TE all time. For the 21st time in league history, a team had two 30+ point scorers on their team, and that was Jacob with Andrews (30) and Derrick Henry (31). Aaron leads the series over his brother by a narrow margin of 10-9-1. Jarrett gets an explosive game from Lamar Jackson to defeat Jake 141-100. It’s a career high for Jarrett from the QB position. He wins his 4th straight game against Jake. The last time Jake defeated Jarrett was in 2017. Jarrett leads the all-time series 9-3 which is the 4th most lopsided rivalry in league history (75%). Erik defeats Ryan 92-64 in the boring game of the week. The win gives Erik consecutive wins over Ryan for the first time ever, as Ryan now leads the series 16-6, which is good for 6th best in league history. Chase and Sean have a storied rivalry going back to Chase’s rookie season in 2013. Chase got out to a 7-0 start while Sean started that year 0-7, but the teams would meet in Week 8 and Sean would win 104-103. This past week, the score was close to that 1st head-to-head matchup, but instead it ends in a tie 103-103. This was the 5th tie in league history, and the 2nd tie where both teams were over 100 points. Sean now leads the series 12-5-1. Schweg takes down Terrance 127-111. Terrance becomes just the 3rd team to start the season 0-5. The aforementioned Sean team of 2013 started 0-7 before their first win, and the 2011 combination of Nathan Carlson & Steve Ott started 0-6 before their first win. Schweg wins his 2nd straight over Terrance to even the series at 8-8. Jacob is averaging 117.2 points per game which is a 14-game pace of 1,641 points which would break the all-time scoring record. Terrance is having an average of 121.2 points per game scored against him which is a 14-game pace of 1,697 points which is a record-shattering pace. Jacob is getting close to historical notoriety now that he has scored 100+ points in 5 straight games. Sean holds the record with 8 straight. Jarrett is alone in 2nd with 7 straight, and Terrance is alone in 3rd with 6 straight. This is the 9th time someone has scored 100 points in 5 straight games, and Jacob is responsible for the last three occurrences of 5 straight. Aaron passes both Sean and Ryan to move into 3rd in most career points. Jarrett is finally averaging over 90 points per game after a career of being in the 80s. He is also now tied with Jake for best winning percentage in the month of October (62.2%). Looking ahead to Week 6: Ryan (3-2) vs Jake (3-2) Jake’s record setting 12 game win streak against Ryan is still in tact heading into this game. He has a 16-5 record against Ryan, and no owner has 17 wins against another person. Jacob (4-1) vs Terrance (0-5) Jacob has a career record of 6-10 vs Terrance, but has won the last two regular season matchups. Jacob has a chance to to move to 5-1 (75% of 5-1 and 6-0 teams make the playoffs). Jarrett (2-3) vs Aaron (2-3) This grueling mid-season division game is a must win for both teams. Aaron leads this series 7-5, but the two teams have been alternating wins going back to 2016, and it’s Jarrett’s turn to win. Chase (2-2-1) vs Erik (4-1) Chase leads the all-time series 5-4 in one of the younger rivalries across the league. Sean (2-2-1) vs Schweg (2-3) Both teams have been good, but their record doesn’t necessarily reflect that. Sean leads the series 9-8 and has won the last two matchups, but Schweg has won 8 of the last 11 games.
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Commissioner Jensen
Oct 05, 2021
In Main Forum
It’s October, which is traditionally the month of Jake the Snake. He has a league high 63.6% win pct in the month of October. Through week 4, teams that are 3-1 or better have a 74% chance of making the playoffs. 2-2 teams have a 36% chance of making the playoffs, and 1-3 teams have a 12% chance of making the playoffs. No 0-4 team has ever made the playoffs. Despite being 3-1 and technically still in first place according to TPDFFL tie-breaking procedures, Ryan has scored the fewest points in the league. Cordarrelle Patterson was started for the first time since 2014. Schweg started him 4 times in the 2014 season as a WR. He has scored 61 total points in his 5 starts. Jake is the highest scorer of the week for the 12th time in his career. Chase is the bottom bitch of the week for consecutive weeks, and the 14th time of his career. The first trade of the season occurred prior to Week 4, and it was the first trade since Week 9 of 2020. The commissioner’s notepad will be introducing “Trade Watch” to track each trade’s progress: Ryan - 12 Schweg - 30 Christian McCaffrey - 0 David Montgomery - 22 DeVonta Smith - 12 Calvin Ridley - 8 Terrance has had 479 points scored against him through the first 4 weeks, which is an average of almost 120 points per game. That pace would shatter the record for points scored against. Terrance becomes the 5th team in league history to start 0-4. None of those teams made the playoffs. The two highest combined scoring games of this season so far occurred in Week 4. 247 - Jake def Terrance 236 - Erik def Jarrett Both games were the highest scoring games of the rivalries. Jacob has scored 100 points in each of his first 4 games this season. He becomes the 2nd owner to do so, as Chase is the only other owner to start the season with 4 straight 100+ point games, and he did it twice. Chase did it in 2013 with a 4-0 start, and again in 2019 with a 1-3 start. Jarrett has surpassed Erik for most career losses. He has now lost 87 games. He lost another game while scoring over 100 points, which is his 14th career loss over 100 which is the most in the league (2nd place is 11). His record when scoring 100 points or more is 31-14 (68.9% win pct). Nine of those losses have been since 2018.
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Commissioner Jensen
Sep 28, 2021
In Main Forum
Only 909 total points were scored this week, the lowest of the season so far. Every week 3 loser had enough points on their bench to win their game. Teams scoring 100 or more points this season are 12-4 (75% win pct.) compared to the all-time win pct. of 84.7%. Here’s how you would’ve done this week if you started only Buffalo Bills players: QB: Josh Allen - 36 RB: Zack Moss - 15 RB: Devin Singletary - 2 WR: Emmanuel Sanders - 21 WR: Stefan Diggs - 6 TE: Dawson Knox - 10 F: Cole Beasley - 9 K: Tyler Bass - 13 D/ST: Buffalo - 9 TOTAL: 121 Points Through the first 3 weeks, 11 out of the 15 games have been decided by 15 points or fewer which is the most in league history. Schweg has scored the 3rd-most points in the league but somehow finds himself at 0-3. Schweg’s 303 total points are by far the most ever scored by an 0-3 team. Aaron has now won 5 straight games against Terrance going back to 2017, and has an 11-5 advantage over him. Chase rolls out the TE flex play but can’t pull in a win. Teams are now 16-18 when starting two TEs (better than I thought). After jumping out to an 11-3 record against Jake, Jacob has now lost 3 straight to the snake. Erik starts the Las Vegas Raiders D/ST, which was just the 7th time in league history they have been started. That’s the least started defense out of all teams. Jarrett gets a win while only scoring 73 points. It’s the lowest winning point total since Week 9 of 2020, and the 30th time a team has won when scoring 73 or fewer points. Ryan becomes the 2nd team in league history to start 3-0 in consecutive seasons. Sean did it back in 2011-2012. He still has an uphill battle, as only 69% of 3-0 teams end up making the playoffs. Ryan has also passed Jacob to have the highest winning percentage in September. He has now won 8 consecutive September games. Terrance falls to 0-3 for the first time in his career. Only one 0-3 team has ever made the playoffs, and that was Aaron in 2018 who finished 8-6 and claimed the #3 seed. We are two weeks in and still no loser’s letter yet. That means an extra $10 has already been added to the championship pot. Will Chase write the letter or just pay the fee and move on?
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Commissioner Jensen
Sep 21, 2021
In Main Forum
Big news! After several years, we finally have a new top dog in career win percentage. Aaron is currently 1st all time with a 56.7% win percentage, just ahead of Terrance’s 56.4% win percentage. Aaron’s career record is now 88-67-1, and Terrance’s is 79-61-1. Terrance is off to his worst career start. This is the 3rd time he has started 0-2. The other two teams he finished in 1st and 3rd place. Here are the records for fewest points through the first two games. I was surprised to see Aaron on this list so much: Aaron - 124 (2016) Aaron - 129 (2017) Sean - 135 (2019) Jarrett - 135 (2012) Jacob - 137 (2017) Aaron - 138 (2014) Terrance - 138 (2021) Terrance’s running backs have struggled so far this year, averaging just 4.17 points per start. Sean picked up and started Rob Gronkowski this week. The last time Sean started Gronk was in Robbie Bowl I way back in 2011. Schweg is just 13 points away from being 2-0 this season, as he loses his 5th straight game against the commish. The last time Schweg beat the commish was all the way back in 2016. After nine years of starting 1-1, Ryan has now started 2-0 in consecutive seasons. Jarrett loses another game when scoring over 100 points. He has now lost 13 career games despite scoring over 100 points, which is a league high. He has a very unfortunate 31-13 record when scoring 100 points or more, which is a 70.4% win percentage. Comparitively, Jake has a 50-5 record when scoring 100 points, which is a league high 90.1% win percentage. Jake has put up just 27 points from his QB position through 2 weeks, which is the lowest point total from his QBs through 2 weeks in his career. Jacob’s record in September improves to 22-12. The 64.7% win percentage is the 2nd best monthly win percentage, after Aaron’s 65.1% win percentage in November. Jarrett’s September record falls to 11-26 which is 29.7% Only Chase’s November record of 10-25 is worse. For the third straight year, Jacob has scored over 100 points in his first two games. Erik starts 1-1 for the 4th straight season. His loss gives him a tough 6-16 record against Aaron. Chase starts 2-0 for the 3rd time in his career, and it helps especially this year that he’s already 2-0 in the division.
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Commissioner Jensen
Sep 14, 2021
In Main Forum
There has been a total of 765 games played in TPDFFL history. 21 of those games have been decided by 1 point. Eight of those 21 games have occurred in Week 1s. So the historic chance of having a game decided by 1 point is 2.7%, while the historic chance of having a game decided by 1 point in week 1 is a staggering 14.5%. Week 1, 2021 was the 7th highest total scoring Week 1 in league history. The high score of 111 points is the lowest we’ve ever seen. The defending champ gets beat by last year’s last place team. Chase gets the win despite getting just 1 point from his QB. Chase puts up the most points in Week 1 since his first season in 2013, when Peyton Manning scored 46 points. For the 4th year in a row, the defending champion has lost their opening game. Jake’s career record against Ryan, Schweg & Sean: 41 - 13 Jake’s career record against everyone else: 39 - 56 - 2 Jake wins his 5th consecutive season opener, while Jarrett loses his 7th consecutive season opener. After scoring a record-low 57 points for a Week 1 game in 2020, Terrance puts up 60 points this year, which is tied for the 2nd-fewest in a Week 1. Schweg gets his 9th career loss scoring more than 100 points in the 9th highest scoring Week 1 game against Jacob. For the 4th time, Ryan puts up a negative number from his defense in Week 1. One of the more lopsided rivalries has been Terrance vs Erik, but Erik wins his 2nd straight against Terrance and is 3-8-1 against the 3-time champ. Ryan is now 7-1 against Jarrett in the last 7 years. Jake becomes the 3rd team to win 80 career games. For the 7th time since its inception, Terrance will be writing the Loser’s Letter for week 1!
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Commissioner Jensen
Sep 07, 2021
In Main Forum
1. Commissioner A- QB A+ RB A WR B+ Flex A+ Bench WR B+ Bench RB D T2. Schweg B+ QB A- RB A- TE A- Flex A- Bench RB C+ Bench WR D T2. Jacob B+ QB B+ RB A- WR A- TE B+ Flex A- Bench WR B+ Bench RB F T2. Sean B+ QB A WR A- Flex B+ Bench WR A- Bench RB F T2. Aaron B+ QB B+ WR A Flex A- Bench RB F T3. Terrance B RB A- Flex A+ TE C- Bench WR C T3. Jarrett B QB A- RB B+ Flex A- TE F Bench WR F T3. Chase B QB B+ TE A+ Flex A Bench RB D Bench WR C T3. Erik B QB B+ RB B+ TE A- Flex A- Bench RB C Bench WR D T3. Jake B WR A RB C+ TE C- Bench RB B+ Bench WR C
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Commissioner Jensen
Dec 15, 2020
In Main Forum
The four playoff teams have been set. Sean Gomez (9-5) Aaron Vaiden (9-5) Erik Schwegler (8-6) Jake Wilson (8-6) The rest of the standings are: 5. Ryan Jensen (7-7) 6. Ryan Schwegler (7-7) 7. Jacob Vaiden (6-8) 8. Terrance Hall (6-8) 9. Jarrett Kimberly (6-8) 10. Chase Dooley (4-10) Sean’s team shatters his old single season scoring record of 1,548 points by putting up a ridiculous 1,608 points. That is an average of almost 115 points per game. Aaron has won a league high 4 division championships, while Sean is now tied for 2nd with 3 division championships. Sean has only been to the playoffs 3 times, but each time has been a division champion. Twice as the #1 seed and once as the #2 seed. This is Aaron’s 5th playoff appearance. He was the #1 seed in 2012, 2013 and 2015 and the #3 seed in 2018. Week 14 was the 3rd highest scoring week of the season. It’s an entirely new playoff field, with none of the playoff teams from 2019 making it this year. The longest playoff drought in league history ends at 7 seasons with Sean finally making it back for the first time since 2012. The longest active streak for missing the playoffs is Chase, who has not made the playoffs in 4 straight seasons. Erik finishes 2020 as the highest scoring owner with 13,195 points. Every owner saw an increase to their season average for points against. Sean’s career average of 10.63 points per game per WR start is a full point above the 2nd place mark of 9.63ppg. Erik makes the playoffs for the 2nd time in his career, with the only other appearance being in 2017 when he won Robbie Bowl VII as the #2 seed. Jake makes the playoffs for the 5th time in his career. He was the #3 seed in 2011, 2013 and 2015 and the #2 seed in 2016. Jacob had the 3rd most points ever scored against this season with 1,437, or almost 103 points per game. Ryan becomes the 3rd team in history to start 4-0 and miss the playoffs. Chase becomes the 16th member of the dreaded “4-10 or worse” club. Sean becomes the 3rd team to lead the league in scoring in 6 weeks in the regular season The other two teams went on to win the Robbie Bowl while leading both playoff weeks in scoring. Ryan broke the record for most adds in a single season with 65. Schweg’s old record of 64 has stood since 2012. He also spent the most money in a season in league history with $110.25. Jake extends his record of consecutive wins vs one owner (Ryan) to 12 straight wins. Currently, the second longest active streak is Terrance’s 6-game winning streak over Jarrett. Jake’s 16 career wins against Ryan are now tied for the most with Ryan’s 16 wins against Erik. Terrance’s win % of 77.8% against Jarrett is now tied for best with Jake’s 77.8% win against Schweg.
Commissioner's Notepad - Week 14 content media
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Commissioner Jensen
Nov 26, 2020
In Main Forum
This year had the fewest number of trades in any season (5). This season opened with 4 straight weeks of over 1000 points scored, followed by six sub-1000 point weeks, but week 11 finally got back above the threshold with 1012 points. Thanks, Taysom Hill! Sean is still on pace to break the all-time scoring record he set back in 2018. That team missed the playoffs, and Sean’s team now is currently outside of the playoff picture, sitting in 6th place. In Sean’s 6 wins, he averages a margin of victory of 50 points. He becomes the first owner to win two games by 70 or more points in a season. The 73 point loss for Terrance is the worst defeat in his career. There are seven different teams that have led the league in scoring this season. Six of those teams did it once. Sean has done it 5 times. Sean now has 69 wins. Erik snaps a 5-game losing streak against Ryan with a dominant win (132-90) which was reminiscent of the last time Erik beat Ryan: Erik’s semifinal win en route to his Robbie Bowl VII Championship 132-73. Ryan has scored just 1 point from the TE position in 3 of the last 4 games. Aaron’s 48 point victory over Chase was the largest margin of victory in their series, and it sends Chase to 0-4 in November this year, and 9-25 in the month all time. Chase’s 26.5% win percentage is the worst by any owner in any month while Aaron’s 66.7% win percentage in November is the best by any owner in any month. Jarrett and Jacob have played at least twice every single year, and with Jarrett’s week 11 victory, they split the season series just like every other year except for 2013. Jake extends his record to 14-4 against Schweg. It is the 2nd most lopsided rivalry in league history. If there is one thing Jake can do, it is beat the Ryans in the league. If it weren’t for his victories over Ryan & Schweg, Jake never would have had a winning season. His combined record against the Ryans is 31-10. Schweg has not had consecutive victories since weeks 5-6 of 2019. Ryan Succop is the only player that has been started in all 11 games this season. Playoff odds after week 11: 8-3 Teams: 10/10 100% 6-5 Teams: 6/16 38% 5-6 Teams: 4/22 18% 4-7 Teams: 0/17 0% 3-8 Teams: 0/6 0%
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Commissioner Jensen
Nov 13, 2020
In Main Forum
Sean scores 156 points in Week 9, and has now scored the 2nd most points in a 2-game span with 299 points (Terrance scored 310 points in Weeks 7-8, 2014). It was the 3rd most points scored in a single game. He is currently on pace to score 1,592 points, which would break his own record of 1,548 points. He will need to average 105 points per game in the final 5 games to set the record. Sean has now led the league in scoring in 4 out of 9 weeks this year. No one else has done it twice. Only Erik’s 2017 championship team led the league in scoring 4 times through the first 9 weeks. This was the also the first time anyone had two players score 30+ points in 2 consecutive weeks. This was also the largest gap between the top scorer of the week and the lowest scorer of the week (114 points). At the beginning of this past week, 11 of the 15 players on Ryan’s roster were either hurt, on a bye week or had COVID leaving him just 4 active players: Josh Allen, David Johnson, Antonio Gibson & Justin Tucker. He added two WRs, a TE, a D/ST and also traded for a WR in order to field a full lineup. Terrance has scored the fewest points in the league, but has also had the fewest points scored against him. Schweg snaps a 4-game streak of scoring under 100 points. Erik & Jake’s game totaled 112 points, the 3rd lowest scoring game of all-time, and the lowest scoring game we’ve seen in over 3 years. Erik gets the season sweep over Jake for the 2nd straight year. In every game this year, Jake has either had more than 100 or less than 80 point scored against him. Erik has scored 12,641 points and has had 12,641 points scored against him. What is going on with Chase and the month of November? He falls to 1-13 over the last 3 years, the worst record in any month in any 3-year span. Sorry to keep beating the drum on this one Chasey, but that November win % dips down to 28.1%. Teams scoring 100 or more points are 30-10 this season, the 2nd lowest win % in a season (75%). Teams were 50-17 in 2018 (74.6%) Jacob passes Jake (again) for career win %, and Sean passes Chase (again) for career win %. Playoff Odds: Teams that are 6-3 (Aaron): 80% *Important note for Aaron looking ahead to week 10: Teams that are 7-3 make the playoffs 100% of the time. Teams that are 6-4 only make the playoffs 50% of the time. Teams that are 5-4 (Sean, Jacob, Erik, Jake, Ryan): 33% Teams that are 4-5 (Terrance, Jarrett): 32% Teams that are 3-6 (Schweg, Chase): 9%
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Commissioner Jensen
Nov 04, 2020
In Main Forum
Sean now leads the league in points with 868 points. His 70-point victory over Aaron is the largest margin of victory we’ve seen in 2020. He has led the league in scoring on 3 different occasions. Nobody else has done it twice. Sean would’ve beaten 6 teams this week with just Mahomes & Cook. Dalvin Cook becomes just the 5th player in fantasy history to score at least 46 points. Jamaal Charles & Doug Martin hold the record of 51 points. Le’Veon Bell scored 47, and Peyton Manning tied by also scoring 46 points. However, Cook’s 46 were the most ever scored against an NFC team. Sean’s week 8 squad is the 16th team to have two players score 30 or more points. First time in league history that no team is worse than 3-5 and no team is better than 5-3 after 8 weeks. Week 8 was the lowest scoring week of the season so far with just 888 points or 88.8 points per game. Aaron started a TE in his flex for the first time in 2 full years (Jake - Wk 8, 2018). Everybody snapped whatever winning/losing streak they had going in week 8. We’ve all either won 1 or lost 1. Jacob plummeted from 13.00 points per WR start down to 11.21 points after getting 5 points from 3 receivers. Last week he had 53 points from 3 receivers, one of whom was Odell Beckham who got hurt and took a 0. He has had a player score 0 in three consecutive weeks. Schweg is 6-1 against Jacob since 2015. Chase’s November woes continue as he falls to 1-12 in the month of November going back to 2018. His 29% winning percentage in Nov is the worst by any owner in any month. Jake defeats Chase for the 4th consecutive time in a very competitive series. Aside from two Chase blowout wins in 2013, all 10 games in this series have been decided by 18 points or less, with 7 of those games being decided by 8 points or less. Joe Burrow makes his first appearance in the TPDFFL, and most certainly won’t be his last. Ryan and Terrance have played each other 8 times since 2018, more than any other pair in the league. Ryan wins his 5th game out of those 8, but the 2 most important ones were won by Terrance. To balance out the bad beat from last week’s Sunday Night Football, Ryan gets a strip-sack-fumble-TD for 9 points and an intentional safety (taken by Dallas) for 4 points all in the final 5 minutes of SNF, totaling up to 13 points in a 10-point victory. Jake reclaims 3rd place over Jacob in career win %. Erik passes his big brother to become our league’s all-time leading scorer with 12,571 points. He also passes Schweg to move into having the 2nd-most points scored against him all time with 12,599. Jacob passes his older brother to move into 4th for career average points per QB start with 18.60. There are 7 teams in the league that have less than a 30 point difference in career points scored and career points scored against, which is crazy because we are talking about 10 years of data and an average of around 12,000 points per team.
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Commissioner Jensen
Oct 30, 2020
In Main Forum
Week 7 featured the most points and 3rd most points scored by a WR this season by Tyler Lockett & Davante Adams. The duo of Lockett & Adams are responsible for 4 out of the top 5 scoring weeks by WRs this season. Lockett’s 38 points are tied for 3rd-most all-time by a WR with Julio Jones in 2017 and Josh Gordon in 2013 (Jake, Sean and I saw Gordon do that in Cleveland!). Only Amari Cooper’s 39 points in 2018 and the record 40 points by Andre Johnson in 2013 are higher. The fact that it happened on Sunday night, paired up with Russell Wilson’s 29 points and Christian Kirk’s 15 points makes it seem like the most clutch WR game in history. I don’t keep track of “comebacks,” but I can’t remember a team ever having a 70 point lead and losing it in one primetime game. Jake was down 45 points going into a primetime game and had two players (David Johnson - 40, John Brown - 9) win a playoff game for him by 4 points. Despite being on the wrong end of this outrageous comeback, you have to respect the historical magnitude of this game, and we’ll keep an eye on it for future playoff/tiebreaking scenarios. The top 3 teams for fewest points scored (Schweg, Terrance, Commish) are also the top 3 teams for fewest points scored against. The two closest games of the season occurred in Week 7: a 2-point victory for Jarrett and a 4-point victory for Terrance. The 93-91 W for Jarrett is the closest game this league has had since last year’s stat correction game in Week 11 when Ryan and Terrance were tied 95-95 until the following Tuesday, when Lamar Jackson had rushing yards subtracted from his total, and Ryan was credited with the 95-94 W. Aaron snaps his streak of 4 consecutive games of scoring 99 or fewer points. Chase has now tied Jarrett with 41 career games with 100 points or more in two fewer seasons, and Chase has now tied Erik with 55 career wins. Ryan joins Jarrett, Erik and Aaron as the four owners with 10 or more career losses while scoring at least 100 points. We have seen 9 games where teams have lost while scoring at least 100 points, which is tied for 2nd most. The 2018 record of 17 100+ point losses is still far away. Jacob moves into the 3rd for career winning percentage (53.8%), passing up Jake (53.2%) Schweg and Erik are now tied for most career points with exactly 12,458 points. Chase passes Aaron to move into 5th place for average points per game (92.97). Erik passes Terrance to move into 2nd place for average points from WRs (9.64). Worst positional averages per season: Quarterback 9.36 - Chase (2015) - Peyton Manning (9 starts), Jay Cutler (3 starts), Sam Bradford (1 start) & Jameis Winston (1 start) *This season included the record low for any player, when Peyton scored -7 in Week 10. He went 5/20 for 35 yards, 0 TDs and 4 INTs. Not a good year for the namesake, “Graham Bam Thank You Ma’anning” 12.21 - Jarrett (2017) - Kirk Cousins (10 starts), Ben Roethlisberger (3 starts) & Aaron Rodgers (1 start) *Jarrett traded away Antonio Brown to get Aaron Rodgers, played him once, got 0 points as Rodgers broke his collarbone on a hit from Anthony Barr, who said after the play “Decker Barely Knew Her” 13.21 - Jarrett (2014) - Colin Kaepernick (13 starts) & Alex Smith (1 start) *Despite the QB performance, Jarrett made the playoffs as the #4 seed this year. Guess that “Luck Her Right In Da Percy” had some luck elsewhere. Current 2020 last place: Aaron - 14.43 Running Back 4.57 - Sean (2015) - Eddie Lacy (8), Ameer Abdullah (7), Danny Woodhead (6), Darren Sproles (4), Isaiah Crowell (4), Frank Gore (4), Bishop Sankey (2) *Going to be a tough record to beat, Schweg. This historically bad number is a result of just four games of 10+ points from a RB in 35 starts. He also had five 0s and four 1s. That’s rough, sorry for bringing that up “Lacy’s Day Parade.” 5.79 - Sean (2013) - Lamar Miller (12), Trent Richardson (9), Darren Sproles (4) & Danny Woodhead (4) *Oh no it’s Sean again! We’ve always given him the business about his disdain for RBs. Sometimes it works out, but this was a year that it didn’t. I don’t even remember Richardson playing in 9 games! Sproles & Woodhead on both of these two bad RB corps. 7.60 - Chase (2017) - Jay Ajayi (9), Lamar Miller (7), Tarik Cohen (6), Jonathan Stewart (4), Chris Thompson (3), Terrance West (2), Frank Gore (2), Theo Riddick (1), & Giovani Bernard (1) *Quite a big jump to 3rd, and there were a few other seasons under 8.00, but “Mitch Betta’ Have My Money” comes in 3rd worst. Current 2020 last place: Schweg - 7.73 Wide Receiver 6.78 - Aaron (2017) - Demaryius Thomas (11), T.Y. Hilton (5), Mohamed Sanu (5), Brandin Cooks (4), Amari Cooper (4), J.J. Nelson (1), Tyler Lockett (1) & Marqise Lee (1) *This was one of Aaron’s two 9th place finishes in his career. We all ate “New England Cam Crowder” that year and it was delicious. 6.97 - Terrance (2012) - DeSean Jackson (7), Vincent Jackson (4), Mike Wallace (3), Randall Cobb (4), Kenny Britt (2), Alshon Jeffery (2), Josh Gordon (2), Brian Hartline (2), Greg Jennings (2), Justin Blackmon (1), Lance Moore (1), Donnie Avery (1), Davone Bess (1) & James Jones (1) *Well you can’t say he didn’t try, but nonetheless, Terrance’s rookie year still snagged the #3 seed, but “The Power of Tebow’s Tears” was eliminated by Sean. 7.03 - Erik (2016) - Allen Robinson (13), Marvin Jones (9), Kelvin Benjamin (7), Jeremy Maclin (3), Stefan Diggs (3), Jordan Matthews (2) & Robert Woods (1) *A lethargic and tired season from the 9th place “Bill Cosby’s Sleepers”. Current 2020 last place: Terrance - 7.14 Tight End 3.07 - Jake (2012) - Vernon Davis (6), Dennis Pitta (3), Fred Davis (2) & Jermaine Gresham (2) *Yikes, how is that even possible? This team, the “Garden of WeEden” got 0-3 points from the TE in 11 of 14 games 3.14 - Sean (2017) - Hunter Henry (5), Ed Dickson (4), Jimmy Graham (2), Jack Doyle (2) & Tyler Kroft (1) *”Beets By Dre” couldn’t get anything going from the TE position. 3.29 - Ryan (2014) - Jordan Reed (4), Dwayne Allen (3), Jason Witten (3), Niles Paul (2), Larry Donnell (2) & Martellus Bennett (2) *Damnit! I did not want to be on any of these lists. Hearing those names gave me a little PTSD anxiety too. At least “52 Shades of Clay” was still able to win their division with MVP Andrew Luck. Current 2020 last place: Jarrett - 4.43 Kicker 5.07 - Jarrett (2018) 5.36 - Jacob (2018) 5.43 - Terrance (2016) 5.43 - Jake (2012) Current 2020 last place: Jake - 6.00 Defense/Special Teams 5.64 - Erik (2015) 5.93 - Jarrett (2012) 6.07 - Aaron (2016) Current 2020 last place: Jarrett - 5.14 Week 7 Playoff Odds Teams that are 5-2 have a 79% chance of making the playoffs (15/19). Teams that are 4-3 have a 53% chance of making the playoffs (10/19). Teams that are 3-4 have a 21% chance of making the playoffs (5/24). Teams that are 2-5 have a 6% chance of making the playoffs (1/16).
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Commissioner Jensen
Oct 22, 2020
In Main Forum
Erik ties Ryan, Terrance & himself for the 2nd-highest score ever with 157 points, still a ridiculous 24 points behind Terrance’s record of 181. This was the highest scoring game in our league in 5 years! There were three 150+ games in 2015, but none since. This was the most points ever scored against Jake, obviously. This game was HUGE for Erik after starting off 0-3 in the division. He gets the win over Jake and just like that is back as a contender with Henry already having his bye. Similar scenario for Chase, he gets his first division win after starting 0-3 and is just one game back. Sean is picking the right games to lose, as he’s 3-0 in division and 0-3 out. Erik becomes the 3rd team to have three different 30+ scorers in one week. Terrance did it in Week 8, 2014 (181 points) and Week 9, 2015 (157 points). He only needed 2 more points from Kenyan Drake to become the first owner with 30+ points from 4 different players! For the first time, there were two games in one week with a margin of victory of 70+ points. Erik’s 81 point victory (157-76) over Jake is the 8th largest margin of victory (which seems crazy that we’ve had 7 larger blowouts), while Chase’s 71 point victory (121-50) over Jarrett is tied for 15th largest margin of victory. The 107 point difference between the highest scorer and the bottom bitch is 2nd only to the record 113 point difference in Week 8, 2014 when Terrance scored 181 and Erik scored 68. There have been just two other weeks were the highest scorer was 100+ points above the bottom bitch: Week 14, 2014 when Schweg scored 146 and Jake scored 46 and in Week 2, 2016 when Ryan scored 151 AGAINST Aaron who scored 48, which stands as the largest margin of victory of all-time (103 points). This was the lowest scoring week across the league so far in 2020 with the average score being 89.2 points. This was the 9th time (and 2nd time this season) that Jarrett has had 2 players score 0 points. Here are the current standings for most career games having 2 or more players score 0 or fewer points: Aaron - 10 Jarrett - 9 Erik - 7 Schweg - 7 Jake - 6 Sean - 6 Jacob - 5 Chase - 4 Ryan - 4 Terrance - 3 Chase gets his 40th game with 100 or more points before Sean does with 2 fewer seasons in the league. Aaron loses his 4th consecutive game to Schweg, as Schweg increases his series lead 11-6. Jacob also extends his series lead over Sean to 11-6, winning his 5th consecutive game against the Item Niners. Chase’s 121 points were the most he’s had since the 3rd place game of 2016 (125 points). This was the fewest points Jarrett has scored (50) since he put up 38 points in Week 6, 2017. Jacob passes Ryan for 4th in career win percentage, and is just 0.2% behind Jake for 3rd. Chase passes Sean to move into 7th place. Jarrett and Schweg continue to go back and forth on most career points scored against, as Jarrett has now had the most points scored against. Jake falls from 7th to 9th place for average points per game. Chase passes Ryan to move into 2nd place for career average points per game from the QB position. Erik passes Jarrett, so now Jarrett is in last place for career average points per game from the QB position (17.00 points). Jarrett is now last place for QBs, TEs and D/STs all-time. With the big WR output, Chase leaps from 8th to 6th place for career average points per game from the WR position. With another big game from Kelce, Schweg is moving up the rankings from 5th place to 2nd place for career average points per game from the TE position. Playoff Odds through Week 6: Teams that are 4-2 have a 74% chance of making the playoffs. Teams that are 3-3 have a 30% chance of making the playoffs. Teams that are 2-4 have a 21% chance of making the playoffs. It is also worth noting that by the time Week 9 rolls around, teams that are 5-4 or 4-5 have an almost equal chance of making the playoffs (33%). As for the 4-2 teams, the odds don’t increase (74% 4-2; 79% 5-2; 73% 6-2) until you reach 7-2. All 7 teams to start the season 7-2 have made the playoffs. But a week 7 loss would drop the odds to 53%.
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Commissioner Jensen
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