Jake wins his 5th consecutive game and clinches the Vaidenville division. He plays Erik in Week 14, and the winner will have the #1 seed in the playoffs. Jacob has clinched a playoff spot thanks to a loss from Aaron. For Erik, this is his 2nd career division championship and 3rd career playoff appearance. For Jake, this is his 2nd career division championship and moves into 2nd place all-time with his sixth playoff appearance. For Jacob, he is now tied with Terrance for the most playoff appearances with 7. This is only Jacob’s 10th season in the league, so a 70% playoff rate is quite absurd. Chase has now missed the playoffs in 5 consecutive seasons, a streak that’s tied for 3rd worst in league history. After losing back-to-back championships in 2016 and 2017, Schweg has now missed the playoffs in 4 straight seasons. The final wildcard spot is between two teams: Sean & Ryan. Sean can win and get in, while Ryan needs to win and have Sean lose to get in. If both teams lose, Sean will get in. Whichever team does not make the playoffs will finish in 5th place and have the first choice of where to draft next season. Ryan has never been eliminated from playoff contention prior to the final week of the season. He has had two seasons where he clinched a playoff spot in Week 13, but the other 8 seasons (and now 9 seasons), he is competing for a playoff spot in Week 14. He has made the playoffs in just 3 of those 8 scenarios. Erik has tied the record for most 100 point games in a single season with 10. This record includes playoffs, which means Erik will get 3 more chances to break the record. Erik ties the record for best division record in a single season. He becomes the 3rd team to go 7-1 in their division. Aaron’s 2013 champion team did it, and Schweg’s 2017 runner-up squad did it. Erik’s only division loss was to Sean in Week 10. Jake ties Terrance for 2nd place for career winning percentage with 54.6%. Aaron, Jarrett & Chase join Schweg & Terrance and have been eliminated from playoff contention. Ryan had double digit scores from all 9 positions this week, which has only happened one other time in league history when Erik did it in Week 7 earlier this year. Erik is now 11th all-time for most points in a season and will certainly finish in the top 10. If he can score 85 points, he will be in the top 4. Ryan breaks a streak of 10 consecutive games scoring less than 100 points. It’s just his 2nd game over 100 points this season. He was the leading scorer of the week for the first time since Week 4, 2020. If Terrance has 105 points scored against him in Week 14, it will be the most points against in a single season all-time. Ryan needs to score 69 points in Week 14 to avoid finishing in the top 10 for fewest points in a season. Schweg currently sits at 3-9-1, but is just 10 points away from being 7-6 and contending for a playoff spot in Week 14. He loses his 11th career game while scoring over 100 points, which is tied for the 3rd most. It’s the 3rd loss this season for Schweg while scoring over 100 points, and he had 3 last season as well which gives him the most 100 point losses in a 2-year span. Erik is just 21 points away from being 7-6. Teams scoring over 100 points this season are 36-14-2 for a win % of 70.6%. That is 4% lower than the current record low from 2018. Ryan extends his league record of 11 consecutive seasons without having a losing record. He has finished 8-6 six times and 7-7 four times, not yet having a losing record in a regular season. George Kittle becomes the 5th TE in league history to score 30 points in a game. Terrance has been in last place every week this season, meaning he has had the #1 waiver priority all season long. Despite that, he has a chance to win and have Schweg lose to capture 9th place and avoid the toilet trophy. Jarrett with loser’s letter duty this week. Trade Tracker: Ryan (118) vs Schweg (76) Christian McCaffrey - 45 DeVonta Smith - 73 David Montgomery - 60 Calvin Ridley - 16 Ryan (39) vs Terrance (61) Chuba Hubbard - 39 Melvin Gordon - 61 Ryan (47) vs Sean (17) Diontae Johnson - 47 Rhamondre Stevenson - 17 Jacob (61) vs Aaron (26) Joe Mixon - 61 Mark Andrews - 24 Kareem Hunt - 2 Week 14 Preview Erik (10-3) vs Jake (9-4) Erik can clinch the #1 seed with a win and will sweep the cross division series this year. Jake can clinch the #1 seed with a win by splitting the season series and winning the strength of victory tiebreaker. Erik leads the all-time series 11-8-1. Sean (7-5-1) vs Terrance (3-9-1) Sean can win and get in the playoffs. If he loses and Ryan loses, he will still get in the playoffs. He would be a wildcard team meaning he would face Erik or Jake in the first round. Terrance needs to win and have Schweg lose in order to avoid finishing in last place. This series is tied 10-10. Ryan (7-6) vs Schweg (3-9-1) Ryan needs to win and have Sean lose in order to make the playoffs. Schweg can avoid being last place with a win, or if Terrance loses. So this weekend it's team Ryan/Terrance vs Sean/Schweg. Ryan leads the all-time series 10-7 and has won 5 consecutive games against Schweg. Jacob (8-5) vs Aaron (6-7) When the schedule was released, many hoped that this would be a crucial game to finish the season, perhaps even for the Vaidenville championship. Now that Jake has been elected mayor of Vaidenville, this game is mostly meaningless. Jacob can clinch the #3 seed with a win or with a loss from Sean. Aaron leads the all-time series 10-9-1. Chase (5-7-1) vs Jarrett (5-8) The loser of this game will finish in 8th place. Jarrett could win this game to finish in 7th place, and Chase could win this game and potentially pass Aaron as well to finish in 6th place. Jarrett leads the all-time series 9-8.

It’s time for me to write the “loser’s letter” to avoid being charged $5.00 for not writing it, since I have invested enough in this league already with 52 adds and 3 trades. It does seem that the LL has run its course, but I do like the idea of just implementing a mandatory $5 fine for being the lowest scorer of the week. We’ve added $50 to the league pot this season from the LL, but a mandatory fee would add $70 to the pot each year. I will say that I’d be open to discussing the finances at the banquet this year. We can decide if we like the system as it is or if we want to switch to a flat rate of the league average which would be about $90. I’m willing to raise the stakes if you are! If you listened to the Vaiden Brothers Podcast and heard the segment about how much money we’d all have if we invested it all in Bitcoin, you’ll want to tune in to a follow up segment on the next Doug & Willy Podcast about everyone’s career winnings and losings. Without further ado, let’s jump into the notepad and we’ll close it out with the all important PLAYOFF SCENARIOS for the final two weeks. For the 5th time in league history, we only have 1 playoff team clinched after Week 12. In 2011 and 2014, there was only 1 team clinched, and in 2018 and 2020, there were zero teams clinched after Week 12. Erik is still our points leader and is on pace to score 1,517 points which would be the 4th most all-time. He also has the fewest points scored against him and is on pace to have 1,188 points scored against him which would be the 10th fewest ever. He already clinched the division and is guaranteed to be the #1 or #2 seed in the playoffs. His 3rd loss of the season allows the Two Dollar Pistols from 2013 to celebrate having the best regular season finish (and overall finish) in league history with a 12-2 record (14-2). Ryan is on pace to score 1,116 points which would be the 5th fewest points ever scored in a single season. He has failed to score 100 points in 10 consecutive weeks which is tied for the 8th worst streak in league history. Terrance is on pace to have 1,443 points scored against him which would be the 4th most all-time. Jake was the only person to score over 100 points this week, and he does it for the 5th time this season, but it’s the first time he’s done it since Week 5. Erik’s streak of six consecutive 100 point games comes to an end. Nick Folk drops a season high 18 points from a kicker for Chase this week, but Sean left Daniel Carlson’s 19 points on his bench this week. Schweg’s 25 points from the Miami D/ST is the 2nd most from a D/ST this season. Jacob has started 12 different running backs this season, which is the most in his career. The record is 14. Jarrett loses his 7th consecutive game to Terrance, falling to 4-15 against him which is tied for the most lopsided rivalry in the league with Jake vs Schweg. The 7 straight wins are tied for the 4th longest streak. Jake wins to tie Ryan for the 2nd most career wins in league history with 87. Jarrett ties Ryan for 5th place all-time for average points per RB start. Jake passes Terrance to move into 3rd place all-time for average points per WR start. Aaron passes Sean to move into 3rd place all-time for average points per TE start. Schweg passes Ryan to move into 2nd place all-time for average points per D/ST start. Schweg leads the all-time series against Aaron, 12-7. Jake leads the all-time series against Chase, 8-7. Jacob leads the all-time series against Erik, 10-6. Sean ties the all-time series against Ryan 7-7 and has won 4 of the last 5. Jake and Jacob are both 8-4, but neither has clinched the playoffs. One of them will be the winner of the Vaidenville division. Historically, all teams with 4 or fewer losses after Week 12 have made the playoffs. Sean is now 6-5-1, which historically has an 88% chance of making the playoffs. Ryan and Aaron are both 6-6, and historically have a 23% chance of making the playoffs. Jarrett & Chase both have 7 losses and are still in playoff contention, but no team with 7 losses through Week 12 has ever made the playoffs. Trade Tracker: Ryan (117) vs Schweg (56) Christian McCaffrey - 45 DeVonta Smith - 72 David Montgomery - 40 Calvin Ridley - 16 Ryan (39) vs Terrance (61) Chuba Hubbard - 39 Melvin Gordon - 61 Ryan (25) vs Sean (10) Diontae Johnson - 25 Rhamondre Stevenson - 10 Jacob (52) vs Aaron (21) Joe Mixon - 52 Mark Andrews - 19 Kareem Hunt - 2 Week 13 Preview Erik (9-3) vs Schweg (3-8-1) - Erik leads the series 11-9 Jake (8-4) vs Jarrett (5-7) - Jarrett leads the series 9-3 and has won 4 straight Jacob (8-4) vs Sean (6-5-1) - Jacob leads the series 11-6 and has won 5 straight Ryan (6-6) vs Terrance (3-8-1) - Terrance leads the series 10-6 Aaron (6-6) vs Chase (4-7-1) - Aaron leads the series 7-5 Without further ado, here are the playoff scenarios heading into the last two weeks. There are many avenues this playoff picture can go, and every game will matter especially when factoring in Strength of Victory tiebreakers. Erik has already clinched his division. He can clinch the #1 seed with a win and losses from Jake and Jacob, OR he can win his last two games. Jake can clinch a playoff spot with a win, OR he needs two out of these three to lose: Aaron, Sean and Ryan. He can clinch his division with a win and a loss from Jacob. Jake can clinch the #1 seed by winning his last two games. Jacob can clinch a playoff spot with a win, OR he needs Ryan and Aaron to lose. Jacob can clinch his division with two wins and one loss from Jake. Sean can clinch a playoff spot by winning his last two games, or he can win one of his last two games and have Ryan and Aaron each lose one game. Ryan can clinch a playoff spot with two wins and one loss from Sean, or with one win and two losses from Sean and one loss from Aaron. Aaron needs to win his last two games and have Ryan and Sean each lose one game, or he needs to end up tied with Jacob at 8-6 to win the strength of victory tiebreaker. Currently, Jacob’s SOV is 42, and Aaron’s is 34 but with an implied 46.5 at season’s end. If Aaron ends up tied with Jake at 8-6, it would be decided in strength of victory which is too close to call. Aaron cannot win the division. Jarrett can clinch a playoff spot by winning his last two games and having Sean, Aaron and Ryan all lose their last two games. Chase can clinch a playoff spot by winning his last two games and having Sean, Aaron and Ryan all lose their last two games. How’s that for a loser’s letter ya bitches?

Congratulations to our first playoff team and first division winner, Erik Schwegler. The win this week was fueled by Jonathan Taylor’s 49 points, the 4th most points ever scored in our league. Erik scores over 100 points for the 6th consecutive week, which ties Jacob’s record for the most consecutive 100 point games this season, and is tied for 3rd most all-time. Erik has 9 games over 100 points this season already, which is tied for the 2nd most all time. He can tie the record with 10 games, and only 5 owners have ever done that and this is including playoffs as well. Erik is on pace for 1,559 total points, which would be the 2nd most all time. Jake and Jacob are sitting in the 2 and 3 seeds respectively with a 7-4 record. 100% of teams that are 7-4 or better after Week 11 make the playoffs. 26 out of 26 teams, which includes 11 teams that were 7-4. Jake has already swept Jacob this season and holds the tiebreaker. One of the most epic comebacks in league history, Jarrett gets 35 points from Austin Ekeler on Sunday Night Football and Ryan Succop and the Tampa Bay D/ST get 26 more points to capture a win. Keeping Jacob from getting his 8th win is a huge deal for the rest of the league. Jarrett also rallied to be the leading scorer of the week for the first time this season. Terrance earns loser’s letter duty for the 2nd time this season. Ryan gets a crucial victory over Aaron and has snuck into the 4 seed. Their series is now tied 11-11. Both teams have a 6-5 record. Historically, they have a 43% chance of making the playoffs. Sean is also included in that as a 5 loss team, except he is now 5-5-1. Had Ryan not traded for Diontae Johnson, he would've presumably started DeVonta Smith who scored 10 fewer points than Johnson, which would've resulted in an 83-82 victory for Aaron where he would've taken the lead in the 4th quarter of the MNF game. Teams with 6 losses after Week 11 have a 17% chance of making the playoffs which is where Jarrett and Chase are. Terrance and Schweg are officially eliminated from playoff contention. Both teams are 2-8-1, but Schweg has the tiebreaker. This will be a close race for these teams competing over the toilet trophy. Ryan has failed to score 100 points in 9 consecutive games. He only has one game over 100, and that was 102 points in Week 2. New England’s 28 fantasy points for Sean is the most by any defense this season. Terrance is on pace to have 1,459 points scored against him, which would be the 2nd most all time. Jarrett passes Ryan for most career games with over 100 points with 48. Ryan only has 1 more 100 point game than Chase who has played 2 fewer seasons. Ryan only has 17 games over 100 points in the last 5 seasons. Erik has 18 games over 100 points in his last 25 games. Jacob loses his 8th career game while scoring over 100 points, which is the 2nd fewest in league history, but it’s his 2nd game this season. Jake is now 15-4 against Schweg, which is good enough for a league high 78.9% winning percentage against him. Trade Tracker: Ryan (112) vs Schweg (50) Christian McCaffrey - 42 DeVonta Smith - 70 David Montgomery - 34 Calvin Ridley - 16 Ryan (39) vs Terrance (53) Chuba Hubbard - 39 Melvin Gordon - 53 Ryan (16) vs Sean (6) Diontae Johnson - 16 Rhamondre Stevenson - 6 Jacob (24) vs Aaron (7) Joe Mixon - 24 Mark Andrew - 7 Kareem Hunt - 0 Playoff Picture Schwegtopia 1. Erik 9-2 (6-1) - clinched division - can clinch #1 seed with a win over Jacob 4. Ryan 6-5 (2-3) 6. Sean 5-5-1 (4-2) 9. Schweg 2-8-1 (1-4-1) - eliminated 10. Terrance 2-8-1 (1-4-1) - eliminated Vaidenville 2. Jake 7-4 (3-3) 3. Jacob 7-4 (4-3) 5. Aaron 6-5 (3-3) 7. Jarrett 5-6 (3-3) 8. Chase 4-6-1 (2-3) No other clinching scenarios in Week 12. Week 12 Schedule Erik (9-2) vs Jacob (7-4) Jacob leads the all-time series 9-6. Jake (7-4) vs Chase (4-6-1) The all-time series is tied 7-7. Half of their games have been decided by 8 points or less. Ryan (6-5) vs Sean (5-5-1) Ryan leads the all-time series 7-6. Aaron (6-5) vs